NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	115		Excitement	8.1 [257]		MVP	Gary Trent Jr. (TOR): +50.7%
Toronto Raptors	117		Comeback	15.5 [406]		LVP	Jalen Green (HOU): -24.4%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Porter Jr.	0.26	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.12,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.26	0.19	0.13	0.05	23	66%	0.31	2	-0.05	7	100%	0.05
Josh Christopher	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.23,0.23,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.11	0.09	0.01	12	83%	0.27	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Usman Garuba	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	2	125%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Garrison Mathews	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	-0.00	0.02	3	82%	0.09	2	-0.07	5	60%	-0.02
Jae'Sean Tate	0.00	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0	-0.02	0.02	0.00	11	50%	0.04	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.04
Kenyon Martin Jr.	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	0.00	7	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Alperen Sengun	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.07,-0.03	0.08	-0.10	0.00	12	63%	0.00	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Daishen Nix	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	1	100%	0.06	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Jalen Green	-0.24	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.22,-0.22,-0.24,-0.24	-0.15	-0.11	-0.02	10	33%	-0.03	5	-0.21	4	50%	-0.08

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gary Trent Jr.	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.51	0.51	0.12	0.40	0.01	21	58%	0.51	0	0.00	3	100%	0.04
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.09	0.15	0.03	8	78%	0.24	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Scottie Barnes	0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.02	0.12	0.00	13	57%	0.21	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Khem Birch	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	7	57%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Boucher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.00	5	43%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Justin Champagnie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.01	2	75%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Armoni Brooks	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	3	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
Malachi Flynn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	5	20%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Yuta Watanabe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.04	0.00	3	43%	-0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Precious Achiuwa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.01	-0.03	0.02	5	62%	0.03	2	-0.07	3	100%	0.01
Pascal Siakam	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	0.07	-0.11	0.06	24	54%	-0.05	2	-0.05	6	83%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.3	28.7	14.6	25.0	2.7	27.3	124.8
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +1.2%

TOR +9.2%

TOR +12.0%

TOR +26.5%

TOR +1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	TOR	NBA	HOU	TOR	NBA
this game	14.1	13.9	14.5	111.7	113.6	110.8
season	14.4	14.9		107.5	111.3
opponent	14.8	13.9		109.9	115.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	13.2	14.8	14.0	14.1	14.1
TOR	15.6	11.3	14.8	14.2	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kenyon Martin Jr.	49	49	0.22	-0.72	0.95	-0.07	10	-12	22	13.1	14.9	-1.75	13.4	14.4	-0.94
Garrison Mathews	53	53	0.02	-0.52	0.53	0.13	-4	2	-6	14.7	13.4	1.32	14.4	13.4	1.02
Usman Garuba	35	35	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.05	-1	-1	0	13.5	14.4	-0.91	12.0	14.9	-2.84
Daishen Nix	29	29	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.08	-8	6	-14	14.2	14.0	0.21	12.7	14.4	-1.74
Kevin Porter Jr.	83	83	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.54	5	-7	12	13.7	15.4	-1.67	14.3	12.0	2.30
Alperen Sengun	68	68	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.39	-1	-1	0	14.4	13.5	0.91	14.9	12.0	2.84
Josh Christopher	68	67	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.43	0	-2	2	13.8	14.5	-0.73	13.2	15.1	-1.90
Jalen Green	77	77	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.59	3	-5	8	14.2	13.7	0.49	14.1	13.2	0.90
Jae'Sean Tate	53	54	-0.76	0.26	-1.01	-0.34	-14	12	-26	14.8	13.2	1.59	14.4	13.4	0.94

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Thaddeus Young	53	52	0.89	-0.39	1.28	0.28	21	-19	40	12.5	15.4	-2.91	14.8	13.3	1.51
Yuta Watanabe	26	25	0.87	-0.37	1.25	0.52	12	-10	22	14.2	13.8	0.34	14.1	14.1	0.03
Scottie Barnes	71	72	0.77	-0.27	1.03	0.53	8	-6	14	14.4	12.8	1.63	13.6	15.1	-1.49
Pascal Siakam	84	82	0.75	-0.25	0.99	0.42	11	-9	20	14.7	10.4	4.33	14.6	12.0	2.53
Gary Trent Jr.	80	79	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.30	11	-9	20	14.3	12.6	1.67	14.7	12.1	2.57
Khem Birch	58	58	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.24	22	-20	42	14.0	13.8	0.18	15.1	12.7	2.39
Armoni Brooks	30	30	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.01	3	-1	4	15.7	13.2	2.54	14.6	13.8	0.72
Justin Champagnie	17	19	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	0.04	-8	10	-18	11.4	14.4	-3.05	11.8	14.6	-2.72
Malachi Flynn	25	27	-0.51	1.01	-1.52	0.19	-24	26	-50	12.6	14.3	-1.72	12.0	14.8	-2.84
Chris Boucher	43	43	-0.53	1.03	-1.56	-0.00	-18	20	-38	12.9	14.6	-1.71	13.8	14.3	-0.50
Precious Achiuwa	28	28	-0.67	1.17	-1.85	0.15	-28	30	-58	13.7	14.0	-0.21	11.9	14.9	-3.02

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.4,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.35,0.33,0.26,0.21,0.2,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.1,0.14,0.2,0.24,0.26,0.25,0.22,0.25,0.19,0.23,0.36,0.43,0.36,0.35,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.26,0.22,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.25,0.23,0.21,0.27,0.34,0.45,0.78,0.68,0.9,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 76, MIL 81	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.4,0.46,0.39,0.4,0.35,0.33,0.35,0.29,0.29,0.32,0.24,0.22,0.23,0.25,0.33,0.26,0.25,0.22,0.17,0.25,0.27,0.22,0.24,0.34,0.39,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.32,0.31,0.2,0.23,0.19,0.1,0.13,0.15,0.17,0.19,0.11,0.12,0.33,0.45,0.54,0.76,0.91,1	91.9%
DAL 104, ATL 111	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.38,0.34,0.35,0.34,0.33,0.27,0.26,0.23,0.19,0.17,0.15,0.1,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.1,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.2,0.22,0.23,0.4,0.36,0.3,0.39,0.21,0.2,0.25,0.41,0.3,0.28,0.22,0.3,0.14,0.25,0.28,0.26,0.24,0.53,0.38,0.57,0.68,0.91,1	91.5%
MIA 77, CHI 84	0.5,0.51,0.43,0.48,0.47,0.5,0.46,0.37,0.37,0.33,0.31,0.31,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.29,0.27,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.15,0.19,0.24,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.31,0.3,0.3,0.36,0.26,0.35,0.48,0.44,0.37,0.29,0.3,0.3,0.25,0.29,0.37,0.36,0.29,0.28,0.38,0.78,0.8,0.99,1	91.1%