NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	104		Excitement	7.8 [301]		MVP	Alec Burks (NYK): +33.1%
New York Knicks	109		Comeback	2.9 [278]		LVP	Julius Randle (NYK): -18.4%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeMar DeRozan	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.33,0.17	0.11	0.05	-0.00	26	58%	0.29	4	-0.12	12	100%	0.10
Zach LaVine	0.09	0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.1,0.09	0.13	-0.04	-0.01	17	61%	0.09	0	0.00	10	90%	0.05
Nikola Vucevic	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.01	11	59%	0.10	2	-0.05	5	80%	0.01
Ayo Dosunmu	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	-0.02	0.00	8	62%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tristan Thompson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Javonte Green	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	1	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Patrick Williams	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Alex Caruso	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	4	37%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Coby White	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.03	-0.01	9	30%	-0.03	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.01

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Alec Burks	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.22,0.2,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.33	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.00	19	64%	0.33	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Obi Toppin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.10	0.07	-0.00	11	63%	0.18	0	0.00	5	40%	-0.03
RJ Barrett	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.24,0.15	0.15	0.08	0.09	0.02	24	51%	0.17	1	-0.02	7	86%	0.01
Mitchell Robinson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.12	0.05	0.03	9	80%	0.15	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.05
Miles McBride	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.02	-0.02	2	50%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Immanuel Quickley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	-0.02	-0.00	5	47%	0.00	0	0.00	7	71%	-0.01
Jericho Sims	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Evan Fournier	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.11	-0.03	-0.01	10	25%	-0.08	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Julius Randle	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.18	-0.18	-0.17	-0.03	-0.01	9	21%	-0.11	3	-0.07	6	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	1.8	29.3	15.3	30.6	2.3	38.5	142.9
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +44.1%

CHI -24.7%

NYK +7.1%

NYK +23.8%

CHI -0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	NYK	NBA	CHI	NYK	NBA
this game	13.8	16.1	14.5	107.2	113.5	110.8
season	14.5	15.1		110.9	109.4
opponent	14.6	14.5		109.6	112.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	14.3	15.0	13.2	12.7	13.8
NYK	15.7	14.4	17.5	16.6	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Patrick Williams	26	25	0.01	-0.51	0.51	-0.02	1	-6	7	14.8	13.5	1.32	14.9	16.5	-1.53
Tristan Thompson	30	29	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.02	-3	-2	-1	14.2	13.6	0.62	14.9	16.6	-1.71
Coby White	45	45	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.10	-1	-4	3	13.6	14.0	-0.34	14.7	17.2	-2.52
Javonte Green	30	29	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.06	-4	-1	-3	12.9	14.2	-1.31	15.0	16.5	-1.51
Alex Caruso	59	59	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.30	0	-5	5	14.2	13.2	1.06	16.9	14.7	2.24
Nikola Vucevic	67	66	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.39	0	-5	5	13.6	14.2	-0.62	16.8	14.5	2.31
Zach LaVine	72	72	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.34	-2	-3	1	13.7	14.2	-0.59	16.7	14.0	2.79
Ayo Dosunmu	72	72	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.26	-8	3	-11	13.7	14.1	-0.37	16.3	15.2	1.07
DeMar DeRozan	84	83	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.28	-8	3	-11	13.8	13.5	0.31	15.9	17.2	-1.27

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mitchell Robinson	71	70	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.26	11	-6	17	16.1	16.0	0.02	14.1	13.1	1.01
Alec Burks	84	85	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.29	10	-5	15	15.9	17.2	-1.37	13.9	13.2	0.63
Julius Randle	57	57	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.34	8	-3	11	16.1	15.9	0.22	13.5	14.2	-0.63
RJ Barrett	87	87	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.36	4	1	3	16.4	12.6	3.86	13.8	14.2	-0.44
Immanuel Quickley	53	55	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.29	-2	7	-9	15.6	16.6	-0.96	13.7	14.0	-0.26
Evan Fournier	50	50	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.05	4	1	3	16.5	15.5	1.02	13.8	13.8	0.03
Miles McBride	14	14	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.02	1	4	-3	14.7	16.3	-1.57	14.0	13.8	0.23
Obi Toppin	39	40	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	0.01	-3	8	-11	15.9	16.1	-0.22	14.2	13.5	0.63
Jericho Sims	25	27	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	0.15	-8	13	-21	16.0	16.1	-0.02	13.1	14.1	-1.01

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.29,0.32,0.4,0.32,0.26,0.29,0.35,0.44,0.47,0.36,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.54,0.73,0.79,0.82,0.83,0.81,0.79,0.81,0.76,0.8,0.74,0.75,0.74,0.85,0.85,0.83,0.77,0.74,0.91,0.88,0.77,0.64,0.67,0.72,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 86, DET 91	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.49,0.41,0.37,0.33,0.31,0.3,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.42,0.4,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.54,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.77,0.82,0.81,0.81,0.82,0.83,0.86,0.8,0.81,0.79,0.9,0.79,0.85,0.86,0.92,0.88,0.81,0.87,0.64,0.84,0.77,0.92,1	91.9%
MIL 88, IND 89	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.3,0.34,0.36,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.56,0.54,0.63,0.61,0.59,0.7,0.79,0.82,0.8,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.83,0.86,0.91,0.89,0.9,0.85,0.82,0.82,0.71,0.73,0.79,0.76,0.66,0.81,0.72,0.84,0.84,1	91.2%
MEM 101, MIN 106	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.34,0.37,0.44,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.41,0.41,0.52,0.58,0.77,0.84,0.8,0.79,0.8,0.79,0.73,0.76,0.84,0.83,0.81,0.79,0.78,0.85,0.87,0.78,0.75,0.86,0.88,0.79,0.85,0.78,0.69,0.64,0.57,0.58,1	91.2%