NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	129		Excitement	10.0 [88]		MVP	Thomas Bryant (LAL): +20.5%
New York Knicks	123		Comeback	2.2 [451]		LVP	Lonnie Walker IV (LAL): -9.8%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Thomas Bryant	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.10	0.11	0.00	3	100%	0.21	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Dennis Schroder	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.07	0.14	0.02	7	75%	0.22	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Rui Hachimura	0.12	0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.13	0.00	0.02	12	73%	0.12	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Troy Brown Jr.	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.2,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.02	0.08	-0.01	8	53%	0.16	1	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Max Christie	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.06	0.04	0.00	3	100%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.02	-0.00	13	55%	0.08	1	-0.02	5	40%	-0.07
LeBron James	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04	-0.04	0.06	-0.02	25	49%	0.18	5	-0.14	7	57%	-0.05
Anthony Davis	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01	0.04	-0.04	-0.01	16	63%	0.31	5	-0.31	11	82%	0.03
Lonnie Walker IV	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	6	17%	-0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Isaiah Hartenstein	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.11	0.09	0.01	10	73%	0.19	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jalen Brunson	0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.03,0.02,0.18,0.18,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.1	0.10	0.10	0.01	0.01	29	55%	0.14	2	-0.04	9	100%	0.08
Quentin Grimes	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.04	-0.01	12	50%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
RJ Barrett	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.03	0.06	-0.01	13	43%	0.09	1	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Obi Toppin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.02	0.00	2	75%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jericho Sims	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Miles McBride	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Immanuel Quickley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.08	-0.08	0.02	12	63%	0.02	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.01
Julius Randle	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.03	0.01	19	47%	0.08	4	-0.16	11	82%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	27.6	2.6	27.4	16.4	32.4	3.5	37.3	3.8	16.2	167.1
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	2.3	15.0	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +84.3%

NYK -15.8%

NYK -6.6%

NYK -25.6%

LAL +13.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	NYK	NBA	LAL	NYK	NBA
this game	14.1	15.2	14.4	118.3	113.9	113.4
season	14.1	15.1		113.1	115.6
opponent	14.4	14.2		112.9	112.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
LAL	11.8	13.0	16.1	15.7	14.5	14.1
NYK	17.0	13.7	14.5	16.3	14.0	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dennis Schroder	65	66	0.89	-0.39	1.28	0.30	20	-14	34	13.7	14.8	-1.11	16.0	14.0	1.93
LeBron James	87	88	0.74	-0.24	0.98	0.10	22	-16	38	14.3	13.4	0.94	15.0	16.0	-0.98
Anthony Davis	74	74	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.14	16	-10	26	14.0	14.4	-0.47	15.6	14.4	1.20
Russell Westbrook	76	75	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.43	-5	11	-16	14.2	13.8	0.46	14.6	16.7	-2.11
Max Christie	26	28	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.11	2	4	-2	13.5	14.3	-0.80	13.6	15.8	-2.16
Thomas Bryant	35	34	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.17	-10	16	-26	14.4	14.0	0.47	14.4	15.6	-1.20
Rui Hachimura	72	70	-0.16	0.66	-0.81	-0.10	-2	8	-10	14.3	13.8	0.45	16.0	13.7	2.30
Troy Brown Jr.	70	68	-0.21	0.71	-0.91	0.06	-9	15	-24	14.0	14.3	-0.27	15.6	14.5	1.12
Lonnie Walker IV	29	27	-0.21	0.71	-0.93	0.08	-10	16	-26	14.4	14.0	0.41	14.7	15.4	-0.67

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Quentin Grimes	72	71	0.05	-0.55	0.59	0.14	-3	-3	0	15.6	14.4	1.14	14.1	14.1	0.01
Miles McBride	21	20	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.06	1	-7	8	13.3	15.7	-2.38	14.6	14.0	0.66
Obi Toppin	22	20	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.13	3	-9	12	14.1	15.5	-1.34	13.3	14.3	-0.99
Isaiah Hartenstein	81	82	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.47	10	-16	26	14.9	16.3	-1.41	14.4	13.3	1.08
RJ Barrett	54	56	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.05	-6	0	-6	15.1	15.3	-0.19	14.7	13.5	1.13
Immanuel Quickley	80	80	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.40	3	-9	12	15.1	15.6	-0.50	13.7	15.3	-1.68
Jericho Sims	27	27	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	0.14	-16	10	-26	16.3	14.9	1.41	13.3	14.4	-1.08
Julius Randle	86	89	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.19	-9	3	-12	15.5	14.1	1.34	14.3	13.3	0.99
Jalen Brunson	87	89	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.27	-7	1	-8	15.7	13.3	2.38	14.0	14.6	-0.66

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.37,0.45,0.4,0.36,0.37,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.44,0.44,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.67,0.59,0.5,0.46,0.48,0.58,0.48,0.52,0.39,0.4,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.32,0.38,0.43,0.38,0.28,0.37,0.31,0.15,0.22,0.31,0.37,0.17,0.05,0.46,0.46,0.29,0.06,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 120, LAL 116	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.46,0.43,0.39,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.67,0.59,0.5,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.52,0.41,0.41,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.34,0.38,0.34,0.42,0.46,0.47,0.34,0.39,0.47,0.46,0.33,0.17,0.54,0.39,0.29,0.15,0.08,0	91.6%
SAC 108, UTA 105	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.41,0.44,0.54,0.56,0.5,0.41,0.46,0.42,0.3,0.29,0.32,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.23,0.15,0.34,0.34,0.29,0.33,0.37,0.31,0.34,0.4,0.39,0.29,0.15,0.08,0.5,0.39,0.15,0.11,0.04,0	90.7%
WAS 114, CHA 111	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.57,0.45,0.33,0.3,0.32,0.38,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.46,0.38,0.29,0.2,0.27,0.26,0.19,0.17,0.07,0.11,0.17,0.44,0.46,0.39,0.21,0.06,0.04,0	89.7%