NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

LA Clippers	142		Excitement	9.6 [113]		MVP	Isaiah Stewart (DET): +27.4%
Detroit Pistons	131		Comeback	4999.0 [2]		LVP	Bojan Bogdanovic (DET): -14.1%

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luke Kennard	0.27	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.13	0.12	-0.03	12	69%	0.27	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
Terance Mann	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.01	0.19	0.00	6	50%	0.20	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul George	0.19	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.19	0.10	0.06	-0.02	19	62%	0.31	3	-0.13	14	86%	-0.08
Marcus Morris Sr.	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.1,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.10	0.06	-0.00	10	67%	0.19	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.02
Ivica Zubac	0.12	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.02	0.10	0.00	5	86%	0.22	4	-0.10	4	100%	0.03
Reggie Jackson	0.05	0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.10	-0.01	0.04	6	100%	0.10	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
John Wall	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0.04,0.06,0.01,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.03	0.00	11	73%	0.21	5	-0.16	0	0%	0.00
Moses Brown	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	0.00	0.03	1	100%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Amir Coffey	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Norman Powell	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.04	-0.01	0.04	12	67%	0.08	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Nicolas Batum	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	8	39%	0.00	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Isaiah Stewart	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.27	0.21	0.10	0.03	10	91%	0.27	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.02
Hamidou Diallo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.05	0.10	-0.01	7	67%	0.20	1	-0.04	4	50%	-0.03
Jalen Duren	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.07	0.02	-0.01	11	65%	0.12	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Saddiq Bey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.06,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.01	0.04	-0.03	12	50%	0.11	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Alec Burks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.05,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.00	0.03	-0.02	11	50%	0.11	2	-0.06	6	83%	0.01
Jaden Ivey	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.03	0.01	11	54%	0.09	3	-0.08	6	83%	0.01
Kevin Knox II	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Killian Hayes	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.05	-0.12	-0.03	17	49%	-0.02	4	-0.12	3	67%	-0.03
Bojan Bogdanovic	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.02,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.08	-0.12	-0.06	20	47%	-0.07	5	-0.07	9	89%	0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	24.1	1.8	26.2	14.8	37.0	1.8	40.7	2.5	9.2	158.2
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	2.3	15.0	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +78.8%

LAC +0.6%

DET -3.0%

DET -18.4%

DET -8.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	DET	NBA	LAC	DET	NBA
this game	13.3	14.6	14.4	123.5	115.9	113.4
season	14.6	14.6		113.7	109.6
opponent	14.2	14.4		117.3	113.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
LAC	13.7	13.0	12.2	12.8	17.5	13.3
DET	15.6	15.3	12.6	15.4	13.9	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nicolas Batum	67	66	1.05	-0.55	1.59	0.37	23	-12	35	13.3	13.2	0.11	15.2	13.9	1.30
Terance Mann	46	46	1.00	-0.50	1.50	0.18	28	-17	45	12.8	13.6	-0.75	14.9	14.4	0.47
Luke Kennard	71	69	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.16	9	2	7	13.6	12.8	0.77	14.4	14.9	-0.45
Ivica Zubac	88	86	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.06	10	1	9	13.9	11.3	2.56	14.5	14.8	-0.27
Reggie Jackson	40	40	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.03	9	2	7	14.0	12.9	1.16	15.1	14.3	0.80
Amir Coffey	8	7	0.22	0.28	-0.07	-0.14	12	-1	13	6.6	13.8	-7.17	20.0	14.3	5.75
Moses Brown	8	7	0.22	0.28	-0.07	-0.14	12	-1	13	6.6	13.8	-7.17	20.0	14.3	5.75
Paul George	81	79	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.39	-7	18	-25	13.9	11.9	2.01	14.1	15.9	-1.82
Norman Powell	50	51	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	-0.00	-1	12	-13	11.9	14.4	-2.50	13.6	15.4	-1.79
Marcus Morris Sr.	57	56	-0.38	0.88	-1.26	0.03	-14	25	-39	14.4	12.2	2.16	15.0	14.3	0.70
John Wall	59	58	-0.82	1.32	-2.14	-0.06	-26	37	-63	13.0	13.6	-0.68	13.7	15.6	-1.89

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Saddiq Bey	59	60	0.55	-1.05	1.60	0.05	17	-28	45	13.8	15.5	-1.74	13.0	13.6	-0.55
Kevin Knox II	16	16	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	0.02	-3	-8	5	14.2	14.7	-0.42	13.1	13.3	-0.20
Hamidou Diallo	35	37	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.01	-4	-7	3	14.3	14.7	-0.39	13.1	13.4	-0.24
Jaden Ivey	64	66	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.28	-16	5	-21	15.3	13.7	1.65	12.9	13.8	-0.91
Alec Burks	62	62	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.54	9	-20	29	13.8	15.6	-1.85	13.0	13.7	-0.71
Jalen Duren	79	81	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.01	-16	5	-21	14.9	13.9	0.96	13.8	12.1	1.76
Killian Hayes	82	83	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.27	-9	-2	-7	14.7	14.4	0.35	13.3	13.3	-0.07
Isaiah Stewart	86	87	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.11	-18	7	-25	14.9	13.7	1.19	13.1	13.8	-0.65
Bojan Bogdanovic	82	83	-0.74	0.24	-0.97	-0.30	-15	4	-19	14.8	14.1	0.66	13.8	11.9	1.88

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.47,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.52,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.61,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.59,0.46,0.39,0.49,0.37,0.37,0.29,0.2,0.19,0.12,0.16,0.35,0.38,0.41,0.44,0.61,0.66,0.62,0.57,0.54,0.73,0.64,0.71,0.91,0.98,1,1,0.85,0.46,0.39,0.12,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 115, OKC 111	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.47,0.53,0.62,0.68,0.65,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.47,0.47,0.36,0.36,0.31,0.21,0.25,0.2,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.16,0.26,0.38,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.56,0.5,0.66,0.75,0.62,0.77,0.83,0.94,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.46,0.47,0.22,0.1,0.02,0	90.1%
GSW 128, NOP 122	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.46,0.4,0.41,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.31,0.3,0.27,0.26,0.23,0.22,0.24,0.24,0.26,0.22,0.41,0.56,0.56,0.44,0.5,0.38,0.38,0.47,0.68,0.69,0.81,0.9,0.9,0.64,0.68,0.73,0.5,0.25,0.04,0.01,0.02,0	88.8%
OKC 111, BKN 103	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.5,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.43,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.48,0.37,0.48,0.68,0.62,0.57,0.71,0.57,0.85,0.74,0.71,0.69,0.86,0.79,0.91,0.77,0.54,0.39,0.37,0.15,0.04,0	88.3%