NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	105		Excitement	8.3 [289]		MVP	O.G. Anunoby (TOR): +21.5%
Toronto Raptors	108		Comeback	4.6 [383]		LVP	Darius Garland (CLE): -15.8%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dean Wade	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.07	0.06	-0.02	4	80%	0.15	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Donovan Mitchell	0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.2,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.14	0.11	0.02	-0.01	21	65%	0.30	3	-0.17	6	83%	0.02
Cedi Osman	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.18,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.08	0.08	0.01	0.01	12	65%	0.14	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Caris LeVert	0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08	0.02	0.05	-0.02	7	56%	0.11	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.05
Jarrett Allen	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.14,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.01	-0.01	8	65%	0.14	1	-0.09	4	75%	-0.00
Kevin Love	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.00	6	62%	0.06	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Evan Mobley	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04	0.01	-0.05	0.01	9	64%	0.05	3	-0.09	4	75%	0.00
Isaac Okoro	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Raul Neto	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	1	0%	-0.04	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Darius Garland	-0.16	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.16,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	0.00	-0.00	8	25%	-0.06	5	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
O.G. Anunoby	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.03	0.17	-0.01	12	58%	0.30	3	-0.09	7	86%	0.04
Gary Trent Jr.	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.18,0.18,0.17	0.17	0.09	0.09	0.02	12	61%	0.18	1	-0.01	7	71%	-0.02
Fred VanVleet	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.08	0.03	-0.00	9	68%	0.14	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Precious Achiuwa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.09	0.09	-0.01	0.10	-0.00	11	42%	0.09	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Scottie Barnes	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09	0.09	-0.01	0.09	-0.01	14	54%	0.16	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Juancho Hernangomez	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dalano Banton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	0.00	1	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Christian Koloko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	4	30%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Pascal Siakam	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.08	-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	20	48%	0.00	4	-0.09	8	50%	-0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.4	2.4	26.2	14.5	29.6	2.4	36.9	139.5
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +4.5%

CLE -0.6%

TOR +13.8%

TOR +29.6%

TOR +2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	TOR	NBA	CLE	TOR	NBA
this game	15.1	13.5	14.4	106.1	105.9	113.4
season	15.1	14.7		114.0	114.0
opponent	14.5	14.7		112.2	109.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	15.1	14.0	14.1	17.5	15.1
TOR	11.1	13.7	14.1	15.9	13.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Love	46	44	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.06	4	-7	11	14.8	15.4	-0.61	13.3	13.7	-0.41
Isaac Okoro	27	29	0.05	-0.55	0.60	0.05	0	-3	3	14.1	15.5	-1.45	11.1	14.5	-3.37
Donovan Mitchell	70	72	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.42	10	-13	23	15.2	15.0	0.19	13.7	13.1	0.59
Darius Garland	31	30	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	0.09	-10	7	-17	15.2	15.1	0.14	11.3	14.5	-3.23
Dean Wade	45	47	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	0.08	-11	8	-19	15.4	14.9	0.57	12.8	14.2	-1.33
Raul Neto	11	11	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.05	-8	5	-13	16.3	15.0	1.28	17.5	13.1	4.38
Cedi Osman	54	56	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.50	7	-10	17	15.0	15.3	-0.33	15.1	11.6	3.53
Caris LeVert	70	73	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.45	5	-8	13	14.9	15.7	-0.84	14.5	11.2	3.27
Jarrett Allen	66	72	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.45	2	-5	7	15.2	15.0	0.24	14.0	12.5	1.49
Evan Mobley	75	76	-0.76	0.26	-1.01	-0.35	-14	11	-25	15.5	13.9	1.66	12.7	15.9	-3.19

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Scottie Barnes	63	64	0.99	-0.49	1.48	0.40	20	-17	37	14.9	11.3	3.59	16.4	12.9	3.52
Fred VanVleet	86	79	0.77	-0.27	1.05	0.57	7	-4	11	13.3	15.1	-1.87	14.8	16.4	-1.65
O.G. Anunoby	80	77	0.67	-0.17	0.85	0.41	9	-6	15	13.3	14.5	-1.27	15.2	14.9	0.29
Gary Trent Jr.	77	74	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.50	3	0	3	13.8	12.9	0.83	15.7	13.4	2.26
Pascal Siakam	70	68	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.38	-1	4	-5	13.7	13.3	0.34	16.0	13.3	2.63
Christian Koloko	39	34	0.03	0.47	-0.45	-0.06	3	0	3	10.8	15.2	-4.38	14.2	15.6	-1.41
Precious Achiuwa	36	37	-0.12	0.62	-0.73	0.00	-4	7	-11	14.1	13.2	0.87	15.3	15.0	0.31
Dalano Banton	23	23	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	-0.12	0	3	-3	10.7	14.4	-3.63	13.3	15.7	-2.32
Juancho Hernangomez	14	15	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	0.04	-8	11	-19	16.8	13.0	3.75	13.1	15.5	-2.35
Thaddeus Young	22	24	-0.46	0.96	-1.41	-0.05	-14	17	-31	15.5	13.0	2.43	12.6	15.9	-3.36

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.65,0.68,0.7,0.63,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.35,0.36,0.33,0.4,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.33,0.35,0.41,0.48,0.44,0.29,0.19,0.22,0.34,0.38,0.53,0.36,0.34,0.22,0.38,0.54,0.85,0.95,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 112, UTA 116	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.65,0.63,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.55,0.55,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.44,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.35,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.48,0.44,0.3,0.22,0.29,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.24,0.4,0.45,0.46,0.66,0.82,1	91.4%
DET 86, UTA 94	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.44,0.47,0.39,0.37,0.45,0.4,0.28,0.33,0.33,0.26,0.32,0.24,0.34,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.43,0.33,0.37,0.36,0.53,0.4,0.33,0.64,0.91,0.98,1	91.3%
MIA 99, CLE 106	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.47,0.41,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.54,0.6,0.56,0.57,0.58,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.25,0.32,0.34,0.33,0.23,0.27,0.29,0.2,0.28,0.34,0.4,0.32,0.34,0.33,0.21,0.43,0.42,0.26,0.33,0.28,0.46,0.46,0.68,0.72,1	91.1%