NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	134		Excitement	4.0 [1069]		MVP	Anthony Davis (LAL): +31.0%
Houston Rockets	109		Comeback	1.1 [1289]		LVP	Jalen Green (HOU): -5.2%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Davis	0.31	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.13,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.23,0.23,0.26,0.26,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31	0.31	0.07	0.07	20	77%	0.31	0	0.00	12	83%	0.01
Rui Hachimura	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.08	0.01	-0.04	14	67%	0.13	1	0.00	2	0%	-0.00
Austin Reaves	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.10	-0.01	0.05	7	75%	0.08	2	-0.04	10	90%	0.00
Troy Brown Jr.	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.08	0.00	0.04	3	117%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
D'Angelo Russell	0.03	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	4	67%	0.03	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
LeBron James	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	18	49%	0.04	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Malik Beasley	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	14	46%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarred Vanderbilt	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Davon Reed	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lonnie Walker IV	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	3	83%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Max Christie	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wenyen Gabriel	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	3	33%	-0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Schroder	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	3	12%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Porter Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.08	0.00	0.02	16	62%	0.09	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kenyon Martin Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.01	0.02	8	69%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Josh Christopher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	8	56%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jabari Smith Jr.	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.07	-0.00	0.05	12	58%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Frank Kaminsky	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Usman Garuba	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Boban Marjanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alperen Sengun	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	0.01	17	50%	0.05	2	-0.06	2	0%	-0.03
Daishen Nix	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	4	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tari Eason	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	14	32%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Green	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	0.03	21	48%	-0.01	2	-0.04	8	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.8	1.6	27.2	14.6	25.8	1.7	26.6	121.4
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +31.1%

LAL +11.2%

HOU -6.5%

LAL +13.4%

LAL +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	HOU	NBA	LAL	HOU	NBA
this game	13.2	15.5	14.4	134.0	107.9	113.4
season	14.1	14.8		113.1	109.8
opponent	13.9	14.2		118.0	112.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	13.2	11.4	13.0	15.3	13.2
HOU	16.8	15.9	15.8	13.6	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
LeBron James	62	63	0.42	0.08	0.33	-0.26	23	2	21	12.4	14.4	-2.09	16.4	13.9	2.52
Rui Hachimura	52	52	0.41	0.09	0.33	-0.23	22	3	19	13.7	12.5	1.17	14.8	16.3	-1.50
Dennis Schroder	37	37	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.06	13	12	1	12.5	13.5	-1.05	17.0	14.6	2.33
Austin Reaves	70	71	0.32	0.18	0.13	-0.12	15	10	5	13.3	12.7	0.60	15.0	16.8	-1.81
Anthony Davis	63	63	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.21	2	23	-21	13.7	12.2	1.48	15.8	15.1	0.71
Malik Beasley	46	47	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.21	16	9	7	13.7	12.7	1.01	15.3	15.7	-0.37
Troy Brown Jr.	52	53	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.03	8	17	-9	13.3	13.0	0.29	14.8	16.3	-1.52
Jarred Vanderbilt	32	31	0.11	0.39	-0.29	-0.01	4	21	-17	13.2	13.1	0.06	15.9	15.3	0.54
D'Angelo Russell	31	30	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.05	2	23	-21	12.9	13.3	-0.40	15.8	15.4	0.48
Wenyen Gabriel	31	32	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.32	14	11	3	12.5	13.4	-0.97	15.4	15.5	-0.13
Davon Reed	8	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	23	-21	12.9	13.2	-0.30	14.4	15.6	-1.15
Lonnie Walker IV	8	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	23	-21	12.9	13.2	-0.30	14.4	15.6	-1.15
Max Christie	8	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	23	-21	12.9	13.2	-0.30	14.5	15.6	-1.08

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Frank Kaminsky	9	8	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-23	21	14.4	15.6	-1.15	12.9	13.2	-0.30
Boban Marjanovic	9	8	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-23	21	14.4	15.6	-1.15	12.9	13.2	-0.30
Usman Garuba	4	4	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	0.08	-6	-19	13	20.7	15.3	5.47	11.7	13.2	-1.46
Daishen Nix	25	25	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.13	-8	-17	9	14.9	15.7	-0.82	12.7	13.3	-0.63
Josh Christopher	35	35	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.29	-17	-8	-9	13.7	16.5	-2.81	13.8	12.8	1.04
Jabari Smith Jr.	69	68	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.11	-12	-13	1	15.6	15.2	0.40	13.6	12.1	1.55
Tari Eason	54	54	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.35	-23	-2	-21	15.3	15.8	-0.51	12.4	14.0	-1.57
Alperen Sengun	81	81	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.19	-5	-20	15	15.5	15.6	-0.19	13.4	11.9	1.55
Jalen Green	85	83	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	0.14	-17	-8	-9	15.7	14.4	1.33	13.3	12.6	0.68
Kevin Porter Jr.	76	75	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.10	-17	-8	-9	15.7	14.9	0.82	13.3	12.7	0.63
Kenyon Martin Jr.	58	59	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.04	-16	-9	-7	16.4	14.3	2.08	12.4	14.2	-1.73

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.38,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.39,0.4,0.31,0.29,0.23,0.21,0.14,0.2,0.19,0.15,0.18,0.16,0.2,0.19,0.15,0.25,0.22,0.29,0.31,0.3,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.12,0.12,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 120, BKN 97	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.43,0.41,0.39,0.38,0.36,0.34,0.37,0.31,0.34,0.26,0.26,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.2,0.16,0.19,0.25,0.22,0.26,0.23,0.2,0.3,0.19,0.18,0.15,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.7%
PHX 113, BKN 107	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.38,0.34,0.28,0.31,0.32,0.31,0.29,0.24,0.21,0.22,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.18,0.22,0.25,0.3,0.22,0.26,0.28,0.28,0.19,0.19,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.01,0	96.1%
UTA 97, DEN 91	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.35,0.29,0.3,0.31,0.31,0.32,0.29,0.25,0.21,0.2,0.19,0.21,0.2,0.22,0.19,0.17,0.12,0.15,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.22,0.17,0.16,0.11,0.15,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0	95.8%