NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	95		Excitement	7.7 [315]		MVP	Stanley Johnson (LAL): +27.9%
Los Angeles Lakers	101		Comeback	8.9 [108]		LVP	Donovan Mitchell (UTA): -19.7%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rudy Gobert	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.09	0.08	0.04	8	79%	0.21	3	-0.07	8	87%	0.02
Royce O'Neale	0.10	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.13	-0.00	0.02	5	93%	0.10	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Joe Ingles	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.05	0.04	0.00	6	75%	0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mike Conley	0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09	0.11	0.01	0.03	12	71%	0.15	2	-0.06	4	75%	0.01
Trent Forrest	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Eric Paschall	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gay	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	12	37%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Clarkson	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	0.00	-0.00	13	21%	-0.10	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Bojan Bogdanovic	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19	-0.12	-0.07	0.01	9	24%	-0.15	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.01
Donovan Mitchell	-0.20	0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.15	-0.07	-0.02	19	33%	-0.11	4	-0.08	1	100%	0.01

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stanley Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.11,0.22,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.28	0.11	0.17	0.00	9	79%	0.31	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.03
LeBron James	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.13,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.05	0.06	-0.01	20	52%	0.15	1	-0.03	8	50%	-0.04
Avery Bradley	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.06	-0.00	8	53%	0.09	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Austin Reaves	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.02	0.00	5	40%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malik Monk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.1,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.05	-0.00	12	58%	0.05	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Talen Horton-Tucker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	7	58%	0.07	3	-0.09	5	40%	-0.04
Dwight Howard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	2	67%	0.02	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Trevor Ariza	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	8	22%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Russell Westbrook	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13	-0.13	-0.02	-0.04	0.07	14	47%	-0.08	2	-0.05	4	100%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.1	2.7	36.0	14.4	27.5	1.8	35.2	143.8
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +44.9%

UTA -7.9%

LAL +10.1%

UTA -0.8%

LAL +3.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	LAL	NBA	UTA	LAL	NBA
this game	14.6	15.1	14.5	96.9	105.2	110.8
season	14.8	14.3		115.1	109.5
opponent	14.2	14.7		112.2	110.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	13.7	15.4	12.5	17.2	14.6
LAL	17.8	13.4	15.2	14.1	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rudy Gay	36	35	0.21	-0.71	0.92	0.15	2	-8	10	16.0	13.9	2.12	14.5	15.4	-0.95
Royce O'Neale	72	70	0.10	-0.60	0.70	-0.28	13	-19	32	13.8	17.0	-3.17	15.9	12.8	3.09
Trent Forrest	4	5	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	0.01	-5	-1	-4	11.2	14.8	-3.53	10.2	15.3	-5.13
Eric Paschall	8	9	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.04	-7	1	-8	15.2	14.6	0.67	13.0	15.3	-2.28
Mike Conley	55	54	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.19	1	-7	8	14.8	14.4	0.34	15.9	14.0	1.85
Joe Ingles	49	47	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.08	-10	4	-14	14.8	14.4	0.37	14.0	16.1	-2.17
Donovan Mitchell	77	75	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.41	3	-9	12	14.1	16.6	-2.47	15.4	13.8	1.60
Bojan Bogdanovic	67	66	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.53	0	-6	6	13.8	16.5	-2.66	15.7	13.7	1.93
Jordan Clarkson	47	46	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	-0.05	-17	11	-28	17.0	12.4	4.63	13.6	16.4	-2.75
Rudy Gobert	75	73	-0.73	0.23	-0.95	-0.43	-10	4	-14	14.5	15.2	-0.71	15.2	14.5	0.77

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Talen Horton-Tucker	55	55	0.77	-0.27	1.05	0.33	15	-9	24	13.5	17.1	-3.59	17.1	11.5	5.60
Stanley Johnson	49	50	0.77	-0.27	1.03	0.24	18	-12	30	13.6	16.6	-3.09	15.9	13.4	2.51
LeBron James	73	74	0.66	-0.16	0.81	0.33	11	-5	16	15.7	13.0	2.71	14.6	14.8	-0.21
Austin Reaves	43	44	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.11	13	-7	20	13.2	16.6	-3.40	16.0	13.5	2.56
Malik Monk	50	50	0.44	0.06	0.39	-0.06	17	-11	28	13.8	16.4	-2.59	15.2	14.0	1.24
Avery Bradley	55	56	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.33	-11	17	-28	16.2	13.6	2.58	13.2	16.5	-3.23
Russell Westbrook	56	58	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.31	-11	17	-28	16.1	13.6	2.46	13.3	16.6	-3.28
Dwight Howard	44	45	-0.19	0.69	-0.89	0.07	-9	15	-24	16.5	13.8	2.65	13.4	15.7	-2.24
Trevor Ariza	55	58	-0.43	0.93	-1.36	-0.05	-13	19	-32	16.4	13.3	3.09	13.3	16.5	-3.20

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.53,0.47,0.41,0.45,0.47,0.55,0.56,0.48,0.56,0.51,0.64,0.62,0.71,0.7,0.68,0.69,0.74,0.75,0.73,0.67,0.63,0.72,0.64,0.52,0.52,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.41,0.37,0.21,0.26,0.3,0.21,0.14,0.28,0.41,0.71,0.72,0.69,0.77,0.96,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 101, GSW 104	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.37,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.5,0.58,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.64,0.61,0.74,0.8,0.73,0.7,0.77,0.69,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.48,0.38,0.35,0.41,0.44,0.33,0.38,0.3,0.32,0.24,0.27,0.26,0.41,0.67,0.81,0.84,0.83,0.95,1	91.6%
DEN 96, BKN 102	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.4,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.54,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.68,0.73,0.71,0.69,0.58,0.67,0.58,0.68,0.6,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.34,0.37,0.4,0.46,0.48,0.38,0.2,0.32,0.41,0.59,0.54,0.81,0.93,0.98,1,1	90.6%
BOS 81, LAL 87	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.57,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.51,0.47,0.5,0.53,0.56,0.64,0.6,0.63,0.7,0.73,0.76,0.75,0.73,0.73,0.67,0.69,0.72,0.72,0.64,0.64,0.55,0.45,0.45,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.47,0.41,0.76,0.78,0.9,0.84,0.78,0.99,1	90.4%