inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Minnesota Timberwolves 118 Excitement8.9 [197] MVPJamal Murray (DEN): +53.8%
Denver Nuggets 122 Comeback6.0 [418] LVPMichael Porter Jr. (DEN): -11.3%


Minnesota Timberwolves
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Luka Garza0.220,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.1,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.220.100.120.00967%0.2200.00683%0.01
Taurean Prince0.180,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.180.080.09-0.02970%0.181-0.002100%0.01
Jaden McDaniels0.150,0,0,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.150.090.06-0.001082%0.193-0.042100%0.01
Jaylen Nowell0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.070.05-0.00675%0.1100.0000%0.00
D'Angelo Russell0.070,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.18,0.07,0.070.010.05-0.01872%0.174-0.102100%0.02
Nathan Knight-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.00-0.00240%0.021-0.0310%-0.02
Wendell Moore Jr.-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Naz Reid-0.030,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,-0.02,-0.030.02-0.06-0.01961%0.183-0.211090%0.03
Kyle Anderson-0.050,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.050.01-0.040.021059%0.012-0.0620%-0.04
Anthony Edwards-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.1-0.06-0.04-0.001743%-0.033-0.07367%-0.01

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jamal Murray0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.38,0.38,0.540.540.150.37-0.011867%0.571-0.036100%0.04
Aaron Gordon0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,-0.01,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.130.130.020.12-0.00960%0.202-0.06250%-0.02
Bruce Brown0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.060.060.001159%0.131-0.02520%-0.09
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.070.030.01679%0.131-0.04250%-0.02
Bones Hyland0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.030.03-0.00564%0.081-0.024100%0.03
Zeke Nnaji0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.020.020.00470%0.061-0.0120%-0.04
Nikola Jokic0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.18,0.02,0.020.020.15-0.120.002066%0.233-0.217100%0.05
Vlatko Cancar0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.030.02-0.01440%0.021-0.022100%0.02
Christian Braun0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.05-0.00-0.0020%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
Michael Porter Jr.0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.08-0.030.00629%-0.052-0.062100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game29.94.033.014.736.33.529.8151.1
league avg25.82.328.215.028.22.332.4135.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +27.4%
DEN +2.7%
DEN +2.7%
DEN +16.9%
DEN +0.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMINDENNBAMINDENNBA
this game14.613.914.4116.8120.8113.4
season14.114.7112.4116.6
opponent14.514.3112.3112.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIN13.014.912.918.614.6
DEN13.213.913.815.013.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jaylen Nowell31290.40-0.901.31-0.0114-183214.414.7-0.2813.913.90.00
Luka Garza37340.06-0.560.630.15-3-1-215.114.30.7413.714.1-0.38
Taurean Prince6767-0.03-0.470.43-0.185-91414.215.3-1.0713.814.3-0.50
Nathan Knight1010-0.07-0.430.370.02-3-1-212.714.8-2.0913.913.9-0.03
Wendell Moore Jr.2120-0.18-0.320.14-0.00-62-814.414.6-0.2013.214.1-0.85
Naz Reid5456-0.35-0.15-0.19-0.412-6814.614.60.0613.913.90.04
Jaden McDaniels7070-0.35-0.15-0.20-0.32-1-3214.814.10.6614.313.11.25
D'Angelo Russell6668-0.41-0.09-0.31-0.29-40-414.315.1-0.8514.113.50.57
Kyle Anderson7173-0.770.27-1.04-0.42-128-2014.913.71.2113.814.2-0.44
Anthony Edwards7878-0.810.31-1.13-0.46-128-2014.814.00.7614.013.80.14

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Nikola Jokic64650.95-0.451.390.3321-173813.914.0-0.1115.213.41.77
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope73730.88-0.381.260.3518-143213.814.3-0.4915.013.41.65
Aaron Gordon59590.75-0.251.000.4610-61614.113.70.4115.513.32.22
Bruce Brown69670.64-0.140.780.3510-61613.814.3-0.5114.614.50.13
Jamal Murray70690.180.32-0.130.56-1317-3014.213.21.0214.315.2-0.97
Christian Braun1313-0.090.59-0.680.00-37-1013.414.0-0.6315.014.50.48
Michael Porter Jr.5051-0.110.61-0.73-0.03-37-1013.714.1-0.4213.315.9-2.53
Bones Hyland3637-0.120.62-0.73-0.06-26-814.413.70.7615.514.01.47
Vlatko Cancar3536-0.210.71-0.92-0.06-59-1413.714.0-0.3313.215.3-2.12
Zeke Nnaji3635-0.380.88-1.250.00-1317-3013.913.9-0.0213.515.2-1.64


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.56,0.54,0.61,0.57,0.53,0.62,0.68,0.64,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.52,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.44,0.39,0.46,0.37,0.34,0.23,0.25,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.23,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.25,0.24,0.19,0.36,0.35,0.39,0.25,0.28,0.43,0.58,1
GameSimilarity Score
SAS 95, CLE 970.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.31,0.32,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.45,0.41,0.3,0.36,0.34,0.22,0.25,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.35,0.46,0.32,0.37,0.55,0.58,192.6%
POR 107, MIN 1080.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.49,0.55,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.34,0.41,0.4,0.28,0.15,0.22,0.18,0.21,0.15,0.13,0.24,0.33,0.25,0.22,0.45,0.58,191.5%
PHX 89, POR 900.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.44,0.42,0.36,0.49,0.41,0.43,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.34,0.33,0.32,0.26,0.34,0.38,0.29,0.19,0.41,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.37,0.32,0.58,191.5%