NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	121		Excitement	8.9 [201]		MVP	Luka Doncic (DAL): +66.9%
Dallas Mavericks	126		Comeback	2499.0 [4]		LVP	Immanuel Quickley (NYK): -17.2%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mitchell Robinson	0.12	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12	0.16	0.00	0.05	9	77%	0.12	0	0.00	8	50%	-0.09
Quentin Grimes	0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.24,0.21,0.24,0.22,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.32,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.16,0.11,0.11	0.13	-0.04	-0.02	25	62%	0.14	3	-0.04	3	67%	0.01
Derrick Rose	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	62%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Hartenstein	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	62%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Julius Randle	0.01	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.11,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01	0.09	-0.08	0.00	23	58%	0.05	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.10
RJ Barrett	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jericho Sims	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Miles McBride	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06	-0.02	-0.03	0.02	14	41%	-0.06	0	0.00	6	83%	0.03
Immanuel Quickley	-0.17	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17	-0.13	-0.08	-0.04	21	29%	-0.14	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luka Doncic	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.24,0.27,0.25,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.24,0.26,0.24,0.25,0.25,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.23,0.23,0.19,0.19,0.56,0.46,0.46,0.56,0.62,0.67	0.67	0.36	0.40	0.09	31	71%	0.82	4	-0.15	22	73%	-0.03
Spencer Dinwiddie	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.3,0.3,0.21,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.16	-0.00	0.02	15	74%	0.23	1	-0.09	4	100%	0.01
Christian Wood	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	0.01	0.04	15	59%	0.08	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.04
Davis Bertans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.00	3	56%	0.04	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
JaVale McGee	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
McKinley Wright IV	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Frank Ntilikina	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kemba Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	1	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Dwight Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Bullock	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	7	21%	-0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.05	-0.09	-0.01	15	37%	-0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	26.2	1.8	25.2	14.8	24.4	2.3	37.2	0.8	17.4	150.1
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	2.3	15.0	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +52.6%

DAL +26.1%

NYK -16.5%

NYK -16.7%

DAL +4.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	DAL	NBA	NYK	DAL	NBA
this game	16.0	14.2	14.4	114.2	120.0	113.4
season	15.1	15.2		115.6	115.5
opponent	14.3	14.4		115.8	112.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
NYK	14.7	15.7	15.9	17.9	15.0	16.0
DAL	13.5	16.3	15.4	11.8	13.6	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
RJ Barrett	3	3	0.04	-0.54	0.57	-0.02	2	-7	9	17.0	15.9	1.07	15.0	14.1	0.85
Jericho Sims	26	25	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.04	-1	-4	3	15.6	16.1	-0.51	17.3	13.2	4.13
Derrick Rose	24	22	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	0.08	-6	1	-7	17.5	15.5	2.04	14.3	14.1	0.13
Isaiah Hartenstein	22	20	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	0.12	-11	6	-17	19.0	15.2	3.89	15.0	14.0	1.02
Julius Randle	90	91	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.46	2	-7	9	15.6	17.8	-2.18	13.8	16.8	-3.02
Immanuel Quickley	100	101	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.41	0	-5	5	16.3	10.5	5.79	14.3	10.7	3.56
Miles McBride	93	93	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.38	-1	-4	3	15.2	21.3	-6.09	14.3	13.1	1.23
Mitchell Robinson	74	74	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.39	-3	-2	-1	15.6	16.8	-1.26	13.4	16.1	-2.69
Quentin Grimes	98	96	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.34	-7	2	-9	15.9	16.5	-0.58	13.8	17.7	-3.82

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Spencer Dinwiddie	84	87	0.67	-0.17	0.83	0.43	8	-3	11	13.8	15.6	-1.81	16.4	13.9	2.45
Christian Wood	81	80	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.45	6	-1	7	13.7	15.6	-1.88	16.2	15.3	0.87
JaVale McGee	6	6	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.51	4	1	3	14.7	14.1	0.53	12.0	16.2	-4.20
Tim Hardaway Jr.	88	87	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.47	4	1	3	13.7	16.7	-3.02	15.4	18.4	-3.00
Luka Doncic	94	95	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.31	7	-2	9	13.9	16.2	-2.25	15.9	16.5	-0.55
Dwight Powell	65	67	0.15	0.35	-0.21	-0.15	10	-5	15	13.4	15.5	-2.15	15.0	17.6	-2.62
Frank Ntilikina	12	12	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.03	2	3	-1	16.1	13.9	2.16	16.1	15.9	0.14
Kemba Walker	10	10	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.00	0	5	-5	15.8	14.0	1.80	13.6	16.2	-2.61
McKinley Wright IV	11	10	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	0.02	-3	8	-11	18.3	13.7	4.58	17.6	15.8	1.81
Davis Bertans	25	26	-0.18	0.68	-0.87	-0.15	-1	6	-7	17.1	13.2	3.87	17.8	15.3	2.50
Reggie Bullock	49	50	-0.44	0.94	-1.38	-0.09	-12	17	-29	14.6	13.8	0.86	16.8	15.2	1.59

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.5,0.5,0.44,0.43,0.51,0.41,0.43,0.37,0.36,0.46,0.4,0.34,0.38,0.42,0.46,0.47,0.36,0.37,0.34,0.41,0.36,0.27,0.4,0.42,0.28,0.27,0.21,0.29,0.29,0.16,0.17,0.19,0.15,0.13,0.11,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.16,0.17,0.05,0.05,0.01,0,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.78,0.95,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 103, MIA 111	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.56,0.62,0.63,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.44,0.35,0.34,0.32,0.34,0.38,0.4,0.39,0.32,0.41,0.42,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.34,0.28,0.25,0.22,0.24,0.29,0.2,0.25,0.2,0.14,0.1,0.06,0.13,0.18,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.78,0.99,1	93.1%
MEM 129, NYK 133	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.38,0.43,0.49,0.43,0.37,0.33,0.3,0.29,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.25,0.22,0.25,0.38,0.31,0.25,0.33,0.27,0.18,0.17,0.14,0.13,0.11,0.1,0.22,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.06,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.46,0.47,0.71,0.76,0.83,1	90.8%
CHI 97, DAL 104	0.5,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.37,0.39,0.32,0.39,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.32,0.36,0.39,0.37,0.34,0.26,0.26,0.28,0.3,0.27,0.23,0.18,0.11,0.13,0.08,0.09,0.13,0.16,0.2,0.22,0.15,0.1,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.54,0.69,0.69,0.85,0.92,1	90.5%