NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	114		Excitement	11.6 [28]		MVP	Kevon Looney (GSW): +7.8%
Minnesota Timberwolves	119		Comeback	20.0 [49]		LVP	Klay Thompson (GSW): -48.5%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevon Looney	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	-0.00	0.00	5	83%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jonathan Kuminga	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	8	56%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Jordan Poole	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.04,0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.02	0.01	13	50%	0.10	2	-0.11	10	90%	0.10
Andrew Wiggins	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.01	13	57%	0.09	2	-0.11	2	50%	-0.02
Anthony Lamb	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donte DiVincenzo	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.00	-0.05	-0.00	7	50%	0.04	1	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Draymond Green	-0.20	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.2,-0.2	-0.10	-0.11	-0.01	10	43%	-0.02	5	-0.18	3	0%	-0.06
Stephen Curry	-0.20	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.02,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.13,0.21,0.21,0.24,0.24,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.07,-0.05,0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.2	0.05	-0.28	-0.03	21	57%	-0.04	4	-0.17	9	89%	0.02
Klay Thompson	-0.48	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.15,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33,-0.42,-0.48,-0.48	-0.04	-0.44	0.01	13	44%	-0.23	2	-0.26	6	100%	0.03

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.05	0.00	6	53%	0.07	0	0.00	5	20%	-0.06
Jaylen Nowell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.00	5	55%	0.03	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Austin Rivers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.07	-0.04	0.01	6	71%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Taurean Prince	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.04	0.06	0.00	7	36%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Naz Reid	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.35,0.08,0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06	-0.06	0.03	-0.08	0.01	22	50%	-0.03	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
D'Angelo Russell	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.14,0.18,0.29,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.12,0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.11	-0.16	0.01	23	63%	0.09	3	-0.16	0	0%	0.00
Jaden McDaniels	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	-0.08	-0.00	8	45%	-0.08	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Luka Garza	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.05
Anthony Edwards	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.22,-0.22,-0.4,-0.46,-0.46,-0.53,-0.36,-0.39	-0.39	-0.10	-0.28	0.00	26	47%	-0.07	6	-0.32	6	83%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	24.6	2.0	28.3	15.3	30.7	2.4	32.4	2.4	12.5	150.5
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	2.3	15.0	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +31.6%

GSW -35.3%

MIN +8.9%

MIN +41.0%

MIN +3.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	MIN	NBA	GSW	MIN	NBA
this game	13.4	14.4	14.4	100.0	103.5	113.4
season	13.9	14.1		114.1	112.4
opponent	14.3	14.1		112.7	112.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
GSW	13.4	12.7	13.4	14.3	12.9	13.4
MIN	13.3	14.0	15.4	14.5	15.5	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevon Looney	62	64	0.43	-0.93	1.36	0.08	12	-17	29	12.9	14.0	-1.08	14.3	14.4	-0.10
Donte DiVincenzo	55	53	0.05	-0.55	0.60	0.26	-7	2	-9	14.2	12.6	1.59	13.4	15.2	-1.81
Anthony Lamb	15	16	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.02	0	-5	5	13.5	13.4	0.08	14.2	14.4	-0.14
Jonathan Kuminga	34	33	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.09	-4	-1	-3	13.1	13.5	-0.48	14.5	14.3	0.24
Klay Thompson	88	89	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.38	2	-7	9	13.0	14.8	-1.88	14.5	13.8	0.73
Draymond Green	83	83	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.26	-6	1	-7	13.6	12.9	0.68	14.9	13.0	1.95
Andrew Wiggins	74	74	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.24	-8	3	-11	14.2	11.9	2.23	14.0	15.1	-1.12
Stephen Curry	91	92	-0.85	0.35	-1.19	-0.70	-5	0	-5	13.3	13.6	-0.27	14.4	14.1	0.30
Jordan Poole	68	71	-0.85	0.35	-1.21	-0.59	-9	4	-13	12.9	14.2	-1.27	14.6	14.0	0.57

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Austin Rivers	60	59	1.07	-0.57	1.64	0.63	15	-10	25	13.8	15.0	-1.23	13.8	12.9	0.87
Kyle Anderson	87	85	0.85	-0.35	1.19	0.35	17	-12	29	14.3	14.6	-0.26	13.4	13.4	0.02
Taurean Prince	43	43	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.59	0	5	-5	14.8	14.1	0.70	13.2	13.5	-0.37
Jaden McDaniels	84	84	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.26	7	-2	9	14.3	14.6	-0.37	13.5	13.1	0.35
Anthony Edwards	84	83	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.32	-9	14	-23	14.7	13.5	1.17	13.1	14.1	-0.92
Naz Reid	79	78	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.10	5	0	5	14.0	15.2	-1.15	13.5	13.2	0.21
D'Angelo Russell	75	75	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	-0.19	3	2	1	14.4	14.3	0.15	13.7	12.9	0.76
Luka Garza	27	26	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	-0.05	-2	7	-9	15.4	14.0	1.40	13.3	13.4	-0.11
Jaylen Nowell	36	37	-0.37	0.87	-1.23	-0.04	-11	16	-27	14.4	14.4	-0.02	12.7	13.7	-0.98

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.5,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.39,0.31,0.35,0.25,0.37,0.4,0.33,0.32,0.36,0.23,0.29,0.27,0.2,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.2,0.23,0.26,0.47,0.39,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.53,0.54,0.39,0.37,0.65,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 96, LAC 100	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.44,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.61,0.52,0.46,0.44,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.4,0.28,0.24,0.29,0.23,0.26,0.31,0.24,0.23,0.15,0.22,0.19,0.22,0.33,0.37,0.31,0.47,0.47,0.24,0.36,0.32,0.43,0.54,0.45,0.45,0.55,0.91,1	92.2%
ATL 106, ORL 110	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.55,0.63,0.58,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.6,0.58,0.65,0.54,0.56,0.48,0.44,0.33,0.27,0.3,0.27,0.31,0.28,0.36,0.33,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.41,0.41,0.3,0.21,0.3,0.18,0.12,0.19,0.28,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.61,0.45,0.45,0.58,0.54,0.55,0.45,0.45,0.9,1	90.1%
SAC 101, HOU 104	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.61,0.61,0.51,0.55,0.47,0.5,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.52,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.27,0.21,0.12,0.2,0.15,0.19,0.21,0.25,0.28,0.17,0.37,0.28,0.22,0.19,0.25,0.11,0.27,0.26,0.35,0.28,0.19,0.37,0.32,0.58,0.46,0.36,0.29,0.55,0.85,1	90.1%