inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Minnesota Timberwolves 113 Excitement8.8 [158] MVPMax Strus (MIA): +23.1%
Miami Heat 104 Comeback8.1 [123] LVPMarkieff Morris (MIA): -18.2%


Minnesota Timberwolves
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jaden McDaniels0.180,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.18,0.18,0.180.090.08-0.01882%0.222-0.041100%0.01
Taurean Prince0.140,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.020.10-0.02852%0.161-0.02560%-0.02
Malik Beasley0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.120.060.060.00967%0.151-0.0300%0.00
Anthony Edwards0.100,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.1,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.1,0.10.070.070.041062%0.131-0.024100%0.05
Jaylen Nowell0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.070.01-0.011357%0.0900.002100%0.01
Naz Reid0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.020.020.00855%0.061-0.024100%0.03
Josh Okogie0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jordan McLaughlin-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.01-0.020.00545%-0.0100.001100%0.01
Karl-Anthony Towns-0.070,0,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.070.00-0.060.01958%0.013-0.08875%0.01
D'Angelo Russell-0.160,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16-0.11-0.08-0.031342%-0.045-0.127100%0.02

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Max Strus0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.08,0.23,0.230.230.130.10-0.011273%0.231-0.002100%0.02
Tyler Herro0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.14,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.25,0.25,0.23,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.26,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.35,0.35,0.28,0.28,0.21,0.190.190.180.01-0.001965%0.231-0.048100%0.04
Haywood Highsmith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.040.010.001150%0.0500.0000%0.00
Kyle Lowry0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0,-0.01-0.01-0.05-0.01-0.051247%0.053-0.06667%-0.05
Duncan Robinson0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.04-0.02-0.02625%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Bam Adebayo0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.060.01-0.07-0.011258%0.094-0.15956%-0.09
P.J. Tucker0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.07-0.01-0.02743%0.033-0.0900%0.00
Gabe Vincent0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.11-0.01-0.03812%-0.081-0.0100%0.00
Dewayne Dedmon0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.05-0.06-0.00425%-0.061-0.0500%0.00
Markieff Morris0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18-0.18-0.09-0.11-0.02743%-0.044-0.1400%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game29.12.531.415.423.91.833.5137.6
league avg25.62.328.114.728.02.332.3134.3
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIN +5.6%
MIN +25.3%
MIN +2.5%
MIN +14.6%
MIN +1.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMINMIANBAMINMIANBA
this game13.114.414.5107.6100.0110.8
season13.914.9112.6112.0
opponent14.914.4107.6110.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIN12.113.911.614.913.1
MIA13.113.817.613.314.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Malik Beasley66650.72-0.220.950.1420-113113.412.70.7215.113.31.83
D'Angelo Russell77780.55-0.050.610.0517-82512.215.8-3.6014.314.8-0.46
Karl-Anthony Towns55540.450.050.390.0414-51913.912.41.4914.414.4-0.03
Jaden McDaniels51510.450.050.390.1510-11113.313.00.3715.213.61.59
Anthony Edwards79780.370.130.240.2254113.711.52.1314.314.9-0.67
Taurean Prince52510.120.38-0.250.0918-712.913.4-0.4413.515.3-1.83
Jaylen Nowell4747-0.000.50-0.500.15-514-1912.713.5-0.7614.214.6-0.34
Naz Reid5252-0.020.52-0.530.19-716-2312.413.8-1.4314.614.30.27
Jordan McLaughlin4644-0.150.65-0.800.15-1019-2913.912.61.3314.114.6-0.54

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Haywood Highsmith11100.21-0.710.93-0.028-172514.514.40.0414.213.01.17
Markieff Morris39390.07-0.570.65-0.106-152113.115.2-2.0713.313.10.22
Max Strus6969-0.01-0.490.49-0.4214-233713.416.4-2.9813.712.11.57
Tyler Herro7878-0.09-0.410.32-0.4111-203113.916.0-2.1014.010.83.18
Bam Adebayo7171-0.17-0.330.16-0.170-9914.414.6-0.2214.011.42.65
Dewayne Dedmon3334-0.33-0.17-0.16-0.06-90-914.614.40.2211.414.0-2.65
Kyle Lowry7980-0.38-0.12-0.26-0.18-7-2-514.514.30.1413.811.02.87
Duncan Robinson3435-0.48-0.02-0.450.14-2112-3316.613.33.3012.113.7-1.54
Gabe Vincent5860-0.550.05-0.610.09-2213-3514.813.90.8811.215.7-4.53
P.J. Tucker4849-0.780.28-1.07-0.05-2516-4115.713.42.3112.813.5-0.73


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.41,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.34,0.33,0.3,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.34,0.38,0.44,0.42,0.49,0.53,0.61,0.66,0.74,0.86,0.89,0.82,0.79,0.69,0.61,0.61,0.73,0.71,0.62,0.66,0.69,0.6,0.52,0.38,0.43,0.57,0.39,0.4,0.47,0.51,0.54,0.45,0.37,0.16,0.15,0
GameSimilarity Score
HOU 100, VAN 950.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.41,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.72,0.78,0.86,0.91,0.93,0.9,0.81,0.86,0.86,0.75,0.65,0.59,0.6,0.64,0.5,0.34,0.29,0.38,0.42,0.47,0.4,0.39,0.47,0.36,0.14,0.03,089.6%
UTA 104, HOU 950.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.39,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.36,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.47,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.66,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.58,0.63,0.55,0.48,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.48,0.42,0.3,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.54,0.53,0.46,0.23,0.08,089.4%
LAC 96, PHX 940.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.6,0.64,0.71,0.79,0.86,0.9,0.8,0.69,0.74,0.61,0.67,0.76,0.74,0.71,0.69,0.65,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.48,0.53,0.42,0.53,0.59,0.41,0.4,0.31,0.28,0.24,0.1,089.1%