NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	105		Excitement	8.2 [306]		MVP	Tobias Harris (PHI): +52.2%
Philadelphia 76ers	110		Comeback	20.2 [123]		LVP	Ja Morant (MEM): -38.9%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jaren Jackson Jr.	0.17	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.16,0.23,0.17	0.03	0.12	-0.02	16	46%	0.17	0	0.00	7	100%	0.03
David Roddy	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.05	0.07	0.00	6	75%	0.14	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
John Konchar	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.01	0.01	3	90%	0.08	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Brandon Clarke	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Santi Aldama	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	43%	0.00	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Dillon Brooks	-0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	0.01	0.01	9	50%	0.04	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.03
Xavier Tillman	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	6	44%	-0.00	1	-0.01	6	67%	-0.08
Tyus Jones	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Desmond Bane	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.03,-0.06	0.06	-0.10	0.03	20	61%	-0.01	3	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Ja Morant	-0.39	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.25,-0.39	-0.13	-0.27	-0.01	16	36%	-0.32	3	-0.07	10	90%	0.03

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tobias Harris	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.03,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.52	0.52	0.13	0.39	-0.00	10	77%	0.55	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.04
James Harden	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.36,0.25	0.25	0.20	0.08	0.03	16	79%	0.34	4	-0.09	7	71%	-0.01
P.J. Tucker	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	3	100%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jalen McDaniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Joel Embiid	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.12,-0.08,-0.01,-0.1,-0.1,0.01	0.01	-0.09	0.08	-0.01	25	40%	0.05	2	-0.04	17	76%	0.02
Paul Reed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shake Milton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Georges Niang	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	0.02	5	50%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
De'Anthony Melton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tyrese Maxey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.02	18	40%	-0.05	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	32.5	3.5	29.2	16.0	32.2	2.8	45.3	161.5
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +78.2%

PHI +2.7%

MEM -25.5%

MEM -5.1%

MEM -0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	PHI	NBA	MEM	PHI	NBA
this game	13.4	15.2	14.4	105.0	108.9	113.4
season	13.9	15.2		113.4	115.9
opponent	14.5	14.3		112.3	110.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	10.7	13.9	14.4	15.3	13.4
PHI	14.5	17.4	14.4	14.7	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Santi Aldama	31	32	0.14	-0.64	0.79	-0.03	6	-11	17	11.9	14.1	-2.19	16.6	14.6	2.04
David Roddy	30	30	0.14	-0.64	0.77	0.14	0	-5	5	13.5	13.4	0.12	15.8	14.9	0.90
John Konchar	37	38	0.12	-0.62	0.75	0.04	3	-8	11	12.5	14.0	-1.57	14.6	15.5	-0.91
Brandon Clarke	34	34	0.10	-0.60	0.69	0.18	-3	-2	-1	13.6	13.3	0.30	14.2	15.7	-1.45
Tyus Jones	34	35	0.09	-0.59	0.67	0.06	1	-6	7	13.6	13.4	0.16	14.0	15.8	-1.88
Desmond Bane	71	69	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.46	0	-5	5	13.4	13.5	-0.05	14.6	16.5	-1.91
Xavier Tillman	65	65	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.42	-4	-1	-3	13.4	13.5	-0.01	16.1	13.6	2.55
Jaren Jackson Jr.	70	70	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.36	-9	4	-13	14.0	12.1	1.93	14.4	17.1	-2.74
Ja Morant	66	67	-0.67	0.17	-0.84	-0.49	-6	1	-7	13.4	13.6	-0.16	15.7	14.3	1.36
Dillon Brooks	62	65	-0.80	0.30	-1.09	-0.41	-13	8	-21	14.0	12.5	1.49	15.9	14.0	1.90

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tobias Harris	69	66	0.74	-0.24	0.99	0.39	12	-7	19	15.8	13.8	1.98	13.8	12.7	1.08
P.J. Tucker	65	66	0.72	-0.22	0.95	0.40	11	-6	17	15.3	15.0	0.26	14.2	12.1	2.06
Joel Embiid	81	80	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.50	6	-1	7	15.3	14.6	0.75	13.1	14.7	-1.62
James Harden	82	80	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.36	5	0	5	15.8	12.5	3.29	13.7	12.3	1.44
Tyrese Maxey	76	77	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.21	8	-3	11	15.1	15.6	-0.59	13.8	12.4	1.37
Shake Milton	18	19	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.04	2	3	-1	13.2	15.6	-2.47	12.6	13.7	-1.08
Jalen McDaniels	33	33	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	-0.02	-2	7	-9	12.9	16.3	-3.40	13.3	13.5	-0.17
De'Anthony Melton	31	29	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	0.14	-8	13	-21	16.2	14.8	1.44	11.9	14.1	-2.19
Paul Reed	13	12	-0.16	0.66	-0.81	-0.07	-3	8	-11	16.7	15.0	1.72	13.7	13.4	0.34
Georges Niang	37	38	-0.28	0.78	-1.06	-0.10	-6	11	-17	14.1	15.8	-1.68	12.7	13.9	-1.28

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.41,0.45,0.37,0.34,0.32,0.3,0.31,0.3,0.22,0.21,0.26,0.18,0.19,0.17,0.16,0.14,0.15,0.11,0.12,0.16,0.18,0.26,0.25,0.28,0.27,0.21,0.23,0.25,0.13,0.2,0.19,0.18,0.26,0.15,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.14,0.05,0.26,0.19,0.45,0.23,0.27,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 81, BOS 82	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.35,0.37,0.37,0.32,0.28,0.34,0.38,0.34,0.32,0.31,0.23,0.29,0.24,0.21,0.17,0.18,0.21,0.19,0.18,0.16,0.19,0.18,0.15,0.13,0.21,0.21,0.22,0.14,0.17,0.16,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.06,0.11,0.36,0.43,0.27,1	92.6%
UTA 98, MIN 100	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.48,0.43,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.37,0.32,0.31,0.24,0.26,0.24,0.26,0.23,0.27,0.26,0.18,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.13,0.16,0.18,0.17,0.26,0.31,0.39,0.3,0.21,0.12,0.19,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.2,0.22,0.32,0.17,1	91.9%
ATL 93, MIA 95	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.4,0.43,0.43,0.35,0.31,0.29,0.26,0.28,0.22,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.17,0.2,0.21,0.15,0.18,0.12,0.11,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.16,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.15,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.09,0.17,0.36,0.15,0.43,0.42,1	91.4%