NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	110		Excitement	4.7 [952]		MVP	Mikal Bridges (BKN): +11.4%
Brooklyn Nets	111		Comeback	1.1 [1182]		LVP	Kelly Olynyk (UTA): -32.6%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ochai Agbaji	0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09	0.11	0.01	0.03	13	61%	0.09	0	0.00	5	100%	0.01
Talen Horton-Tucker	0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.03,0.06	0.09	0.02	0.05	25	57%	0.09	2	-0.04	6	83%	0.04
Kris Dunn	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.09	0.00	0.08	7	76%	0.03	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Udoka Azubuike	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Walker Kessler	-0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.01	5	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Luka Samanic	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	3	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Juan Toscano-Anderson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	5	40%	-0.00	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Lauri Markkanen	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	0.03	21	48%	0.01	2	-0.05	6	100%	0.01
Simone Fontecchio	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	5	17%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.01
Kelly Olynyk	-0.33	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.33	-0.08	-0.22	0.02	7	39%	-0.26	3	-0.07	4	75%	-0.01

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mikal Bridges	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11	0.11	0.03	0.03	-0.05	25	48%	0.13	1	-0.02	13	85%	0.03
Spencer Dinwiddie	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.11	0.11	0.03	0.02	-0.06	13	53%	0.14	2	-0.03	6	83%	-0.01
Cameron Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.02	0.01	9	69%	0.11	2	-0.03	8	87%	0.01
Nic Claxton	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.12	0.00	0.04	8	82%	0.08	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Yuta Watanabe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.01	0.02	4	75%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dorian Finney-Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.01	0.02	6	57%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Day'Ron Sharpe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	3	75%	0.01	2	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Cam Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Royce O'Neale	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	5	30%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Joe Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Seth Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.11	-0.11	-0.00	-0.11	-0.00	7	44%	-0.11	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.17

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	2.4	29.2	14.4	28.7	2.4	38.7	138.2
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BKN +50.9%

UTA -2.8%

UTA -15.2%

BKN +10.7%

BKN +6.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	BKN	NBA	UTA	BKN	NBA
this game	12.8	15.4	14.4	107.8	108.8	113.4
season	14.3	14.4		114.4	113.7
opponent	14.8	14.1		113.0	115.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	15.5	12.3	13.0	10.6	12.8
BKN	14.5	16.5	12.7	18.2	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luka Samanic	20	19	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	0.07	-8	7	-15	14.3	12.4	1.91	17.2	15.0	2.20
Walker Kessler	45	44	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.07	-4	3	-7	14.9	11.1	3.79	14.5	16.2	-1.70
Ochai Agbaji	64	62	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.16	-1	0	-1	13.4	11.9	1.51	14.0	17.6	-3.54
Kelly Olynyk	69	69	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.52	10	-11	21	13.2	12.0	1.16	15.5	15.3	0.18
Lauri Markkanen	75	75	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.56	11	-12	23	12.5	13.7	-1.26	15.3	15.7	-0.43
Udoka Azubuike	30	30	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	0.12	-13	12	-25	12.5	12.9	-0.40	15.6	15.4	0.21
Juan Toscano-Anderson	47	48	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.38	4	-5	9	11.1	14.3	-3.25	17.0	14.0	2.94
Simone Fontecchio	29	30	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	0.10	-13	12	-25	12.7	12.9	-0.22	14.0	16.0	-1.97
Talen Horton-Tucker	72	73	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.50	7	-8	15	13.2	12.0	1.20	15.2	16.0	-0.86
Kris Dunn	59	60	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.44	2	-3	5	11.2	15.0	-3.74	16.7	13.5	3.23

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mikal Bridges	83	83	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.32	8	-7	15	14.9	17.6	-2.72	12.9	12.5	0.42
Spencer Dinwiddie	72	72	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.31	4	-3	7	15.1	16.3	-1.24	13.5	11.1	2.48
Nic Claxton	68	66	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.25	3	-2	5	15.9	14.4	1.47	13.0	12.5	0.53
Cameron Johnson	67	68	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.35	-1	2	-3	14.9	16.4	-1.53	13.4	11.6	1.75
Royce O'Neale	42	44	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.25	-1	2	-3	15.0	15.7	-0.80	12.0	13.4	-1.43
Dorian Finney-Smith	62	61	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.21	0	1	-1	15.3	15.6	-0.33	13.0	12.5	0.59
Seth Curry	38	38	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.34	-7	8	-15	15.8	15.2	0.67	11.5	13.6	-2.14
Yuta Watanabe	17	16	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.06	2	-1	3	18.4	14.8	3.52	12.5	12.9	-0.37
Day'Ron Sharpe	31	32	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.10	0	1	-1	15.6	15.3	0.27	13.4	12.5	0.86
Joe Harris	11	11	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.03	1	0	1	17.1	15.2	1.87	10.2	13.1	-2.95
Cam Thomas	19	19	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.13	-4	5	-9	15.8	15.3	0.52	11.6	13.1	-1.52

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.55,0.53,0.59,0.67,0.71,0.73,0.75,0.79,0.76,0.77,0.79,0.69,0.72,0.74,0.73,0.74,0.69,0.73,0.8,0.79,0.8,0.83,0.81,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,0.97,1,1,1,1,0.98,0.97,0.95,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 84, NJN 113	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.5,0.53,0.6,0.57,0.61,0.67,0.69,0.75,0.77,0.82,0.83,0.82,0.84,0.8,0.77,0.73,0.75,0.74,0.69,0.67,0.75,0.71,0.74,0.78,0.87,0.92,0.96,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.4%
CHI 95, LAL 103	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.61,0.63,0.67,0.71,0.68,0.7,0.76,0.77,0.75,0.78,0.77,0.77,0.74,0.74,0.72,0.7,0.75,0.74,0.83,0.87,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1	96.3%
NJN 77, LAC 90	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.63,0.66,0.7,0.72,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.77,0.76,0.72,0.73,0.78,0.77,0.8,0.82,0.8,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.87,0.9,0.89,0.88,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%