NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	103		Excitement	8.5 [202]		MVP	Troy Brown Jr. (MIN): +32.8%
Minnesota Timberwolves	106		Comeback	3.5 [443]		LVP	Mike Conley (MIN): -11.7%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Aaron Wiggins	0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.08	0.16	0.00	4	100%	0.24	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cason Wallace	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.10	0.03	-0.02	4	100%	0.15	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	0.10	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.07,0.12,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.13,0.1	0.10	0.02	0.02	22	64%	0.17	3	-0.08	6	100%	0.04
Isaiah Joe	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.03	0.00	7	56%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ousmane Dieng	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kenrich Williams	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaylin Williams	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.01	-0.00	6	25%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Josh Giddey	-0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	8	50%	-0.02	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.02
Jalen Williams	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	10	37%	-0.04	1	-0.02	7	86%	0.02
Chet Holmgren	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.23,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.1	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	20	38%	-0.10	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Luguentz Dort	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.04	-0.06	0.01	5	30%	-0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Troy Brown Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.33,0.33	0.33	0.14	0.19	0.01	6	94%	0.36	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.02
Naz Reid	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.28	0.11	0.17	0.00	9	83%	0.31	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gobert	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.08	0.05	0.01	10	65%	0.13	1	-0.01	6	83%	0.02
Anthony Edwards	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.03	0.00	16	55%	0.06	2	-0.06	6	67%	-0.03
Karl-Anthony Towns	0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,0	0.00	-0.09	0.07	-0.02	8	54%	0.15	6	-0.15	8	100%	0.14
Shake Milton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	2	67%	0.02	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.10	-0.01	-0.01	7	21%	-0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.03	-0.01	6	44%	0.02	4	-0.13	4	75%	-0.01
Mike Conley	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	14	32%	-0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	1.8	31.6	14.8	28.7	1.8	37.4	140.5
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +36.9%

MIN +20.9%

MIN +28.0%

OKC -28.2%

OKC -7.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	MIN	NBA	OKC	MIN	NBA
this game	14.3	14.5	14.5	103.0	106.0	113.9
season	13.9	14.8		117.1	114.4
opponent	14.7	14.7		108.4	109.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	12.5	13.7	15.5	15.7	14.3
MIN	15.2	14.0	13.3	15.6	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jaylin Williams	20	22	0.26	-0.76	1.01	0.02	8	-11	19	16.2	13.8	2.42	14.2	14.6	-0.34
Cason Wallace	34	34	0.08	-0.58	0.65	-0.07	5	-8	13	15.2	13.9	1.31	14.4	14.5	-0.12
Isaiah Joe	50	50	0.01	-0.51	0.53	-0.31	11	-14	25	14.3	14.3	0.02	13.8	15.2	-1.38
Kenrich Williams	32	32	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.04	1	-4	5	14.7	14.1	0.56	12.9	15.2	-2.33
Ousmane Dieng	2	3	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.02	-2	-1	-1	17.5	14.2	3.26	14.0	14.5	-0.51
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	72	73	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.38	4	-7	11	13.3	16.9	-3.54	14.1	15.6	-1.46
Josh Giddey	60	59	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.08	-10	7	-17	15.2	13.0	2.18	14.6	14.3	0.25
Luguentz Dort	52	53	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.33	-6	3	-9	13.3	15.4	-2.13	14.8	14.2	0.60
Chet Holmgren	73	72	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.40	-4	1	-5	13.5	16.4	-2.92	14.9	13.5	1.38
Aaron Wiggins	31	30	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.36	-7	4	-11	15.5	13.8	1.75	16.9	13.5	3.40
Jalen Williams	75	73	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.16	-15	12	-27	14.2	14.5	-0.28	14.3	14.9	-0.55

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Conley	77	79	0.84	-0.34	1.18	0.34	17	-14	31	14.5	14.6	-0.10	14.5	13.6	0.87
Karl-Anthony Towns	67	71	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.13	12	-9	21	13.6	16.3	-2.71	13.9	15.2	-1.26
Troy Brown Jr.	43	43	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.42	1	2	-1	14.7	14.3	0.45	14.3	14.3	-0.05
Rudy Gobert	77	77	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.40	-1	4	-5	15.0	12.9	2.10	13.5	16.9	-3.38
Naz Reid	49	47	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.26	1	2	-1	15.1	13.9	1.28	16.3	12.6	3.67
Kyle Anderson	46	46	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.34	-7	10	-17	14.8	14.2	0.54	14.8	13.9	1.00
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	56	54	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.20	-4	7	-11	14.4	14.6	-0.14	13.6	15.2	-1.56
Anthony Edwards	61	59	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	-0.02	0	3	-3	14.1	15.1	-0.96	14.1	14.7	-0.63
Shake Milton	24	24	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	-0.01	-4	7	-11	14.2	14.6	-0.32	14.7	14.2	0.58

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.43,0.45,0.44,0.4,0.45,0.4,0.3,0.32,0.38,0.4,0.43,0.31,0.3,0.32,0.29,0.31,0.25,0.25,0.27,0.26,0.31,0.38,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.36,0.42,0.48,0.57,0.63,0.58,0.53,0.54,0.66,0.86,0.78,0.78,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 112, PHX 120	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.39,0.42,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.38,0.42,0.39,0.32,0.34,0.39,0.33,0.33,0.22,0.35,0.43,0.36,0.42,0.39,0.44,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.34,0.38,0.47,0.42,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.61,0.81,0.9,0.95,1,1	92.9%
NOH 108, MIN 116	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.31,0.28,0.24,0.23,0.29,0.28,0.23,0.27,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.62,0.52,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.48,0.53,0.76,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.73,0.75,0.78,0.9,1,1	92.8%
SAS 87, PHX 94	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.35,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.33,0.32,0.3,0.2,0.2,0.27,0.28,0.37,0.26,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.42,0.35,0.34,0.44,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.48,0.57,0.43,0.44,0.64,0.47,0.61,0.81,0.79,0.95,0.98,1	92.6%