NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	118		Excitement	8.5 [204]		MVP	Anfernee Simons (POR): +23.1%
Portland Trail Blazers	117		Comeback	1.1 [519]		LVP	Deandre Ayton (POR): -29.0%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Daniel Gafford	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.09	0.03	-0.01	10	70%	0.14	1	-0.01	3	67%	-0.00
Deni Avdija	0.10	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.03	0.05	-0.02	7	62%	0.17	2	-0.07	7	71%	-0.00
Corey Kispert	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.00	-0.02	8	53%	0.06	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Bilal Coulibaly	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danilo Gallinari	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Mike Muscala	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	5	42%	0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Jordan Poole	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.06	0.02	-0.06	13	42%	0.04	3	-0.03	5	100%	0.02
Anthony Gill	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyus Jones	-0.05	0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.13,0.16,0.14,0.12,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05	0.15	-0.15	0.05	15	75%	-0.02	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Kyle Kuzma	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.1,0.12,-0.09	0.08	-0.15	0.02	22	59%	0.10	3	-0.19	10	70%	-0.04

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anfernee Simons	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.09,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.13,0.18,0.11,0.32,0.23	0.23	0.20	0.07	0.04	28	67%	0.31	3	-0.08	5	80%	-0.00
Duop Reath	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	-0.00	0.02	7	67%	0.06	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Toumani Camara	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malcolm Brogdon	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.05	0.00	8	44%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jabari Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	6	57%	0.02	2	-0.05	2	50%	0.00
Matisse Thybulle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scoot Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	5	29%	-0.03	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Jerami Grant	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.08,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,-0.01,-0.01,-0.25	-0.25	0.04	-0.30	-0.01	14	57%	-0.14	2	-0.11	7	57%	-0.10
Deandre Ayton	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.21,-0.29	-0.29	-0.06	-0.24	-0.01	21	50%	-0.21	5	-0.08	4	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.4	28.6	14.4	28.6	2.3	41.3	142.7
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +38.8%

WAS +11.1%

POR -11.5%

WAS +5.5%

WAS +6.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	POR	NBA	WAS	POR	NBA
this game	14.3	14.5	14.5	118.0	117.0	113.9
season	13.7	14.8		109.8	106.9
opponent	14.5	14.1		116.2	118.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	12.1	14.4	14.9	16.2	14.3
POR	14.1	15.0	14.5	14.4	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Deni Avdija	76	77	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.25	9	-8	17	13.3	17.3	-3.99	14.2	15.5	-1.27
Kyle Kuzma	80	81	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.39	4	-3	7	13.9	15.8	-1.94	14.0	16.6	-2.63
Tyus Jones	75	76	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.16	6	-5	11	14.0	15.1	-1.09	14.1	15.6	-1.48
Bilal Coulibaly	35	34	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.69	-13	14	-27	15.8	13.5	2.31	15.1	14.2	0.94
Daniel Gafford	66	69	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.04	9	-8	17	13.5	15.9	-2.44	14.3	15.0	-0.72
Mike Muscala	27	25	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.42	-7	8	-15	16.7	13.4	3.29	16.7	13.8	2.91
Jordan Poole	71	73	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.01	5	-4	9	14.2	14.5	-0.31	14.5	14.4	0.18
Corey Kispert	43	41	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.11	0	1	-1	15.6	13.3	2.25	14.9	14.2	0.64
Anthony Gill	2	1	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.14	-2	3	-5	1.0	14.6	-13.57	5.0	14.6	-9.60
Danilo Gallinari	25	23	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.15	-6	7	-13	15.9	13.8	2.11	15.4	14.2	1.16

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jabari Walker	46	47	0.35	-0.85	1.20	-0.18	18	-19	37	14.7	14.3	0.36	15.6	13.2	2.40
Duop Reath	19	20	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.17	8	-9	17	13.1	14.8	-1.79	14.9	14.1	0.75
Scoot Henderson	51	52	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.29	7	-8	15	14.9	14.0	0.90	15.3	13.2	2.06
Matisse Thybulle	57	58	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.65	19	-20	39	15.1	13.7	1.33	15.8	12.2	3.56
Toumani Camara	41	39	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.15	-16	15	-31	14.2	14.7	-0.43	12.8	15.3	-2.47
Anfernee Simons	81	82	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.39	-2	1	-3	13.9	17.0	-3.09	14.1	15.0	-0.85
Deandre Ayton	75	75	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.27	-8	7	-15	14.6	14.3	0.24	13.8	15.7	-1.84
Malcolm Brogdon	62	60	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.15	-16	15	-31	14.5	14.5	0.04	13.0	16.2	-3.21
Jerami Grant	68	67	-0.86	0.36	-1.21	-0.42	-15	14	-29	14.7	14.0	0.74	13.9	15.1	-1.23

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.44,0.39,0.38,0.41,0.34,0.29,0.31,0.29,0.27,0.24,0.27,0.32,0.3,0.3,0.33,0.31,0.28,0.25,0.15,0.19,0.18,0.21,0.2,0.16,0.23,0.18,0.25,0.13,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.1,0.16,0.09,0.06,0.11,0.12,0.17,0.12,0.06,0.02,0.07,0.25,0.46,0.15,0.18,0
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 86, IND 83	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.4,0.33,0.32,0.32,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.25,0.2,0.13,0.19,0.2,0.14,0.17,0.19,0.22,0.21,0.26,0.25,0.19,0.16,0.13,0.1,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.19,0.11,0.12,0.22,0.25,0.45,0.24,0.1,0	93.2%
OKC 101, MIN 96	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.42,0.33,0.32,0.32,0.33,0.32,0.3,0.28,0.32,0.28,0.26,0.31,0.32,0.33,0.33,0.22,0.21,0.19,0.16,0.18,0.16,0.18,0.11,0.12,0.07,0.11,0.16,0.13,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.22,0.15,0.01,0	92.6%
PHX 103, SAC 97	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.5,0.46,0.37,0.36,0.32,0.25,0.2,0.2,0.25,0.21,0.24,0.21,0.23,0.18,0.24,0.16,0.12,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.14,0.09,0.08,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.1,0.19,0.07,0.13,0.12,0.14,0.09,0.18,0.19,0.34,0.11,0.02,0	92.5%