NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	103		Excitement	7.0 [442]		MVP	Nicolas Batum (LAC): +14.0%
LA Clippers	100		Comeback	1.4 [771]		LVP	Ivica Zubac (LAC): -11.0%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Boucher	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.03	0.06	-0.03	5	55%	0.12	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Pascal Siakam	0.11	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.2,0.22,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.11,0.11	0.15	-0.03	0.02	22	67%	0.17	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Scottie Barnes	0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.1,0.1	-0.02	0.11	-0.01	16	47%	0.17	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Fred VanVleet	0.10	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.1	0.00	0.10	0.00	17	52%	0.17	3	-0.07	6	67%	-0.04
Precious Achiuwa	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08	0.00	0.08	0.00	7	79%	0.19	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Khem Birch	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.01	0.01	2	90%	0.08	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Thaddeus Young	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Gary Trent Jr.	-0.05	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	0.00	0.01	9	32%	-0.05	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Armoni Brooks	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nicolas Batum	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.14	0.14	0.05	0.10	0.02	6	67%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terance Mann	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.08	0.03	-0.00	11	67%	0.20	1	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Marcus Morris Sr.	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.09	0.09	0.12	-0.01	0.01	17	61%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Reggie Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,0.03,0.09,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.03	0.02	19	53%	0.10	3	-0.06	5	60%	-0.01
Amir Coffey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.00	6	71%	0.07	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Robert Covington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	0.00	6	58%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Hartenstein	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	7	67%	0.09	4	-0.14	4	100%	0.03
Luke Kennard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ivica Zubac	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.5	2.4	23.4	15.5	25.5	2.3	30.7	123.2
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +11.2%

TOR +1.4%

TOR +25.6%

TOR +13.3%

LAC -1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	LAC	NBA	TOR	LAC	NBA
this game	16.4	16.0	14.5	114.4	113.6	110.8
season	14.9	14.6		111.3	108.8
opponent	14.5	14.8		109.2	109.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	16.8	13.4	19.2	16.5	16.4
LAC	16.0	17.3	14.2	16.3	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Scottie Barnes	75	74	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.45	7	-4	11	16.2	17.4	-1.21	16.5	13.3	3.19
Fred VanVleet	67	67	0.66	-0.16	0.81	0.42	8	-5	13	16.2	16.9	-0.70	16.0	16.0	-0.04
Pascal Siakam	72	71	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.34	10	-7	17	16.2	17.1	-0.90	16.1	15.5	0.61
Gary Trent Jr.	63	61	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.22	10	-7	17	16.1	17.1	-1.08	16.0	15.9	0.16
Khem Birch	39	39	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.01	13	-10	23	15.5	17.1	-1.59	16.7	15.3	1.40
Precious Achiuwa	51	49	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.40	-10	13	-23	17.1	15.5	1.59	15.3	16.7	-1.40
Thaddeus Young	23	22	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	0.03	-4	7	-11	17.6	16.0	1.64	15.9	16.0	-0.08
Chris Boucher	42	41	-0.17	0.67	-0.85	0.15	-11	14	-25	17.2	15.6	1.59	15.0	16.8	-1.85
Armoni Brooks	18	16	-0.20	0.70	-0.91	0.03	-8	11	-19	16.2	16.4	-0.21	15.6	16.1	-0.49

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Isaiah Hartenstein	45	45	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.15	3	-6	9	14.9	17.1	-2.16	17.6	15.1	2.51
Amir Coffey	43	44	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.03	-5	2	-7	16.3	15.7	0.57	16.5	16.3	0.17
Luke Kennard	41	43	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.08	-4	1	-5	16.0	15.9	0.16	15.0	17.6	-2.62
Robert Covington	39	42	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.33	4	-7	11	15.8	16.1	-0.31	15.7	17.0	-1.35
Marcus Morris Sr.	63	64	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.36	5	-8	13	15.9	16.1	-0.22	16.8	15.3	1.47
Terance Mann	57	57	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.27	1	-4	5	16.1	15.8	0.30	16.1	17.0	-0.92
Ivica Zubac	33	33	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.01	-13	10	-23	17.1	15.3	1.80	14.5	17.5	-3.05
Reggie Jackson	61	63	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.36	-2	-1	-1	16.0	16.0	-0.05	17.3	14.3	3.04
Nicolas Batum	58	59	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.47	-4	1	-5	16.0	16.0	-0.00	16.8	15.5	1.33

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.42,0.4,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.58,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.39,0.33,0.25,0.22,0.13,0.14,0.13,0.15,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.13,0.17,0.16,0.21,0.34,0.3,0.29,0.21,0.37,0.22,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.21,0.17,0.08,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 86, PHI 78	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.43,0.47,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.48,0.41,0.42,0.33,0.3,0.25,0.16,0.18,0.2,0.19,0.12,0.18,0.2,0.21,0.24,0.22,0.25,0.22,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.15,0.14,0.09,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.02,0,0	93.1%
PHI 93, TOR 90	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.54,0.59,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.41,0.39,0.28,0.33,0.22,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.15,0.22,0.25,0.33,0.42,0.31,0.09,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.17,0.15,0	92.8%
POR 80, CHA 74	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.67,0.61,0.56,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.27,0.21,0.18,0.15,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.16,0.23,0.29,0.32,0.34,0.3,0.25,0.29,0.23,0.26,0.16,0.22,0.2,0.07,0.02,0.02,0	92.4%