NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	120		Excitement	4.1 [979]		MVP	Joel Embiid (PHI): +30.9%
Philadelphia 76ers	133		Comeback	1.1 [1316]		LVP	T.J. McConnell (IND): -6.1%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Oshae Brissett	0.15	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.14	0.02	0.01	10	69%	0.15	0	0.00	9	56%	-0.02
Isaiah Jackson	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.01	12	59%	0.08	2	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Duane Washington Jr.	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.08	0.00	0.04	10	68%	0.06	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Lance Stephenson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	5	75%	0.07	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Tyrese Haliburton	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	-0.01	-0.01	10	73%	0.13	6	-0.12	6	83%	0.01
Gabe York	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	5	54%	0.01	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Buddy Hield	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.01	8	60%	0.06	3	-0.06	4	100%	0.01
Terry Taylor	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	10	43%	-0.00	2	-0.02	3	67%	0.00
T.J. McConnell	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.04	-0.01	0.08	8	60%	-0.04	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joel Embiid	0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.26,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31	0.31	0.24	0.06	-0.00	17	84%	0.37	5	-0.06	15	73%	-0.01
Tyrese Maxey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.02	-0.01	15	56%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tobias Harris	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.10	0.00	0.01	13	67%	0.11	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Danny Green	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.09	0.00	0.01	11	65%	0.09	1	-0.00	1	100%	0.00
Paul Reed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.01	0.01	4	80%	0.06	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Isaiah Joe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	0.00	0.04	3	83%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Harden	0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	16	58%	0.08	5	-0.07	6	100%	0.02
Furkan Korkmaz	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matisse Thybulle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shake Milton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	-0.00	-0.02	8	25%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	31.1	2.5	28.4	14.5	26.4	2.3	33.5	138.7
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +29.2%

IND -3.9%

PHI +13.1%

PHI +11.3%

PHI +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	PHI	NBA	IND	PHI	NBA
this game	12.1	15.8	14.5	114.3	130.4	110.8
season	14.4	15.2		111.4	112.4
opponent	14.6	14.7		109.8	115.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	15.2	11.5	11.0	10.6	12.1
PHI	13.6	16.8	16.7	16.1	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Duane Washington Jr.	59	56	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.34	6	-19	25	11.3	13.1	-1.82	15.9	15.7	0.29
Gabe York	34	31	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.08	-3	-10	7	10.9	12.6	-1.66	16.1	15.7	0.41
Tyrese Haliburton	77	76	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.16	-1	-12	11	12.2	11.7	0.53	16.4	14.1	2.28
Lance Stephenson	46	46	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.08	-5	-8	3	11.6	12.5	-0.89	15.0	16.5	-1.44
Terry Taylor	64	65	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.11	-6	-7	1	11.1	13.6	-2.45	15.7	16.0	-0.25
Oshae Brissett	63	61	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.00	-10	-3	-7	12.5	11.5	1.02	15.7	16.0	-0.35
Buddy Hield	58	59	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.06	-13	0	-13	12.8	11.1	1.66	15.8	15.9	-0.08
Isaiah Jackson	66	61	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.00	-13	0	-13	12.9	10.6	2.31	16.7	14.5	2.14
T.J. McConnell	58	55	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	0.11	-20	7	-27	12.6	11.4	1.28	14.7	17.1	-2.36

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Danny Green	61	61	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.11	17	-4	21	16.0	15.6	0.42	12.6	11.3	1.29
Joel Embiid	79	81	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.04	11	2	9	15.8	16.0	-0.24	12.3	11.4	0.90
James Harden	79	83	0.35	0.15	0.19	-0.01	12	1	11	16.1	14.7	1.39	12.5	10.5	1.98
Shake Milton	50	51	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.16	5	8	-3	15.3	16.3	-1.01	11.3	12.8	-1.58
Tobias Harris	66	71	0.31	0.19	0.11	-0.07	13	0	13	15.8	15.9	-0.16	11.9	12.5	-0.64
Tyrese Maxey	66	69	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.02	11	2	9	15.7	16.1	-0.42	11.9	12.4	-0.45
Matisse Thybulle	52	52	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.22	2	11	-9	16.4	15.2	1.13	11.9	12.2	-0.28
Paul Reed	23	24	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.08	2	11	-9	16.0	15.8	0.24	11.4	12.3	-0.90
Furkan Korkmaz	13	14	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.12	-2	15	-17	13.8	16.1	-2.25	12.9	11.9	0.99
Isaiah Joe	21	19	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.19	-6	19	-25	15.9	15.8	0.05	11.8	12.1	-0.34

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.6,0.67,0.65,0.69,0.72,0.7,0.67,0.71,0.73,0.77,0.81,0.86,0.84,0.86,0.9,0.92,0.86,0.9,0.92,0.91,0.88,0.82,0.89,0.91,0.95,0.89,0.88,0.82,0.78,0.79,0.8,0.91,0.87,0.87,0.92,0.91,0.92,0.91,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 100, HOU 112	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.64,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.73,0.78,0.81,0.85,0.84,0.88,0.9,0.87,0.89,0.88,0.87,0.88,0.88,0.86,0.87,0.9,0.89,0.81,0.83,0.85,0.84,0.79,0.88,0.84,0.85,0.92,0.93,0.91,0.86,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%
POR 103, MIN 113	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.56,0.66,0.65,0.67,0.7,0.7,0.76,0.83,0.81,0.82,0.83,0.89,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.92,0.91,0.9,0.9,0.88,0.92,0.88,0.9,0.85,0.84,0.82,0.78,0.78,0.77,0.84,0.85,0.9,0.89,0.93,0.93,0.85,0.94,0.91,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%
HOU 113, PHX 122	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.71,0.74,0.76,0.76,0.81,0.84,0.85,0.85,0.84,0.83,0.9,0.88,0.9,0.92,0.92,0.9,0.91,0.89,0.93,0.95,0.93,0.95,0.89,0.87,0.84,0.89,0.86,0.81,0.87,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.94,0.98,0.99,1,1,1	95.8%