inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Atlanta Hawks 116 Excitement2.2 [1231] MVPObi Toppin (IND): +9.0%
Indiana Pacers 150 Comeback1.4 [793] LVPTrae Young (ATL): -14.3%


Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Dejounte Murray0.060,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.220.000.161975%0.081-0.022100%0.00
Garrison Mathews0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.040.000.033100%0.0210.0000%0.00
Jalen Johnson0.000,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.050.000.041152%0.0000.001100%-0.00
Seth Lundy0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.02275%0.0000.0000%0.00
Bruno Fernando0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.060.000.062100%0.0000.002100%0.00
AJ Griffin0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.03350%0.0020.0000%0.00
Saddiq Bey-0.000,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.00750%0.001-0.004100%0.00
Onyeka Okongwu-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.02175%-0.0000.00250%-0.01
Trent Forrest-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.00-0.00460%-0.0120.002100%0.00
Clint Capela-0.040,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.02-0.000.01945%-0.031-0.00250%-0.00
Bogdan Bogdanovic-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.070.00-0.041442%-0.023-0.021090%0.01
Trae Young-0.140,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.14-0.00-0.001832%-0.103-0.04580%-0.01

Indiana Pacers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Obi Toppin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.050.00-0.04675%0.091-0.0000%0.00
Bennedict Mathurin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.150.010.08982%0.0800.004100%0.01
Jalen Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.09-0.000.03779%0.0600.0000%0.00
Bruce Brown0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.120.000.08994%0.082-0.0400%0.00
Aaron Nesmith0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.050.000.021168%0.052-0.0200%0.00
Tyrese Haliburton0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.050.000.02683%0.042-0.0200%0.00
T.J. McConnell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.060.000.05683%0.031-0.0200%0.00
Myles Turner0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.21-0.010.201482%0.041-0.035100%0.01
Ben Sheppard0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.010.000.01350%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jordan Nwora0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.040.000.04387%0.0010.002100%0.00
James Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.030.00-0.03333%0.0010.0000%0.00
Jarace Walker0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.030.000.03667%0.0010.0000%0.00
Buddy Hield0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.040.000.05961%0.001-0.0100%0.00
Isaiah Jackson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.040.00-0.01233%-0.011-0.0220%-0.03
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.42.526.315.426.21.826.0123.7
league avg25.82.328.015.028.22.332.4135.1
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
IND +52.9%
IND +0.3%
IND +3.3%
ATL -6.5%
ATL -0.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsATLINDNBAATLINDNBA
this game13.912.814.5106.4140.2113.9
season14.213.7115.7120.1
opponent14.614.3117.5118.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ATL16.013.912.313.613.9
IND11.112.813.014.112.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Seth Lundy16170.00-0.500.500.06-2-323012.214.2-2.0012.412.8-0.49
Bruno Fernando16170.00-0.500.500.06-2-323012.214.2-2.0012.412.8-0.49
AJ Griffin16170.00-0.500.500.06-2-323012.214.2-2.0012.412.8-0.49
Trent Forrest3335-0.13-0.370.230.19-11-231213.614.0-0.4111.713.3-1.56
Garrison Mathews4344-0.20-0.300.100.07-9-251612.714.6-1.8913.212.40.78
Onyeka Okongwu4746-0.25-0.250.01-0.01-8-261814.013.80.2313.911.91.97
Clint Capela4543-0.25-0.25-0.010.39-22-12-1014.513.51.0211.613.6-2.02
Saddiq Bey6966-0.26-0.24-0.030.38-22-12-1014.612.71.8012.513.1-0.58
Dejounte Murray7975-0.27-0.23-0.030.32-20-14-614.013.70.3112.812.70.11
Bogdan Bogdanovic5150-0.35-0.15-0.200.18-18-16-214.313.50.7613.412.21.26
Trae Young6361-0.39-0.11-0.270.44-28-6-2214.712.81.9513.012.50.47
Jalen Johnson6764-0.40-0.10-0.300.36-26-8-1813.614.3-0.6812.812.70.15

Indiana Pacers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tyrese Haliburton56590.300.200.10-0.4024101412.013.6-1.5714.213.50.65
Obi Toppin53530.290.210.07-0.3923111212.812.70.0912.615.1-2.58
Bruce Brown50520.260.240.02-0.482591611.713.7-2.0014.513.31.17
Myles Turner50520.260.240.02-0.482591611.713.7-2.0014.513.31.17
Aaron Nesmith50520.260.240.02-0.482591611.713.7-2.0014.513.31.17
Buddy Hield36370.240.26-0.02-0.02925-1614.012.11.9014.113.80.29
Bennedict Mathurin37380.240.26-0.02-0.081123-1214.212.02.1713.913.90.05
Jalen Smith48500.230.27-0.030.12430-2613.012.60.3514.813.11.64
Isaiah Jackson15150.220.28-0.06-0.131222-1013.112.70.3515.113.71.36
T.J. McConnell51500.200.30-0.10-0.091024-1413.612.01.5713.514.2-0.65
Jarace Walker26260.000.50-0.500.00034-3414.112.31.7813.614.0-0.41
Ben Sheppard21200.000.50-0.500.00034-3413.112.70.4711.914.3-2.38
Jordan Nwora22220.000.50-0.50-0.12430-2612.912.70.1213.214.1-0.89
James Johnson20190.000.50-0.500.06-236-3812.812.80.0412.214.3-2.10


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.43,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.52,0.55,0.61,0.67,0.69,0.77,0.75,0.77,0.78,0.88,0.87,0.86,0.87,0.9,0.89,0.9,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
PHI 86, GSW 1260.5,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.48,0.54,0.59,0.57,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.86,0.92,0.92,0.9,0.89,0.88,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.8%
NJN 87, LAL 1060.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.55,0.6,0.61,0.65,0.72,0.74,0.79,0.78,0.86,0.87,0.82,0.88,0.88,0.9,0.91,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.7%
DEN 100, MIN 1170.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.44,0.52,0.55,0.61,0.65,0.72,0.72,0.75,0.75,0.78,0.86,0.93,0.93,0.9,0.93,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.6%