NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	107		Excitement	9.1 [166]		MVP	Dean Wade (CLE): +21.3%
Cleveland Cavaliers	117		Comeback	2.7 [555]		LVP	Caris LeVert (CLE): -15.8%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Monte Morris	0.08	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.09	-0.01	0.00	8	81%	0.12	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Rui Hachimura	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.08	0.01	0.02	12	67%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Delon Wright	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.00	5	54%	0.06	1	-0.02	3	67%	0.01
Kristaps Porzingis	0.03	0,0,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.05	0.05	16	55%	0.09	2	-0.06	1	0%	-0.02
Will Barton	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.06,-0.09,0,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.12	0.11	-0.02	11	41%	0.16	5	-0.15	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Gill	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Kuzma	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.04	-0.07	-0.01	8	55%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.15
Daniel Gafford	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Deni Avdija	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	6	17%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Bradley Beal	-0.14	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.14,-0.14	0.04	-0.17	0.01	16	69%	0.18	6	-0.33	7	71%	0.02

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dean Wade	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.13	0.09	0.00	4	92%	0.21	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Cedi Osman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.14	0.05	0.02	10	76%	0.17	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Donovan Mitchell	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.18,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.22,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.18,-0.07,-0.13,-0.2,-0.2,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.02	-0.01	29	55%	0.28	6	-0.21	9	89%	0.03
Jarrett Allen	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.01	0.01	13	50%	0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Raul Neto	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robin Lopez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	4	75%	0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Isaac Okoro	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Love	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	6	42%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Evan Mobley	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.02	-0.09	0.02	7	50%	-0.07	2	-0.06	6	100%	0.02
Caris LeVert	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.08	-0.09	-0.01	14	36%	-0.11	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	25.1	2.4	25.3	15.5	25.4	2.5	35.4	2.6	19.3	153.6
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	2.3	15.0	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS -51.1%

CLE +36.4%

CLE +22.3%

CLE +42.5%

WAS -0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	CLE	NBA	WAS	CLE	NBA
this game	14.9	16.0	14.4	103.9	113.6	113.4
season	14.8	15.1		113.4	114.0
opponent	14.7	14.2		109.0	114.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
WAS	17.2	15.7	13.9	13.2	14.0	14.9
CLE	14.1	15.6	14.3	19.5	17.4	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Delon Wright	44	43	0.15	-0.65	0.81	0.33	-6	-4	-2	14.8	14.9	-0.11	14.5	17.0	-2.51
Deni Avdija	26	28	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.09	1	-11	12	15.6	14.7	0.90	16.1	15.9	0.14
Rui Hachimura	40	39	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.03	-5	-5	0	15.7	14.4	1.30	14.9	16.6	-1.65
Monte Morris	50	50	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.33	6	-16	22	15.1	14.7	0.42	16.9	15.1	1.88
Anthony Gill	19	19	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	0.03	-9	-1	-8	17.0	14.4	2.57	15.1	16.2	-1.13
Kristaps Porzingis	72	73	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.26	1	-11	12	14.7	15.4	-0.69	16.8	13.9	2.87
Daniel Gafford	31	30	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.05	-11	1	-12	15.4	14.7	0.69	13.9	16.8	-2.87
Will Barton	70	70	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.14	-7	-3	-4	14.3	16.3	-2.02	16.1	15.7	0.36
Bradley Beal	82	82	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.22	-5	-5	0	14.4	16.9	-2.45	16.1	15.3	0.80
Kyle Kuzma	72	71	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.22	-5	-5	0	14.9	15.0	-0.14	16.4	14.9	1.50

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dean Wade	41	40	0.83	-0.33	1.15	0.27	19	-9	28	15.5	16.3	-0.80	15.6	14.5	1.10
Caris LeVert	69	70	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.14	15	-5	20	16.0	15.9	0.18	15.1	14.4	0.70
Jarrett Allen	73	72	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.38	-1	11	-12	16.8	13.9	2.87	14.7	15.4	-0.69
Donovan Mitchell	85	86	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.17	4	6	-2	16.3	14.3	1.98	14.8	15.6	-0.82
Raul Neto	17	16	0.23	0.28	-0.05	-0.01	8	2	6	14.3	16.3	-2.01	15.7	14.8	0.93
Robin Lopez	30	30	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.06	8	2	6	13.9	16.8	-2.87	15.9	14.5	1.41
Cedi Osman	61	59	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.03	3	7	-4	16.8	14.8	1.96	13.9	16.2	-2.35
Isaac Okoro	42	44	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.16	-5	15	-20	14.5	17.0	-2.52	14.4	15.3	-0.82
Kevin Love	30	29	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	-0.06	2	8	-6	15.4	16.2	-0.76	14.0	15.3	-1.26
Evan Mobley	67	69	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	0.02	-3	13	-16	16.6	14.7	1.92	15.6	13.5	2.09

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.36,0.39,0.37,0.4,0.51,0.47,0.55,0.6,0.61,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.53,0.59,0.74,0.7,0.67,0.67,0.77,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.88,0.87,0.8,0.76,0.88,0.78,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.62,0.76,0.77,0.74,0.76,0.87,0.9,0.93,0.94,1,0.54,0.55,0.39,0.45,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 84, CHA 91	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.44,0.44,0.43,0.5,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.5,0.61,0.63,0.75,0.78,0.86,0.79,0.83,0.88,0.89,0.9,0.87,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.89,0.72,0.86,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.46,0.55,0.69,0.75,0.92,1	88.3%
MIN 105, UTA 111	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.48,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.68,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.55,0.62,0.56,0.67,0.82,0.74,0.57,0.57,0.71,0.72,0.79,0.88,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.84,0.54,0.39,0.45,0.57,0.59,1	88.1%
ORL 78, NOK 84	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.58,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.64,0.72,0.69,0.75,0.63,0.71,0.71,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.71,0.75,0.72,0.73,0.71,0.79,0.81,0.66,0.71,0.67,0.71,0.64,0.6,0.53,0.62,0.71,0.78,0.85,0.46,0.69,0.72,0.67,0.95,1	87.8%