NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Pelicans	103		Excitement	6.5 [626]		MVP	Josh Richardson (NOP): +15.0%
Oklahoma City Thunder	100		Comeback	1.0 [699]		LVP	Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (OKC): -16.2%

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Josh Richardson	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.13,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.04	0.11	-0.00	8	56%	0.15	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Brandon Ingram	0.11	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.08,0.07,0.13,0.09,0.11	0.09	0.03	0.01	24	67%	0.31	6	-0.20	3	100%	0.01
Jonas Valanciunas	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.01	-0.01	6	82%	0.15	3	-0.08	5	80%	0.00
Larry Nance Jr.	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.03	-0.00	3	67%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kira Lewis Jr.	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.00	5	58%	0.06	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Herbert Jones	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.01	4	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jose Alvarado	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	11	64%	0.09	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Naji Marshall	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	-0.00	2	67%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jaxson Hayes	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Trey Murphy III	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	11	46%	0.02	3	-0.06	4	75%	0.00

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Isaiah Joe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06	0.06	0.07	-0.00	0.01	13	62%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06	0.06	0.12	-0.01	0.06	15	69%	0.09	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Kenrich Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.03	0.00	7	64%	0.08	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Lindy Waters III	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	75%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Wiggins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.02	0.01	1	150%	0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Josh Giddey	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.09,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	16	52%	0.08	4	-0.12	1	100%	0.01
Jaylin Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	5	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luguentz Dort	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	7	30%	-0.10	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.05
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,-0.05,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16	-0.16	-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	21	47%	0.03	6	-0.19	9	89%	0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.6	1.8	28.0	14.4	28.3	1.8	32.4	131.3
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOP +67.3%

NOP +3.8%

OKC -24.5%

OKC -2.1%

NOP +5.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOP	OKC	NBA	NOP	OKC	NBA
this game	15.9	14.1	14.4	107.3	104.2	113.4
season	14.2	13.7		113.4	113.5
opponent	14.5	14.6		112.8	111.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOP	14.8	16.8	15.0	17.0	15.9
OKC	15.8	12.7	13.8	14.3	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Richardson	66	65	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.39	4	-1	5	16.3	15.0	1.24	14.4	13.6	0.74
Jonas Valanciunas	50	52	0.45	0.05	0.41	-0.02	16	-13	29	15.1	16.7	-1.56	15.0	13.1	1.89
Trey Murphy III	63	65	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.06	13	-10	23	14.9	17.8	-2.85	14.6	13.1	1.50
Naji Marshall	46	44	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.09	8	-5	13	15.3	16.4	-1.16	15.8	12.7	3.06
Kira Lewis Jr.	38	36	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.08	7	-4	11	15.2	16.3	-1.12	15.7	13.2	2.53
Jose Alvarado	58	60	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.29	-4	7	-11	16.3	15.2	1.12	13.2	15.7	-2.53
Herbert Jones	48	51	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.32	-5	8	-13	16.3	15.4	0.90	12.8	15.6	-2.88
Brandon Ingram	66	65	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.40	-11	14	-25	16.3	14.9	1.38	13.0	16.5	-3.45
Larry Nance Jr.	42	38	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.41	-13	16	-29	17.3	14.8	2.53	13.2	14.7	-1.58
Jaxson Hayes	3	4	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.02	0	3	-3	13.0	16.0	-2.98	17.2	14.0	3.27

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luguentz Dort	50	50	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.33	13	-16	29	12.1	16.3	-4.29	16.6	15.1	1.53
Lindy Waters III	11	11	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.05	-5	2	-7	15.5	13.9	1.62	15.1	16.0	-0.90
Jalen Williams	79	79	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.40	10	-13	23	13.2	18.4	-5.22	16.3	13.8	2.51
Jaylin Williams	35	34	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.08	-7	4	-11	14.0	14.2	-0.23	14.9	16.5	-1.60
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	78	78	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.40	9	-12	21	13.3	17.4	-4.10	16.2	14.4	1.84
Aaron Wiggins	24	24	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.22	-1	-2	1	15.1	13.8	1.29	16.2	15.8	0.43
Kenrich Williams	58	60	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.40	1	-4	5	14.5	13.5	1.02	16.4	15.0	1.46
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl	33	34	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.06	-11	8	-19	16.7	12.8	3.89	15.1	16.3	-1.28
Josh Giddey	67	67	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.20	-8	5	-13	14.3	13.7	0.56	15.5	16.8	-1.35
Isaiah Joe	45	43	-0.64	0.14	-0.77	-0.17	-16	13	-29	16.0	12.5	3.47	15.0	16.6	-1.69

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.4,0.41,0.42,0.36,0.37,0.32,0.28,0.27,0.3,0.34,0.36,0.38,0.29,0.17,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.13,0.18,0.21,0.18,0.25,0.3,0.34,0.27,0.3,0.36,0.32,0.28,0.34,0.41,0.44,0.32,0.38,0.19,0.1,0.14,0.12,0.17,0.15,0.13,0.05,0.15,0.11,0.1,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 87, HOU 80	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.41,0.41,0.33,0.31,0.34,0.3,0.33,0.28,0.21,0.23,0.22,0.16,0.14,0.15,0.16,0.14,0.18,0.2,0.21,0.26,0.22,0.33,0.36,0.35,0.38,0.31,0.3,0.27,0.28,0.22,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.16,0.21,0.19,0.1,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.04,0	93.8%
MIN 101, MEM 93	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.34,0.32,0.31,0.32,0.36,0.28,0.28,0.26,0.21,0.21,0.24,0.2,0.16,0.12,0.19,0.15,0.2,0.22,0.29,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.29,0.32,0.35,0.38,0.31,0.26,0.25,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.2,0.15,0.13,0.12,0.09,0.08,0.11,0.1,0.01,0	92.9%
IND 110, MIL 100	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.37,0.31,0.28,0.32,0.32,0.3,0.24,0.25,0.23,0.17,0.08,0.11,0.15,0.18,0.17,0.16,0.18,0.29,0.37,0.37,0.33,0.27,0.42,0.32,0.31,0.34,0.22,0.11,0.22,0.08,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.11,0.04,0.07,0.02,0.02,0,0	92.7%