NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	127		Excitement	3.9 [998]		MVP	Daniel Gafford (WAS): +7.7%
Atlanta Hawks	99		Comeback	1.3 [272]		LVP	Jalen Johnson (ATL): -7.5%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Daniel Gafford	0.08	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.00	0.00	4	100%	0.09	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Kyle Kuzma	0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.12	0.02	0.06	20	62%	0.11	2	-0.04	7	86%	0.01
Jordan Poole	0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.09	-0.00	0.02	16	59%	0.09	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Corey Kispert	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	0.00	0.02	8	69%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bilal Coulibaly	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	8	55%	0.05	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.01
Jules Bernard	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	3	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hamidou Diallo	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyus Jones	-0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	9	44%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Delon Wright	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	7	57%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Baldwin Jr.	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	8	40%	-0.00	2	-0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Deni Avdija	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.06	-0.00	0.07	12	66%	0.05	3	-0.06	5	80%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Garrison Mathews	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	6	57%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.00
Onyeka Okongwu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	5	60%	0.03	2	-0.03	5	60%	-0.00
Seth Lundy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	1	25%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Bruno Fernando	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
AJ Griffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trae Young	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0.01	19	45%	-0.01	1	0.01	9	78%	-0.00
Saddiq Bey	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.04	13	53%	0.02	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Bogdan Bogdanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.06	-0.00	0.10	13	52%	-0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Trent Forrest	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	4	33%	-0.03	2	-0.03	4	50%	0.00
Clint Capela	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	8	25%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dejounte Murray	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	15	38%	-0.06	2	-0.00	4	100%	0.01
Jalen Johnson	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.10	-0.01	-0.03	7	36%	-0.01	4	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	2.3	32.3	14.7	27.5	2.4	31.6	133.2
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +51.6%

WAS +5.6%

ATL -8.2%

WAS +0.1%

WAS +0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	ATL	NBA	WAS	ATL	NBA
this game	13.5	14.2	14.5	122.1	95.2	113.9
season	13.7	14.2		109.8	115.7
opponent	14.3	14.1		118.0	118.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	12.1	14.2	12.9	14.7	13.5
ATL	15.1	15.2	14.3	12.5	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Daniel Gafford	66	64	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.32	26	2	24	13.5	13.3	0.26	14.2	14.3	-0.06
Kyle Kuzma	60	60	0.44	0.06	0.37	-0.18	21	7	14	13.4	13.6	-0.20	14.3	14.1	0.22
Tyus Jones	57	56	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.11	18	10	8	13.6	13.2	0.44	14.3	14.1	0.21
Jordan Poole	57	57	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.19	19	9	10	13.2	13.8	-0.65	14.3	14.2	0.13
Bilal Coulibaly	57	57	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.35	23	5	18	13.6	13.3	0.24	15.3	13.0	2.26
Deni Avdija	82	83	0.24	0.26	-0.02	-0.08	11	17	-6	13.3	13.9	-0.58	13.8	16.1	-2.38
Corey Kispert	36	37	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.11	8	20	-12	13.7	13.3	0.33	14.8	13.9	0.84
Delon Wright	47	48	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.22	10	18	-8	13.2	13.6	-0.44	14.1	14.3	-0.21
Patrick Baldwin Jr.	38	40	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.00	2	26	-24	13.3	13.5	-0.26	14.3	14.2	0.06
Jules Bernard	11	10	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	27	-26	14.3	13.4	0.92	11.9	14.5	-2.59
Hamidou Diallo	9	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	27	-26	14.4	13.4	1.09	11.2	14.5	-3.24

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Seth Lundy	11	11	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-29	30	11.8	14.5	-2.71	14.3	13.4	0.92
Bruno Fernando	11	11	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-29	30	11.8	14.5	-2.71	14.3	13.4	0.92
AJ Griffin	11	11	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-29	30	11.8	14.5	-2.71	14.3	13.4	0.92
Garrison Mathews	34	33	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.02	-4	-24	20	14.4	14.1	0.30	13.7	13.3	0.36
Trent Forrest	27	28	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.01	-7	-21	14	14.1	14.3	-0.17	14.7	13.0	1.68
Clint Capela	53	54	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	0.05	-10	-18	8	13.9	14.6	-0.68	13.5	13.4	0.02
Onyeka Okongwu	40	39	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	0.30	-19	-9	-10	15.3	13.5	1.80	13.2	13.6	-0.39
Saddiq Bey	56	57	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	0.14	-15	-13	-2	14.2	14.3	-0.10	13.6	13.3	0.32
Dejounte Murray	67	68	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.30	-22	-6	-16	13.9	14.8	-0.89	13.2	13.8	-0.58
Jalen Johnson	80	79	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	0.33	-23	-5	-18	14.5	13.5	0.96	13.1	14.6	-1.51
Trae Young	80	79	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.33	-23	-5	-18	14.5	13.5	0.96	13.1	14.6	-1.51
Bogdan Bogdanovic	50	50	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	0.23	-20	-8	-12	15.0	13.5	1.46	13.5	13.4	0.09

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.48,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.35,0.4,0.37,0.3,0.23,0.25,0.31,0.26,0.28,0.25,0.27,0.2,0.21,0.3,0.2,0.26,0.12,0.11,0.06,0.13,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 96, MEM 71	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.27,0.28,0.3,0.31,0.28,0.3,0.3,0.2,0.19,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.5%
NJN 121, SEA 91	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.36,0.32,0.24,0.2,0.24,0.27,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.27,0.23,0.23,0.18,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.1%
GSW 134, MIA 99	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.38,0.48,0.38,0.27,0.25,0.31,0.31,0.34,0.29,0.25,0.18,0.21,0.2,0.18,0.16,0.14,0.13,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.0%