NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	117		Excitement	8.1 [326]		MVP	Donovan Mitchell (CLE): +37.3%
LA Clippers	119		Comeback	226.3 [8]		LVP	Darius Garland (CLE): -18.5%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Donovan Mitchell	0.37	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.27,0.2,0.2,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.37	0.24	0.13	0.00	15	91%	0.45	3	-0.08	3	67%	-0.03
Evan Mobley	0.16	0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.16	0.10	0.07	0.02	18	68%	0.23	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Kevin Love	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.08	0.02	-0.02	8	77%	0.17	3	-0.06	6	83%	0.02
Dean Wade	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.03	-0.00	4	75%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cedi Osman	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Allen	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	10	43%	-0.01	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Caris LeVert	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.08	0.00	-0.03	8	25%	-0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Isaac Okoro	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	2	37%	-0.01	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.00
Darius Garland	-0.18	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,-0.02,-0.18	-0.06	-0.15	-0.03	17	51%	-0.03	5	-0.15	3	33%	-0.07

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Norman Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.31,0.31	0.31	0.17	0.19	0.04	6	89%	0.31	0	0.00	7	86%	-0.10
Paul George	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.29	0.29	0.12	0.20	0.03	20	60%	0.30	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.03
Marcus Morris Sr.	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.27	0.27	0.10	0.17	0.00	16	59%	0.27	0	0.00	2	100%	0.05
Terance Mann	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.09	0.06	0.01	9	73%	0.16	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Reggie Jackson	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.13	0.13	0.04	0.09	-0.01	11	69%	0.22	4	-0.09	4	100%	0.06
Luke Kennard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.01	0.00	4	75%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ivica Zubac	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.00	7	45%	0.00	0	0.00	8	75%	0.01
Robert Covington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	75%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nicolas Batum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	4	37%	-0.03	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.3	2.5	26.4	15.5	21.6	2.4	50.2	139.9
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +16.7%

LAC +25.2%

CLE -17.2%

LAC +20.8%

LAC +4.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	LAC	NBA	CLE	LAC	NBA
this game	14.8	14.5	14.4	118.2	121.4	113.4
season	15.1	14.6		114.0	113.7
opponent	14.4	14.7		113.6	109.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	12.8	15.7	16.0	14.8	14.8
LAC	16.6	14.3	16.0	11.3	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Love	51	53	0.11	-0.61	0.71	-0.36	16	-18	34	15.4	14.1	1.23	13.3	15.8	-2.48
Isaac Okoro	36	37	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.04	0	-2	2	14.9	14.7	0.22	13.5	15.1	-1.61
Dean Wade	29	30	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.02	-1	-1	0	15.8	14.4	1.39	12.3	15.4	-3.06
Cedi Osman	7	6	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	0.06	-5	3	-8	17.1	14.6	2.55	13.0	14.6	-1.55
Darius Garland	77	77	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.20	-4	2	-6	15.5	12.1	3.40	14.5	14.4	0.10
Jarrett Allen	70	66	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.56	3	-5	8	14.1	16.3	-2.22	15.3	12.7	2.58
Donovan Mitchell	82	79	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.43	-2	0	-2	14.1	18.2	-4.17	14.8	13.1	1.74
Caris LeVert	75	74	-0.58	0.08	-0.67	-0.61	1	-3	4	14.0	17.1	-3.04	15.4	11.5	3.92
Evan Mobley	68	69	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.02	-20	18	-38	15.1	14.1	0.99	14.5	14.3	0.16

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Terance Mann	61	63	1.08	-0.58	1.65	0.49	20	-18	38	14.4	14.6	-0.17	15.3	13.8	1.57
Marcus Morris Sr.	79	79	0.75	-0.25	1.00	0.63	4	-2	6	14.6	13.7	0.96	14.0	17.8	-3.79
Reggie Jackson	73	75	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.60	-2	4	-6	14.5	14.2	0.29	14.9	14.5	0.31
Norman Powell	58	58	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.34	3	-1	4	12.4	17.5	-5.10	15.8	13.4	2.37
Paul George	83	83	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.54	-4	6	-10	14.7	13.0	1.72	14.0	18.9	-4.96
Nicolas Batum	30	32	0.12	0.38	-0.26	-0.06	6	-4	10	13.5	14.9	-1.33	15.5	14.4	1.07
Robert Covington	15	15	-0.13	0.63	-0.77	-0.16	1	1	0	12.0	14.9	-2.90	18.0	14.2	3.80
Luke Kennard	26	25	-0.26	0.76	-1.02	-0.17	-3	5	-8	14.1	14.6	-0.47	15.6	14.5	1.15
Ivica Zubac	65	65	-0.45	0.95	-1.41	-0.01	-15	17	-32	16.9	9.7	7.13	13.8	16.7	-2.89

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.42,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.39,0.31,0.27,0.35,0.4,0.4,0.45,0.53,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.41,0.51,0.42,0.44,0.5,0.55,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.62,0.52,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.55,0.54,0.34,0.18,0.14,0.23,0.2,0.09,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.41,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 97, OKC 100	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.44,0.51,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.33,0.34,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.42,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.49,0.55,0.45,0.4,0.45,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.44,0.34,0.26,0.32,0.29,0.28,0.36,0.19,0.22,0.05,0.1,0.17,0.58,1	91.0%
LAC 108, DEN 109	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.41,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.52,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.46,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.65,0.59,0.55,0.48,0.47,0.56,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.2,0.15,0.21,0.2,0.1,0.03,0.1,0.06,0.04,1	91.0%
WAS 105, MIL 107	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.47,0.46,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.37,0.35,0.36,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.64,0.61,0.55,0.38,0.35,0.44,0.48,0.44,0.38,0.3,0.34,0.17,0.15,0.14,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.01,0.04,0.58,1	90.5%