NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	103		Excitement	8.9 [157]		MVP	LeBron James (LAL): +36.8%
Los Angeles Lakers	106		Comeback	1.6 [644]		LVP	Taurean Prince (LAL): -14.7%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Durant	0.26	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0,-0.02,0.06,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.19,0.19,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.24,0.27,0.26	0.15	0.11	0.01	17	82%	0.42	5	-0.17	4	75%	-0.00
Grayson Allen	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.14	-0.04	0.01	14	64%	0.09	0	0.00	5	100%	0.02
Devin Booker	0.02	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.12,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.02	-0.09	0.11	0.00	16	52%	0.18	7	-0.16	8	100%	0.07
Drew Eubanks	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.03	0.01	3	100%	0.08	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Nassir Little	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	4	62%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Keita Bates-Diop	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Okogie	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Goodwin	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.01	-0.06	-0.00	6	58%	0.01	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Eric Gordon	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.02	-0.06	0.00	8	44%	-0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jusuf Nurkic	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.07	-0.06	0.00	3	30%	-0.10	2	-0.04	4	25%	-0.07

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LeBron James	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.11,0.21,0.21,0.16,0.16,0.23,0.39,0.39,0.37	0.37	0.09	0.24	-0.03	25	55%	0.40	2	-0.03	6	83%	0.05
Austin Reaves	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.12,0.1,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.21	0.21	0.04	0.15	-0.02	16	57%	0.28	3	-0.08	3	100%	0.02
Max Christie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.03	-0.00	2	75%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rui Hachimura	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	8	44%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaxson Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
D'Angelo Russell	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	0.01	11	36%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Davis	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05	-0.05	0.01	-0.06	0.01	26	45%	-0.05	0	0.00	8	87%	0.02
Cam Reddish	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	4	33%	-0.06	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Jarred Vanderbilt	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	2	17%	-0.05	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Taurean Prince	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.09	-0.04	0.02	6	36%	-0.06	3	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.3	3.3	31.4	16.6	27.6	3.4	37.6	148.2
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX -30.2%

LAL +13.0%

LAL +31.0%

LAL +31.6%

LAL +4.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	LAL	NBA	PHX	LAL	NBA
this game	14.1	15.3	14.5	105.1	108.2	113.9
season	14.6	14.1		116.1	114.4
opponent	14.3	14.4		114.3	113.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	13.7	14.3	11.3	18.4	14.1
LAL	14.6	13.4	15.4	18.6	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jusuf Nurkic	59	60	0.01	-0.51	0.53	-0.34	12	-15	27	13.3	15.3	-1.97	15.8	14.4	1.38
Keita Bates-Diop	13	15	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.08	2	-5	7	15.2	14.0	1.19	12.8	15.7	-2.91
Jordan Goodwin	28	28	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.11	1	-4	5	16.4	13.2	3.23	16.3	14.8	1.48
Eric Gordon	71	72	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.37	7	-10	17	13.5	15.7	-2.13	15.3	15.2	0.10
Josh Okogie	18	17	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.11	-11	8	-19	13.1	14.3	-1.24	15.6	15.2	0.46
Devin Booker	77	78	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.36	2	-5	7	13.5	16.3	-2.75	14.7	17.6	-2.93
Kevin Durant	79	80	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.51	6	-9	15	13.8	15.3	-1.48	15.2	15.4	-0.15
Nassir Little	28	25	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.03	-11	8	-19	15.2	13.7	1.48	16.7	14.8	1.90
Drew Eubanks	35	34	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.01	-16	13	-29	15.6	13.3	2.34	15.1	15.4	-0.32
Grayson Allen	82	81	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	-0.37	-7	4	-11	14.3	13.2	1.04	15.1	16.0	-0.89

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Austin Reaves	55	52	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.19	17	-14	31	14.7	16.0	-1.39	14.6	13.6	0.93
LeBron James	81	82	0.65	-0.15	0.79	0.29	12	-9	21	15.1	16.2	-1.17	14.4	12.7	1.71
Anthony Davis	80	80	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.30	-1	4	-5	15.3	15.0	0.33	13.2	18.0	-4.75
Cam Reddish	60	60	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.44	-7	10	-17	15.7	14.6	1.08	14.8	13.0	1.83
Jaxson Hayes	18	18	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.11	4	-1	5	15.0	15.3	-0.33	18.0	13.2	4.75
Rui Hachimura	42	42	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.05	5	-2	7	16.2	14.6	1.66	14.9	13.6	1.33
Jarred Vanderbilt	32	32	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.01	6	-3	9	15.2	15.3	-0.07	13.5	14.4	-0.88
Taurean Prince	56	56	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.46	-12	15	-27	15.0	15.6	-0.54	13.1	15.5	-2.33
Max Christie	15	16	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.05	-2	5	-7	15.9	15.1	0.79	13.1	14.3	-1.19
D'Angelo Russell	51	52	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.15	-7	10	-17	15.1	15.5	-0.43	13.6	14.8	-1.20

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.54,0.61,0.57,0.57,0.65,0.58,0.61,0.7,0.68,0.71,0.77,0.81,0.74,0.7,0.62,0.61,0.66,0.72,0.82,0.82,0.74,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.38,0.55,0.48,0.56,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.64,0.59,0.39,0.47,0.64,0.89,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 84, CLE 91	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.68,0.65,0.7,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.63,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.58,0.67,0.7,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.67,0.59,0.58,0.55,0.54,0.59,0.48,0.56,0.6,0.5,0.43,0.43,0.58,0.63,0.53,0.6,0.39,0.39,0.63,0.85,0.96,1	92.1%
ATL 89, UTA 96	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.61,0.64,0.69,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.54,0.52,0.6,0.64,0.71,0.72,0.76,0.74,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.73,0.67,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.63,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.61,0.85,0.91,0.92,1	91.4%
SAC 96, MIA 102	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.45,0.47,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.5,0.62,0.62,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.63,0.71,0.77,0.76,0.81,0.82,0.75,0.63,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.52,0.59,0.59,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.58,0.64,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.72,0.94,0.98,1	91.3%