inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Minnesota Timberwolves 113 Excitement5.0 [782] MVPDejounte Murray (ATL): +39.0%
Atlanta Hawks 127 Comeback23.6 [50] LVPClint Capela (ATL): -5.2%


Minnesota Timberwolves
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Anthony Edwards0.130,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.17,0.16,0.14,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.110.00-0.022172%0.215-0.0810%-0.02
Naz Reid0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.03-0.01-0.061254%0.0810.0000%0.00
Rudy Gobert0.070,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.060.020.00756%0.0700.001173%-0.02
Jaden McDaniels0.070,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.12-0.010.046100%0.0700.0000%0.00
Shake Milton0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.04-0.03-0.02862%0.0210.0000%0.00
Daishen Nix0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Luka Garza0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Josh Minott0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jordan McLaughlin0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Nickeil Alexander-Walker-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.030.01-0.02337%0.011-0.0120%-0.03
Mike Conley-0.010,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.03-0.01-0.03933%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Karl-Anthony Towns-0.020,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.02-0.020.021746%-0.0200.001100%0.00
Kyle Anderson-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.05-0.00-0.03540%0.022-0.0500%0.00

Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Dejounte Murray0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.1,0.12,0.15,0.28,0.32,0.32,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.390.390.260.160.032479%0.463-0.074100%0.03
Trae Young0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.09,0.15,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.020.06-0.032249%0.131-0.025100%0.02
Onyeka Okongwu0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.100.020.033100%0.0900.004100%0.01
Saddiq Bey0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.10-0.020.005110%0.131-0.0400%0.00
De'Andre Hunter0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.12-0.000.061073%0.0600.00250%-0.01
Jalen Johnson0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.070.000.02780%0.062-0.011100%0.00
AJ Griffin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.040.000.001150%0.0400.0000%0.00
Bogdan Bogdanovic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.030.03-0.021040%0.051-0.0200%0.00
Mouhamed Gueye00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Bruno Fernando00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Kobe Bufkin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Clint Capela0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.05-0.000.00325%-0.031-0.022100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game21.42.528.415.328.72.426.5125.2
league avg25.82.328.015.028.22.332.4135.1
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ATL +44.1%
ATL +9.1%
MIN -13.1%
ATL +6.6%
ATL +3.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMINATLNBAMINATLNBA
this game15.413.814.5114.1129.6113.9
season14.814.2114.7115.7
opponent14.314.6118.0107.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIN15.013.718.714.215.4
ATL16.314.610.114.613.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Karl-Anthony Towns76760.04-0.540.570.27-8-6-215.216.1-0.9613.614.6-0.97
Daishen Nix220.00-0.500.50-0.124-18229.015.5-6.5323.013.69.35
Luka Garza220.00-0.500.50-0.124-18229.015.5-6.5323.013.69.35
Josh Minott220.00-0.500.50-0.124-18229.015.5-6.5323.013.69.35
Jordan McLaughlin220.00-0.500.50-0.124-18229.015.5-6.5323.013.69.35
Anthony Edwards7878-0.09-0.410.320.17-9-5-415.614.80.8013.216.1-2.91
Shake Milton3534-0.17-0.330.16-0.232-161814.715.7-1.0114.113.70.48
Kyle Anderson5552-0.19-0.310.130.05-8-6-214.516.5-2.0712.815.0-2.27
Mike Conley5658-0.27-0.23-0.040.08-12-2-1016.014.61.4014.213.30.82
Jaden McDaniels4747-0.30-0.20-0.10-0.07-8-6-216.114.71.4014.613.11.46
Nickeil Alexander-Walker2726-0.37-0.13-0.23-0.10-9-5-416.115.10.9914.013.80.22
Rudy Gobert6062-0.530.03-0.56-0.15-13-1-1216.214.22.0014.512.61.94
Naz Reid5349-0.630.13-0.75-0.01-217-2815.315.5-0.2812.415.2-2.82

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Onyeka Okongwu49510.70-0.200.900.0522-83013.614.1-0.4515.615.20.36
Jalen Johnson70710.65-0.150.800.0919-52413.414.9-1.4315.415.4-0.05
Dejounte Murray81810.65-0.150.80-0.0825-113613.415.9-2.4716.012.73.27
Saddiq Bey49490.58-0.080.660.0817-32014.613.11.5116.314.51.77
Bogdan Bogdanovic39420.180.32-0.150.09311-814.813.21.6315.015.7-0.68
Trae Young74730.180.32-0.150.06410-613.514.7-1.2115.116.1-0.98
Mouhamed Gueye220.000.50-0.500.12-418-2223.013.69.359.015.5-6.53
Bruno Fernando220.000.50-0.500.12-418-2223.013.69.359.015.5-6.53
Kobe Bufkin220.000.50-0.500.12-418-2223.013.69.359.015.5-6.53
AJ Griffin1112-0.100.60-0.700.13-822-3015.513.61.9214.815.5-0.64
De'Andre Hunter6464-0.130.63-0.76-0.25410-613.115.2-2.0515.016.1-1.03
Clint Capela4746-0.200.70-0.90-0.08-418-2213.714.0-0.3015.515.30.16


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.5,0.42,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.41,0.38,0.36,0.27,0.24,0.2,0.19,0.15,0.13,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.1,0.04,0.11,0.08,0.13,0.15,0.19,0.23,0.19,0.32,0.5,0.57,0.71,0.83,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.96,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
MIA 109, SAC 1200.5,0.5,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.44,0.42,0.34,0.38,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.34,0.35,0.26,0.25,0.27,0.23,0.24,0.22,0.14,0.1,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.1,0.18,0.15,0.19,0.21,0.33,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.65,0.83,0.88,0.92,0.95,0.9,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,193.7%
CLE 87, DAL 910.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.27,0.28,0.2,0.17,0.13,0.16,0.09,0.13,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.11,0.14,0.2,0.23,0.16,0.24,0.29,0.36,0.5,0.6,0.71,0.72,0.81,0.78,0.76,0.67,0.81,0.93,0.97,1,192.0%
TOR 87, DET 990.5,0.51,0.46,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.39,0.31,0.31,0.25,0.24,0.22,0.19,0.17,0.16,0.18,0.12,0.09,0.11,0.18,0.15,0.09,0.08,0.16,0.15,0.27,0.3,0.33,0.44,0.42,0.66,0.57,0.53,0.73,0.87,0.97,0.93,0.96,0.99,1,1,191.9%