inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Toronto Raptors 124 Excitement16.2 [1] MVPScottie Barnes (TOR): +39.1%
Miami Heat 120 Comeback19.2 [83] LVPBam Adebayo (MIA): -41.4%


Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Scottie Barnes0.390,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.390.080.30-0.011369%0.503-0.11683%0.15
Fred VanVleet0.220,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.12,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.32,-0.32,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32,0.03,0.03,0.18,0.31,0.31,0.22-0.100.29-0.032243%0.385-0.1600%0.00
Precious Achiuwa0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.060.01-0.02580%0.0900.0000%0.00
Chris Boucher-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.00-0.00050%-0.0000.00250%-0.01
Gary Trent Jr.-0.010,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.15,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.27,0.27,0.12,0.12,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.010.14-0.140.012857%-0.0100.002100%0.09
Dalano Banton-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.02-0.020.0000%0.001-0.0400%0.00
Pascal Siakam-0.180,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18-0.04-0.120.021850%-0.014-0.176100%0.05
OG Anunoby-0.290,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.14,-0.25,-0.37,-0.37,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29-0.05-0.24-0.002145%-0.103-0.1820%-0.03

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Gabe Vincent0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0.18,0.18,0.31,0.27,0.27,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.25,0.230.230.020.230.011557%0.393-0.1600%0.00
P.J. Tucker0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.180.180.020.17-0.001246%0.1800.0000%0.00
Caleb Martin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.050.02-0.00769%0.101-0.022100%0.01
Max Strus0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.05,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.09-0.020.00779%0.0700.0000%0.00
Dewayne Dedmon0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.01-0.03-0.00560%0.032-0.0700%0.00
Duncan Robinson0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.10-0.03-0.0150%-0.091-0.0300%0.00
Jimmy Butler0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.17,-0.15,-0.2,-0.2,-0.38,-0.38,-0.38,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27-0.270.06-0.300.032659%-0.005-0.271173%-0.01
Tyler Herro0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.22,-0.22,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.05,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.06,0.08,0,-0.08,-0.28-0.28-0.21-0.08-0.012230%-0.185-0.1000%0.00
Bam Adebayo0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.28,-0.41,-0.41-0.41-0.11-0.290.011245%0.006-0.42757%-0.03
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1 OT2 OT3Total
this game23.42.526.415.328.81.831.22.811.02.513.12.616.2177.6
league avg25.62.328.114.728.02.332.32.315.42.315.42.315.4134.3
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA -14.1%
TOR +48.2%
MIA -0.9%
TOR +27.5%
MIA -10.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsTORMIANBATORMIANBA
this game16.515.314.5104.2100.8110.8
season14.914.9111.3112.0
opponent14.914.8107.6109.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
TOR18.914.413.820.116.816.5
MIA15.213.813.415.120.814.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Pascal Siakam1061070.58-0.080.670.358-41216.218.8-2.5515.711.44.28
Gary Trent Jr.1031030.54-0.040.570.4822016.615.61.0815.513.71.83
Fred VanVleet99990.50-0.000.500.4713-216.715.21.5015.414.80.50
Chris Boucher26250.240.26-0.030.1531216.716.40.3012.216.1-3.94
OG Anunoby1041060.210.29-0.080.35-59-1416.715.01.7115.116.8-1.77
Scottie Barnes96950.020.48-0.45-0.125-1616.516.5-0.0315.813.12.69
Dalano Banton1919-0.000.50-0.51-0.0931215.116.8-1.7214.815.3-0.51
Precious Achiuwa3332-0.080.58-0.67-0.05-15-616.616.40.1913.615.9-2.33

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Caleb Martin44410.52-1.021.550.269-132213.216.5-3.3118.315.62.74
Max Strus50500.41-0.911.310.236-101613.916.2-2.2917.116.10.97
Dewayne Dedmon36350.02-0.520.53-0.104-81212.916.3-3.4517.116.30.80
Tyler Herro8582-0.24-0.260.02-0.509-132214.816.4-1.6417.015.31.74
Jimmy Butler9798-0.40-0.10-0.29-0.431-5615.614.01.5616.516.7-0.21
Duncan Robinson3740-0.44-0.06-0.390.05-1713-3016.214.91.3415.517.0-1.50
Bam Adebayo8384-0.520.02-0.53-0.28-84-1216.312.93.4516.317.1-0.80
P.J. Tucker7678-0.850.35-1.20-0.47-139-2216.613.03.5515.618.3-2.74
Gabe Vincent8787-1.000.50-1.50-0.68-117-1815.714.11.6516.217.4-1.25


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.48,0.4,0.42,0.34,0.35,0.24,0.21,0.19,0.17,0.26,0.23,0.27,0.33,0.35,0.37,0.36,0.33,0.27,0.23,0.15,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.3,0.43,0.42,0.37,0.17,0.24,0.33,0.52,0.55,0.25,0.42,0.54,0.45,0.63,0.55,0.72,0.54,0.68,0.72,0.68,0.63,0.54,0.55,0.37,0.11,0.16,0
GameSimilarity Score
IND 87, LAL 880.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.57,0.58,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.35,0.25,0.25,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.25,0.26,0.28,0.27,0.24,0.29,0.27,0.27,0.3,0.26,0.2,0.18,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.17,0.13,0.23,0.22,0.13,0.26,0.3,0.38,0.38,0.32,0.47,0.29,0.28,0.38,0.46,0.68,0.42,186.8%
TOR 101, CLE 1050.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.5,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.32,0.35,0.38,0.47,0.36,0.31,0.28,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.24,0.25,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.21,0.25,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.15,0.13,0.11,0.14,0.13,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.13,0.09,0.13,0.15,0.22,0.31,0.37,0.29,0.58,186.5%
POR 88, SEA 910.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.63,0.56,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.35,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.26,0.27,0.29,0.29,0.33,0.34,0.32,0.29,0.39,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.3,0.28,0.27,0.25,0.16,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.19,0.18,0.13,0.3,0.34,0.58,0.37,0.36,0.4,0.47,0.39,0.46,0.55,0.72,186.2%