NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	128		Excitement	5.5 [731]		MVP	Trae Young (ATL): +42.5%
Atlanta Hawks	131		Comeback	1.1 [1288]		LVP	Tyrese Haliburton (IND): -4.6%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Terry Taylor	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.13	0.01	0.02	8	80%	0.11	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Jalen Smith	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.08	0.00	0.00	9	65%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Oshae Brissett	0.07	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.00	-0.00	8	75%	0.11	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.02
Duane Washington Jr.	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.03	0.01	17	61%	0.13	4	-0.08	2	100%	0.03
Buddy Hield	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03	0.05	-0.01	0.01	20	54%	0.08	2	-0.05	6	83%	0.01
Isaiah Jackson	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	9	55%	0.03	2	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Keifer Sykes	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyrese Haliburton	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,-0.05	0.08	-0.08	0.05	15	74%	0.06	5	-0.11	4	100%	0.02

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Trae Young	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.11,0.15,0.19,0.17,0.19,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.23,0.26,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.32,0.43	0.43	0.37	0.08	0.02	20	87%	0.50	4	-0.08	14	100%	0.09
De'Andre Hunter	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.17	0.17	0.08	0.08	-0.01	10	68%	0.19	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.03
Danilo Gallinari	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.07	0.01	-0.02	10	68%	0.12	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Clint Capela	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.10	0.00	0.02	5	100%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Onyeka Okongwu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	11	52%	0.03	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.02
Bogdan Bogdanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	12	48%	0.06	2	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Delon Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lou Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Huerter	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,-0.03	-0.03	0.02	-0.06	-0.01	11	64%	0.09	3	-0.12	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.4	2.4	31.6	14.7	24.3	3.3	40.2	137.9
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +35.4%

ATL +15.1%

IND -6.2%

ATL +4.0%

ATL +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	ATL	NBA	IND	ATL	NBA
this game	14.1	14.6	14.5	129.3	128.4	110.8
season	14.4	14.6		111.4	114.3
opponent	14.5	14.7		113.2	115.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	14.7	14.0	15.0	12.6	14.1
ATL	12.5	14.8	16.3	15.0	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Isaiah Jackson	57	60	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.17	0	-3	3	14.8	13.1	1.61	14.5	14.7	-0.19
Oshae Brissett	59	60	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.38	5	-8	13	14.2	13.9	0.20	14.9	14.1	0.82
Terry Taylor	54	53	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.00	-10	7	-17	15.3	12.6	2.70	13.2	16.1	-2.85
Buddy Hield	81	84	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.44	4	-7	11	14.2	13.5	0.70	14.4	15.4	-0.98
Keifer Sykes	37	38	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.07	-14	11	-25	13.9	14.2	-0.24	15.0	14.3	0.67
Jalen Smith	55	58	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.33	-1	-2	1	13.1	15.2	-2.08	15.0	14.0	0.98
Tyrese Haliburton	82	84	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.44	2	-5	7	13.9	14.7	-0.77	14.8	13.7	1.11
Duane Washington Jr.	70	73	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.37	-1	-2	1	13.3	15.9	-2.58	14.8	14.1	0.71

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bogdan Bogdanovic	64	61	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.30	8	-5	13	15.2	13.6	1.63	14.3	13.7	0.63
Trae Young	76	74	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.34	2	1	1	14.4	15.2	-0.77	13.8	14.8	-0.92
Kevin Huerter	72	71	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.43	-2	5	-7	14.8	14.1	0.73	14.6	12.7	1.84
De'Andre Hunter	77	77	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.37	-1	4	-5	14.3	15.3	-0.98	14.1	14.0	0.15
Onyeka Okongwu	53	51	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.12	5	-2	7	15.3	13.8	1.55	14.2	14.0	0.22
Danilo Gallinari	61	59	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.01	7	-4	11	14.5	14.7	-0.22	13.9	14.2	-0.30
Lou Williams	29	27	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.05	3	0	3	14.7	14.5	0.16	14.1	14.0	0.11
Delon Wright	31	29	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.04	3	0	3	13.6	15.0	-1.34	12.4	14.7	-2.29
Clint Capela	46	45	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.37	-9	12	-21	14.2	14.9	-0.62	14.4	13.8	0.56
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	4	-5	1.0	14.7	-13.71	10.0	14.1	-4.11

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.56,0.6,0.64,0.56,0.62,0.64,0.61,0.65,0.62,0.69,0.68,0.68,0.73,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.8,0.8,0.84,0.93,0.89,0.91,0.91,0.89,0.88,0.71,0.8,0.84,0.85,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.91,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.94,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 83, BOS 103	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.59,0.64,0.68,0.67,0.68,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.7,0.72,0.68,0.68,0.75,0.74,0.73,0.75,0.78,0.83,0.85,0.84,0.9,0.86,0.88,0.91,0.83,0.86,0.82,0.9,0.9,0.91,0.86,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.0%
NYK 82, LAL 106	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.63,0.65,0.65,0.64,0.61,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.72,0.74,0.71,0.69,0.72,0.79,0.82,0.93,0.92,0.9,0.91,0.89,0.9,0.89,0.8,0.81,0.87,0.87,0.9,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.8%
SEA 81, UTA 98	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.65,0.7,0.71,0.7,0.68,0.7,0.73,0.73,0.77,0.76,0.72,0.77,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.8,0.85,0.84,0.85,0.81,0.81,0.79,0.78,0.81,0.88,0.89,0.87,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.7%