NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	119		Excitement	8.7 [182]		MVP	Coby White (CHI): +41.4%
Chicago Bulls	124		Comeback	11.2 [156]		LVP	DeMar DeRozan (CHI): -10.2%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Alperen Sengun	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.27,0.16,0.12	0.03	0.14	0.05	19	54%	0.16	2	-0.05	8	37%	-0.09
Cam Whitmore	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.09	0.06	0.02	-0.01	12	62%	0.13	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Jeff Green	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.00	-0.02	5	82%	0.11	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Jabari Smith Jr.	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.07	-0.06	0.00	14	64%	0.06	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Holiday	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	3	50%	0.03	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Jae'Sean Tate	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Amen Thompson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	7	43%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Fred VanVleet	-0.07	0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.06	-0.01	19	48%	-0.01	2	-0.07	4	75%	-0.01
Jalen Green	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08	-0.01	-0.08	-0.02	19	46%	-0.00	2	-0.08	1	0%	-0.05

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Coby White	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.1,0.12,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.41,0.41	0.41	0.15	0.27	0.01	17	73%	0.55	4	-0.14	7	86%	0.01
Zach LaVine	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.17,0.41,0.41	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.00	15	69%	0.50	4	-0.09	6	83%	0.02
Dalen Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	1	150%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alex Caruso	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	-0.01	-0.04	10	46%	0.04	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.00
Ayo Dosunmu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	8	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Drummond	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	2	100%	0.04	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	6	42%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Vucevic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.05	-0.12	0.00	17	53%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeMar DeRozan	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.02	-0.09	-0.01	19	43%	-0.08	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	22.4	2.5	28.5	14.4	28.5	2.5	39.5	1.8	14.2	154.2
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	2.4	15.0	135.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +32.5%

CHI +23.3%

HOU -11.7%

CHI +6.6%

HOU -0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	CHI	NBA	HOU	CHI	NBA
this game	14.6	13.8	14.5	106.2	110.7	113.9
season	14.2	14.5		113.2	113.4
opponent	15.0	14.6		115.1	112.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
HOU	14.6	14.1	14.6	13.6	17.5	14.6
CHI	13.7	13.0	14.2	15.8	10.7	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeff Green	42	42	0.06	-0.56	0.63	-0.02	3	-8	11	13.8	15.0	-1.28	14.0	13.7	0.27
Aaron Holiday	26	26	0.05	-0.55	0.59	0.08	-1	-4	3	13.7	14.8	-1.08	12.7	14.2	-1.43
Amen Thompson	30	30	0.04	-0.54	0.57	-0.05	3	-8	11	13.5	15.0	-1.50	12.7	14.2	-1.54
Jabari Smith Jr.	102	102	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.44	8	-13	21	14.2	18.4	-4.21	13.9	13.4	0.47
Jae'Sean Tate	35	38	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.00	-13	8	-21	15.2	14.3	0.89	13.7	13.9	-0.26
Cam Whitmore	69	69	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.31	-3	-2	-1	14.9	14.0	0.88	13.7	14.0	-0.31
Jalen Green	83	82	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.38	-4	-1	-3	14.8	13.9	0.85	14.1	13.0	1.09
Alperen Sengun	85	84	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	-0.34	-8	3	-11	14.9	13.5	1.42	14.2	12.8	1.39
Fred VanVleet	88	87	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.30	-10	5	-15	15.0	13.1	1.83	14.0	13.3	0.66

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Coby White	89	90	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.22	15	-10	25	13.9	13.4	0.50	15.1	12.3	2.79
Nikola Vucevic	83	84	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.18	16	-11	27	14.0	13.4	0.56	15.2	12.8	2.37
Zach LaVine	85	86	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.18	15	-10	25	13.9	13.5	0.41	15.0	13.0	2.03
Patrick Williams	61	60	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.12	9	-4	13	13.6	14.1	-0.53	14.7	14.3	0.40
Dalen Terry	12	12	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.02	4	1	3	13.4	13.9	-0.46	16.2	14.4	1.80
DeMar DeRozan	91	92	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.35	-9	14	-23	13.9	13.7	0.14	14.1	16.6	-2.48
Ayo Dosunmu	39	38	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.22	-5	10	-15	13.9	13.8	0.06	13.6	15.1	-1.49
Alex Caruso	71	70	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.33	-9	14	-23	13.8	13.9	-0.08	14.0	15.6	-1.61
Andre Drummond	29	28	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.17	-11	16	-27	13.4	14.0	-0.56	12.8	15.2	-2.37

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.43,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.59,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.6,0.53,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.51,0.53,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.75,0.7,0.73,0.79,0.77,0.8,0.7,0.7,0.68,0.65,0.76,0.87,0.86,0.87,0.9,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.93,0.92,0.94,0.88,0.92,0.97,0.94,0.92,0.46,0.31,0.22,0.23,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 105, TOR 109	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.71,0.67,0.7,0.75,0.76,0.79,0.7,0.7,0.76,0.71,0.74,0.86,0.87,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.94,0.87,0.9,0.89,0.92,0.83,0.81,0.97,0.94,0.96,0.46,0.46,0.36,0.55,0.41,1	89.4%
POR 113, UTA 118	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.4,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.56,0.58,0.66,0.71,0.74,0.76,0.83,0.86,0.82,0.79,0.76,0.78,0.81,0.86,0.79,0.83,0.87,0.8,0.81,0.79,0.87,0.88,0.92,0.91,0.9,0.92,0.88,0.78,0.75,0.85,0.85,0.85,0.54,0.39,0.37,0.71,0.82,1	88.7%
MIN 112, NJN 117	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.37,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.44,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.7,0.66,0.75,0.72,0.61,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.56,0.66,0.77,0.89,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.95,0.87,0.9,0.79,0.94,0.95,0.46,0.53,0.37,0.22,0.59,1	88.2%