NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	125		Excitement	9.7 [108]		MVP	Tyrese Haliburton (IND): +76.2%
Chicago Bulls	122		Comeback	2.6 [282]		LVP	Nikola Vucevic (CHI): -4.2%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyrese Haliburton	0.76	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.42,0.42,0.76	0.19	0.60	0.03	17	83%	0.83	3	-0.07	1	100%	0.00
Buddy Hield	0.28	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.28	-0.01	0.29	-0.01	9	47%	0.30	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Oshae Brissett	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.07	0.06	-0.00	7	71%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Duarte	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.08	0.06	0.01	10	75%	0.18	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Myles Turner	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.08	0.03	0.00	13	59%	0.11	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
T.J. McConnell	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.02	-0.03	8	53%	0.08	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Bennedict Mathurin	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,0.07,0.07	0.01	0.06	-0.00	12	55%	0.13	2	-0.06	7	100%	0.05
Isaiah Jackson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.00	6	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Nembhard	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Nwora	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	7	53%	0.00	1	-0.01	5	60%	-0.04

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zach LaVine	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.08,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.32,0.33,0.48,0.4,0.29,0.66	0.66	0.24	0.42	-0.00	23	71%	0.80	3	-0.13	13	85%	0.02
DeMar DeRozan	0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.06	0.08	0.01	16	64%	0.20	3	-0.06	4	100%	0.04
Patrick Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.08	0.03	-0.00	6	100%	0.21	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.02
Alex Caruso	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.10	0.01	0.02	4	83%	0.10	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Ayo Dosunmu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.03	-0.00	3	62%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Andre Drummond	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Coby White	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	7	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Jones Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Beverley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	3	83%	0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Vucevic	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04	-0.04	0.03	-0.07	0.01	10	60%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.3	2.5	28.6	14.7	29.1	2.4	34.3	137.9
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +50.3%

CHI -14.6%

CHI -10.6%

IND +26.4%

CHI -1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	CHI	NBA	IND	CHI	NBA
this game	15.6	14.6	14.4	131.6	127.1	113.4
season	13.7	14.1		113.3	112.0
opponent	14.9	14.4		110.9	116.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	14.7	15.3	15.6	17.1	15.6
CHI	12.5	14.1	16.4	15.6	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bennedict Mathurin	67	68	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.35	7	-4	11	16.5	13.5	2.94	13.5	17.0	-3.51
T.J. McConnell	33	34	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.05	14	-11	25	16.4	15.2	1.20	13.3	15.2	-1.95
Jordan Nwora	43	44	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.42	-4	7	-11	13.7	17.2	-3.54	15.8	13.5	2.34
Isaiah Jackson	41	42	0.26	0.24	0.01	-0.01	9	-6	15	17.0	14.5	2.53	13.3	15.5	-2.21
Myles Turner	54	54	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.42	-6	9	-15	14.5	17.0	-2.53	15.5	13.3	2.21
Oshae Brissett	36	36	0.24	0.26	-0.03	-0.06	10	-7	17	17.2	14.6	2.64	14.1	14.8	-0.79
Tyrese Haliburton	67	67	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.44	-7	10	-17	15.0	17.1	-2.07	15.1	13.3	1.73
Chris Duarte	46	45	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.04	3	0	3	17.1	14.2	2.90	13.4	15.6	-2.17
Buddy Hield	48	51	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.35	-10	13	-23	15.3	16.0	-0.69	15.5	13.5	1.96
Andrew Nembhard	40	39	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.06	-1	4	-5	13.8	16.9	-3.08	15.7	13.8	1.92

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derrick Jones Jr.	12	13	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.07	3	-6	9	13.4	14.7	-1.30	18.1	15.2	2.86
Coby White	40	42	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.10	1	-4	5	13.5	15.3	-1.80	16.9	14.6	2.32
Patrick Williams	42	42	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.00	-4	1	-5	13.4	15.5	-2.08	17.2	14.3	2.87
Andre Drummond	13	12	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.06	-6	3	-9	12.5	14.9	-2.33	17.3	15.4	1.97
Ayo Dosunmu	30	29	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.10	-3	0	-3	13.4	15.1	-1.63	17.2	14.9	2.35
Patrick Beverley	65	65	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.35	3	-6	9	15.3	13.0	2.29	14.7	17.6	-2.91
Alex Caruso	54	52	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.36	1	-4	5	15.5	13.4	2.08	14.6	16.8	-2.20
Nikola Vucevic	71	70	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.40	0	-3	3	15.1	13.0	2.15	14.9	17.7	-2.86
Zach LaVine	78	76	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.38	-1	-2	1	14.2	16.0	-1.78	15.1	17.6	-2.53
DeMar DeRozan	75	74	-0.61	0.11	-0.73	-0.35	-9	6	-15	15.3	12.0	3.27	15.4	16.5	-1.17

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.62,0.64,0.58,0.65,0.59,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.7,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.51,0.44,0.35,0.27,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.39,0.3,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.26,0.26,0.31,0.27,0.3,0.32,0.26,0.22,0.21,0.17,0.23,0.31,0.4,0.58,0.53,0.71,0.45,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 90, SAS 88	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.59,0.67,0.69,0.65,0.58,0.65,0.72,0.64,0.6,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.36,0.31,0.28,0.39,0.33,0.3,0.21,0.16,0.2,0.19,0.24,0.26,0.2,0.24,0.17,0.19,0.18,0.19,0.16,0.18,0.2,0.27,0.41,0.42,0.54,0.52,0.64,0.45,0.28,0	91.7%
SEA 106, SAC 101	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.67,0.64,0.62,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.33,0.38,0.41,0.38,0.34,0.37,0.29,0.22,0.3,0.21,0.14,0.23,0.18,0.41,0.46,0.62,0.64,0.55,0.26,0	90.5%
PHI 93, DAL 89	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.56,0.59,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.34,0.29,0.31,0.36,0.27,0.25,0.29,0.23,0.28,0.24,0.24,0.35,0.38,0.28,0.27,0.23,0.25,0.3,0.3,0.21,0.17,0.32,0.41,0.53,0.6,0.68,0.54,0.22,0.15,0	90.2%