inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Atlanta Hawks 117 Excitement5.6 [652] MVPShai Gilgeous-Alexander (OKC): +18.4%
Oklahoma City Thunder 126 Comeback1.0 [787] LVPTrae Young (ATL): -15.9%


Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Bogdan Bogdanovic0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.090.000.021461%0.0700.0000%0.00
Saddiq Bey0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.060.01-0.001168%0.122-0.0500%0.00
Dejounte Murray0.050,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.050.14-0.000.091669%0.123-0.071090%0.01
Onyeka Okongwu-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02-0.04-0.00-0.02841%-0.012-0.011100%0.00
Garrison Mathews-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.0020%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Clint Capela-0.040,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.02-0.02-0.00543%-0.011-0.03450%-0.02
Jalen Johnson-0.050,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05-0.020.010.031541%-0.0500.00250%-0.01
De'Andre Hunter-0.050,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.090.01-0.031327%-0.0500.00475%0.00
Trae Young-0.160,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.14,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16-0.13-0.030.001847%-0.037-0.1311100%0.04

Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.180.180.140.04-0.002065%0.232-0.04683%0.01
Isaiah Joe0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.140.140.100.03-0.02875%0.1400.0000%0.00
Luguentz Dort0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.140.140.120.040.021076%0.192-0.055100%0.03
Aaron Wiggins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.060.000.002125%0.0600.0000%0.00
Jalen Williams0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.040.040.10-0.000.061372%0.092-0.043100%0.02
Chet Holmgren0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.030.03-0.010.03-0.011446%0.031-0.017100%0.05
Jaylin Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.030.000.01460%0.0200.002100%0.00
Ousmane Dieng0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.03-0.00-0.03437%0.011-0.0100%0.00
Cason Wallace0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.010.000.00650%0.021-0.0300%0.00
Josh Giddey0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.14-0.15-0.02-0.031331%-0.034-0.1100%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.42.029.514.726.82.635.4134.5
league avg25.82.328.015.028.22.332.4135.1
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
OKC +50.4%
OKC +11.8%
ATL -15.1%
OKC +1.3%
OKC +1.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsATLOKCNBAATLOKCNBA
this game13.113.814.5109.3117.8113.9
season14.213.8115.7117.6
opponent14.714.3109.5118.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ATL14.414.513.510.113.1
OKC13.812.612.716.013.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Saddiq Bey5555-0.10-0.400.29-0.286-152113.113.1-0.0615.112.52.59
Garrison Mathews98-0.11-0.390.280.04-5-4-115.712.92.8015.013.71.28
Bogdan Bogdanovic5656-0.14-0.360.23-0.223-121513.612.61.0214.812.72.12
Onyeka Okongwu5554-0.15-0.350.19-0.181-101112.413.8-1.4514.912.72.28
Dejounte Murray7576-0.32-0.18-0.13-0.23-3-6312.813.8-1.0613.215.2-1.99
De'Andre Hunter7576-0.32-0.18-0.13-0.23-3-6312.813.8-1.0613.215.2-1.99
Clint Capela4950-0.33-0.17-0.16-0.04-101-1114.012.31.7312.515.0-2.50
Jalen Johnson7878-0.49-0.01-0.48-0.02-167-2313.013.3-0.2413.414.8-1.39
Trae Young8382-0.550.05-0.60-0.02-189-2713.113.2-0.1913.714.3-0.66

Oklahoma City Thunder
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander85840.480.020.460.0714-51913.216.1-2.9213.212.90.24
Luguentz Dort72720.380.120.250.1772513.115.2-2.0613.113.2-0.10
Chet Holmgren81820.340.160.180.1372513.614.6-1.0613.013.4-0.39
Jalen Williams82840.340.160.170.2245-113.813.80.0712.415.7-3.36
Josh Giddey61640.330.170.150.0981713.713.9-0.2113.013.3-0.33
Cason Wallace53520.290.210.080.2036-313.713.9-0.2313.812.41.45
Isaiah Joe43410.200.30-0.090.0654114.613.31.2813.512.90.62
Jaylin Williams26250.160.34-0.180.1027-514.613.61.0613.413.00.39
Aaron Wiggins15130.070.43-0.35-0.0136-314.113.80.2915.512.82.68
Ousmane Dieng21210.020.48-0.450.17-514-1916.513.23.3112.413.3-0.90


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.61,0.59,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.67,0.61,0.55,0.56,0.66,0.77,0.75,0.73,0.62,0.69,0.7,0.63,0.73,0.82,0.83,0.84,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99,1
GameSimilarity Score
LAL 90, MIL 1100.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.5,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.6,0.59,0.59,0.54,0.56,0.64,0.73,0.67,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.73,0.71,0.81,0.85,0.89,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.3%
ORL 92, CLE 1050.5,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.56,0.57,0.59,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.59,0.56,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.75,0.7,0.67,0.61,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.79,0.84,0.8,0.86,0.82,0.91,0.92,0.9,0.93,0.91,0.93,0.99,0.99,1,0.97,0.97,0.97,1,1,195.1%
LAC 88, DEN 1000.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.61,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.6,0.6,0.51,0.58,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.63,0.56,0.59,0.58,0.7,0.7,0.84,0.81,0.74,0.7,0.67,0.71,0.74,0.83,0.84,0.93,0.92,0.92,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.1%