NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	116		Excitement	7.8 [298]		MVP	Devin Booker (PHX): +22.8%
Phoenix Suns	119		Comeback	3.4 [273]		LVP	Stephen Curry (GSW): -15.2%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Paul	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.24,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.11	0.06	-0.00	8	79%	0.18	1	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Moses Moody	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.03	0.08	-0.00	6	67%	0.18	2	-0.07	6	67%	0.00
Brandin Podziemski	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0,0,0,0,0.09	0.08	0.04	0.03	14	69%	0.20	3	-0.10	1	0%	-0.01
Dario Saric	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.10	0.01	0.02	9	68%	0.09	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Trayce Jackson-Davis	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	1	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Draymond Green	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.07	0.06	-0.03	3	33%	0.05	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kevon Looney	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonathan Kuminga	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.06	-0.03	0.03	10	59%	0.03	1	-0.03	7	43%	-0.08
Klay Thompson	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.07	-0.05	0.01	10	32%	-0.07	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Andrew Wiggins	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.12	-0.02	-0.00	7	21%	-0.06	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Curry	-0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.1,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15	0.03	-0.13	0.06	24	46%	-0.12	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Devin Booker	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.23	0.23	0.13	0.12	0.02	23	63%	0.29	2	-0.07	5	100%	0.07
Jusuf Nurkic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.05	0.11	0.00	9	59%	0.17	1	-0.01	11	91%	0.09
Jordan Goodwin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.08	0.07	-0.00	10	64%	0.16	1	-0.00	5	100%	0.03
Chimezie Metu	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.11	0.01	-0.00	7	87%	0.16	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Josh Okogie	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.10	0.00	0.01	4	100%	0.09	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Bradley Beal	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05	0.05	-0.01	0.07	0.01	12	52%	0.09	3	-0.05	7	71%	-0.02
Bol Bol	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Yuta Watanabe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	4	37%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Eric Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.01	-0.01	11	35%	-0.01	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.01
Drew Eubanks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	1	100%	0.06	3	-0.09	1	100%	0.01
Keita Bates-Diop	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.3	3.4	33.4	15.8	35.1	2.8	39.1	156.8
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +13.2%

PHX +32.9%

GSW -7.5%

PHX +5.1%

PHX +6.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	PHX	NBA	GSW	PHX	NBA
this game	12.8	14.7	14.5	112.6	112.3	113.9
season	14.3	14.6		116.2	116.1
opponent	14.4	14.4		113.5	114.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	15.4	13.2	12.3	10.9	12.8
PHX	15.9	15.6	14.9	13.1	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dario Saric	45	46	0.17	-0.67	0.84	-0.45	21	-24	45	11.6	13.7	-2.05	14.1	15.2	-1.15
Brandin Podziemski	64	65	0.16	-0.66	0.81	-0.37	18	-21	39	12.0	14.1	-2.10	15.0	14.3	0.76
Klay Thompson	55	59	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.16	4	-7	11	13.3	12.2	1.06	15.6	13.7	1.86
Chris Paul	65	69	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.45	12	-15	27	12.1	14.0	-1.87	14.6	15.0	-0.41
Jonathan Kuminga	62	66	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.51	13	-16	29	12.2	13.6	-1.39	14.2	15.6	-1.35
Kevon Looney	23	24	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.12	-13	10	-23	14.3	12.3	2.00	15.0	14.7	0.29
Draymond Green	35	35	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.16	-15	12	-27	14.4	12.0	2.47	15.3	14.5	0.82
Trayce Jackson-Davis	15	16	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.15	-6	3	-9	12.5	12.9	-0.39	15.4	14.6	0.75
Andrew Wiggins	30	29	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.16	-19	16	-35	14.1	12.2	1.89	15.4	14.5	0.98
Moses Moody	50	49	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.12	-15	12	-27	13.2	12.4	0.75	15.2	14.3	0.95
Stephen Curry	71	72	-0.74	0.24	-0.98	-0.30	-15	12	-27	12.9	12.6	0.34	13.7	16.9	-3.25

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chimezie Metu	55	53	0.84	-0.34	1.18	0.02	28	-25	53	14.1	15.4	-1.30	13.8	11.7	2.05
Devin Booker	81	79	0.60	-0.10	0.69	0.16	15	-12	27	14.0	17.0	-2.96	12.9	12.4	0.55
Yuta Watanabe	43	42	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.17	11	-8	19	15.3	14.3	1.03	13.2	12.5	0.75
Jusuf Nurkic	65	65	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.07	10	-7	17	15.6	13.3	2.35	13.0	12.4	0.64
Keita Bates-Diop	12	11	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.08	5	-2	7	18.2	14.3	3.96	12.1	12.9	-0.79
Jordan Goodwin	69	65	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.45	-10	13	-23	14.4	15.3	-0.86	11.9	14.3	-2.32
Josh Okogie	22	23	0.12	0.38	-0.27	-0.06	6	-3	9	15.8	14.5	1.37	15.3	12.1	3.17
Drew Eubanks	39	36	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.27	-7	10	-17	14.0	15.2	-1.20	12.8	12.8	0.06
Eric Gordon	72	70	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.39	-12	15	-27	13.8	16.8	-2.99	12.3	13.9	-1.68
Bradley Beal	62	60	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.38	-15	18	-33	15.4	13.8	1.65	12.1	13.8	-1.67
Bol Bol	10	11	-0.33	0.83	-1.16	0.14	-16	19	-35	16.4	14.6	1.84	11.7	12.9	-1.20

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.53,0.59,0.62,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.56,0.5,0.47,0.4,0.32,0.25,0.24,0.28,0.36,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.33,0.36,0.38,0.45,0.52,0.63,0.44,0.36,0.54,0.57,0.67,0.76,0.68,0.57,0.76,0.87,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 105, CLE 115	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.5,0.49,0.42,0.34,0.29,0.31,0.28,0.27,0.28,0.33,0.36,0.39,0.49,0.37,0.42,0.42,0.3,0.33,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.66,0.71,0.58,0.69,0.81,0.73,0.86,0.94,1,1,1	92.4%
DET 85, ATL 93	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.58,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.35,0.41,0.39,0.41,0.49,0.56,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.42,0.48,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.48,0.48,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.53,0.63,0.63,0.59,0.81,0.9,0.93,0.99,1,1,1	91.8%
GSW 95, DET 104	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.6,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.44,0.35,0.32,0.28,0.25,0.27,0.25,0.37,0.39,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.33,0.35,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.52,0.66,0.74,0.75,0.71,0.77,0.69,0.76,0.67,0.93,0.93,0.98,1,1	91.8%