NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

LA Clippers	125		Excitement	9.4 [107]		MVP	Paul George (LAC): +72.8%
Los Angeles Lakers	130		Comeback	8.9 [210]		LVP	Russell Westbrook (LAC): -17.1%

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul George	0.73	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.15,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.29,0.29,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.73,0.73,0.73,0.73,0.73,0.73	0.27	0.46	0.01	16	87%	0.79	3	-0.06	8	87%	0.13
Kawhi Leonard	0.26	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.13,0.04,0.09,0.26	0.18	0.12	0.03	28	61%	0.37	2	-0.10	6	50%	-0.01
P.J. Tucker	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mason Plumlee	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	3	42%	0.01	1	-0.01	6	50%	-0.04
Kobe Brown	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bones Hyland	-0.09	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	7	29%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Norman Powell	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.01	-0.07	0.02	14	43%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ivica Zubac	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.14,-0.14	-0.04	-0.11	-0.01	8	39%	-0.12	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.03
Russell Westbrook	-0.17	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17	-0.05	-0.13	-0.01	21	51%	0.03	6	-0.20	5	60%	-0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LeBron James	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.34,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.34,0.34,0.34	0.34	0.17	0.17	0.00	19	73%	0.41	4	-0.07	10	50%	-0.05
Austin Reaves	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.08,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.06,0.03,0.1,0.23	0.23	-0.07	0.29	-0.02	13	48%	0.33	5	-0.10	5	100%	0.09
D'Angelo Russell	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.09	0.06	0.01	19	64%	0.22	3	-0.08	4	100%	0.07
Anthony Davis	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.13	0.03	0.03	18	60%	0.13	0	0.00	9	78%	0.00
Jaxson Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.02	0.06	0.00	1	75%	0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Christian Wood	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.01	0.01	6	83%	0.08	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Cam Reddish	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	-0.00	7	44%	0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	0.02
Max Christie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	7	31%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	25.5	3.4	29.6	15.5	32.7	3.5	39.3	2.5	13.3	165.4
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	2.4	15.0	135.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +15.9%

LAL +18.6%

LAL +13.6%

LAL +11.8%

LAC -9.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	LAL	NBA	LAC	LAL	NBA
this game	14.7	14.1	14.5	114.7	116.1	113.9
season	14.9	14.1		116.6	114.4
opponent	14.3	14.4		114.3	114.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
LAC	13.3	14.4	15.4	15.4	16.4	14.7
LAL	14.4	14.4	10.7	15.9	16.9	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Paul George	75	79	0.75	-1.25	1.99	0.10	22	-27	49	14.2	15.9	-1.68	14.1	13.9	0.26
Bones Hyland	70	75	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.29	8	-13	21	14.7	14.7	-0.03	13.5	15.1	-1.60
Kobe Brown	12	12	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.13	-7	2	-9	14.5	14.8	-0.25	15.3	13.9	1.42
Mason Plumlee	42	40	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.00	-9	4	-13	14.1	15.1	-1.02	13.2	14.5	-1.26
Kawhi Leonard	86	89	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.46	4	-9	13	14.7	15.0	-0.29	13.9	14.8	-0.96
Russell Westbrook	91	93	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.19	-8	3	-11	14.6	15.5	-0.93	13.9	14.9	-1.00
Norman Powell	69	71	-0.64	0.14	-0.79	-0.23	-14	9	-23	15.1	14.1	0.91	15.0	12.4	2.68
P.J. Tucker	42	41	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.21	-15	10	-25	15.2	14.4	0.80	14.5	13.8	0.67
Ivica Zubac	58	60	-0.79	0.29	-1.07	-0.61	-6	1	-7	15.5	13.8	1.66	14.0	14.1	-0.10

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Davis	101	97	0.69	-0.19	0.89	0.37	11	-6	17	13.7	17.6	-3.96	14.9	13.6	1.28
Christian Wood	59	59	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.13	14	-9	23	14.7	13.4	1.26	15.2	14.2	0.93
D'Angelo Russell	78	73	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.35	3	2	1	13.6	15.1	-1.56	14.8	14.6	0.25
Cam Reddish	79	76	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.56	-4	9	-13	13.7	14.8	-1.11	14.7	14.8	-0.05
LeBron James	91	87	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.14	6	-1	7	14.5	12.4	2.07	14.3	16.4	-2.05
Jaxson Hayes	28	28	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.06	0	5	-5	14.8	13.8	1.01	15.0	14.6	0.37
Max Christie	45	47	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.05	0	5	-5	13.4	14.5	-1.07	14.7	14.7	0.04
Austin Reaves	79	78	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.12	-5	10	-15	14.6	12.9	1.68	14.5	15.3	-0.75

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.46,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.23,0.17,0.25,0.22,0.26,0.25,0.23,0.24,0.22,0.23,0.22,0.16,0.17,0.14,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.22,0.14,0.15,0.25,0.22,0.34,0.37,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.47,0.48,0.56,0.69,0.85,0.9,0.9,0.89,0.99,0.98,0.54,0.46,0.78,0.9,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 102, NYK 105	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.32,0.33,0.33,0.29,0.3,0.26,0.24,0.21,0.19,0.22,0.32,0.23,0.2,0.19,0.18,0.22,0.16,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.12,0.21,0.26,0.32,0.38,0.44,0.56,0.64,0.54,0.52,0.62,0.62,0.68,0.86,0.88,0.91,0.9,0.84,0.77,0.74,0.54,0.48,0.78,0.9,0.84,1	91.6%
MIN 136, BOS 145	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.37,0.4,0.29,0.23,0.22,0.24,0.27,0.25,0.18,0.21,0.17,0.19,0.18,0.21,0.2,0.25,0.19,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.13,0.2,0.14,0.26,0.37,0.44,0.3,0.34,0.38,0.37,0.53,0.69,0.81,0.86,0.96,0.99,0.97,0.84,0.54,0.61,0.63,0.85,0.99,1	91.4%
NYK 115, LAL 122	0.5,0.51,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.29,0.26,0.29,0.27,0.25,0.2,0.22,0.25,0.25,0.29,0.29,0.25,0.21,0.2,0.16,0.12,0.09,0.13,0.08,0.11,0.12,0.21,0.18,0.15,0.27,0.35,0.35,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.56,0.56,0.62,0.52,0.54,0.67,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.87,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.46,0.45,0.69,0.91,1,1	90.0%