NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	110		Excitement	8.3 [233]		MVP	Kevin Durant (PHX): +50.4%
Phoenix Suns	117		Comeback	1.7 [734]		LVP	Pascal Siakam (IND): -25.1%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Buddy Hield	0.32	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.36,0.36,0.32,0.32	0.16	0.15	-0.01	10	82%	0.32	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Jarace Walker	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.07	0.08	-0.01	6	83%	0.17	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Smith	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.14	0.02	0.03	5	107%	0.16	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Obi Toppin	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.00	12	50%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Myles Turner	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	-0.00	-0.00	11	50%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Ben Sheppard	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	4	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Andrew Nembhard	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.08,-0.05,-0.09	-0.10	-0.02	-0.02	9	41%	0.04	4	-0.13	4	75%	0.02
Bennedict Mathurin	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	8	22%	-0.09	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Aaron Nesmith	-0.09	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.02	-0.08	-0.01	7	35%	-0.09	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.05
T.J. McConnell	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.03	0.00	8	25%	-0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Pascal Siakam	-0.25	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.24,-0.24,-0.25	-0.03	-0.22	0.00	14	50%	0.00	3	-0.25	2	100%	0.03

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Durant	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.25,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.26,0.31,0.31,0.4,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.34,0.34,0.5,0.5,0.5	0.50	0.28	0.23	0.01	25	80%	0.57	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Bradley Beal	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.17,0.26,0.31	0.31	0.14	0.19	0.01	16	71%	0.37	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.01
Grayson Allen	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.13	0.07	0.00	7	93%	0.20	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chimezie Metu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Drew Eubanks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	1	75%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Josh Okogie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keita Bates-Diop	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Eric Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	-0.00	6	29%	-0.05	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Jusuf Nurkic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.03	-0.00	2	100%	0.05	6	-0.16	0	0%	0.00
Devin Booker	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.14,-0.2,-0.2,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.04	-0.13	0.02	24	46%	-0.16	2	-0.03	9	78%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.7	2.4	28.2	15.8	25.2	1.8	37.5	138.6
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +57.6%

IND -4.9%

IND -4.4%

PHX +2.5%

IND -0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	PHX	NBA	IND	PHX	NBA
this game	14.3	14.4	14.5	110.0	117.0	113.9
season	13.7	14.6		120.1	116.1
opponent	14.4	14.6		113.5	117.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	14.9	13.1	16.6	12.7	14.3
PHX	12.3	13.5	14.0	18.6	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bennedict Mathurin	28	26	0.13	-0.63	0.76	-0.08	7	-14	21	15.6	13.9	1.70	16.5	13.7	2.77
Jalen Smith	40	39	0.10	-0.60	0.69	-0.23	11	-18	29	14.3	14.4	-0.13	15.1	14.0	1.11
Ben Sheppard	41	41	0.10	-0.60	0.69	-0.20	10	-17	27	14.3	14.4	-0.01	15.0	14.1	0.97
Jarace Walker	39	39	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-10	13	13.9	14.6	-0.66	15.0	14.1	0.86
Andrew Nembhard	53	54	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.24	2	-9	11	12.8	16.0	-3.19	14.6	14.3	0.23
Obi Toppin	55	53	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.31	4	-11	15	13.6	15.3	-1.67	15.7	13.0	2.66
T.J. McConnell	27	27	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.02	-9	2	-11	15.2	14.0	1.19	12.6	15.1	-2.49
Aaron Nesmith	52	54	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.20	-9	2	-11	14.2	14.6	-0.41	14.3	14.7	-0.37
Pascal Siakam	60	62	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.24	-9	2	-11	14.4	14.2	0.25	14.4	14.6	-0.17
Myles Turner	39	40	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	0.14	-25	18	-43	15.8	13.4	2.41	12.1	16.0	-3.83
Buddy Hield	66	65	-0.65	0.15	-0.79	-0.06	-20	13	-33	14.8	13.5	1.29	13.8	15.6	-1.81

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Gordon	61	62	0.77	-0.27	1.04	0.39	13	-6	19	14.5	14.4	0.11	14.2	14.6	-0.37
Devin Booker	74	74	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.21	14	-7	21	13.8	16.3	-2.46	14.7	13.4	1.30
Bradley Beal	80	82	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.17	11	-4	15	14.6	14.0	0.56	14.0	15.8	-1.81
Kevin Durant	83	85	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.23	7	0	7	14.8	12.9	1.89	14.6	12.9	1.75
Grayson Allen	67	67	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.28	3	4	-1	14.2	14.9	-0.64	14.3	14.4	-0.02
Jusuf Nurkic	40	43	0.18	0.32	-0.15	-0.15	11	-4	15	12.5	15.7	-3.21	15.2	13.7	1.47
Keita Bates-Diop	26	22	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	10	-13	15.8	14.0	1.78	13.1	14.7	-1.61
Chimezie Metu	17	15	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	0.10	-6	13	-19	13.3	14.7	-1.39	12.1	14.7	-2.61
Drew Eubanks	20	19	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	-0.05	-1	8	-9	16.0	14.0	2.00	17.0	13.7	3.27
Josh Okogie	32	31	-0.21	0.71	-0.93	0.20	-14	21	-35	16.1	13.7	2.46	13.2	14.9	-1.72

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.61,0.69,0.7,0.68,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.58,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.52,0.61,0.69,0.64,0.72,0.7,0.58,0.65,0.57,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.72,0.78,0.77,0.87,0.75,0.81,0.82,0.7,0.67,0.81,0.82,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.37,0.78,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 87, ATL 97	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.57,0.56,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.62,0.62,0.56,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.51,0.61,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.63,0.71,0.69,0.72,0.81,0.71,0.74,0.75,0.76,0.77,0.81,0.75,0.74,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.68,0.64,0.65,0.61,0.53,0.46,0.77,0.98,1	91.8%
MIN 105, SAC 112	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.62,0.56,0.52,0.58,0.68,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.7,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.67,0.59,0.54,0.68,0.72,0.73,0.79,0.76,0.77,0.71,0.78,0.79,0.81,0.79,0.66,0.74,0.79,0.71,0.73,0.74,0.65,0.61,0.69,0.64,0.77,0.91,1	91.0%
PHX 104, TOR 113	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.68,0.68,0.64,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.51,0.64,0.76,0.56,0.61,0.51,0.63,0.63,0.75,0.81,0.79,0.71,0.8,0.81,0.7,0.78,0.79,0.78,0.7,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.7,0.53,0.54,0.39,0.71,0.85,0.96,1	91.0%