NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	117		Excitement	5.8 [684]		MVP	RJ Barrett (NYK): +21.1%
Atlanta Hawks	108		Comeback	1.4 [596]		LVP	Immanuel Quickley (NYK): -7.4%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
RJ Barrett	0.21	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.07	0.13	-0.01	20	52%	0.23	1	-0.01	10	80%	0.00
Alec Burks	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.14	0.04	-0.00	8	74%	0.18	0	0.00	7	100%	0.04
Julius Randle	0.11	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.11,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.07	0.02	-0.02	21	53%	0.14	1	-0.03	3	67%	0.00
Quentin Grimes	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.00	0.00	3	133%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Taj Gibson	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.02	0.00	4	70%	0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Evan Fournier	0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.04	13	69%	0.14	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Mitchell Robinson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.03	0.04	8	70%	0.07	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Obi Toppin	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Immanuel Quickley	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	6	25%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Onyeka Okongwu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.12	0.02	0.00	6	100%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lou Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.04	0.06	0.00	3	87%	0.16	1	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Danilo Gallinari	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.03	0.01	14	57%	0.11	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.01	3	83%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gorgui Dieng	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	0.00	0.02	4	70%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Delon Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	2	67%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Trae Young	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	0.02	0.04	23	58%	0.14	4	-0.11	4	75%	-0.00
John Collins	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0	0.00	0.07	-0.03	0.04	8	76%	0.03	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
De'Andre Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	9	40%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kevin Huerter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	0.00	0.01	8	33%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	32.0	2.0	24.2	14.4	25.6	2.5	31.4	132.2
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +17.1%

NYK +14.8%

NYK +17.8%

NYK +1.2%

ATL -1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	ATL	NBA	NYK	ATL	NBA
this game	17.0	14.2	14.5	125.8	117.4	110.8
season	15.1	14.6		109.4	114.3
opponent	14.5	14.6		113.2	109.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	14.9	15.9	18.6	18.6	17.0
ATL	14.5	16.1	13.3	12.7	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alec Burks	70	68	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.23	11	-2	13	17.3	15.9	1.40	13.6	15.8	-2.22
Julius Randle	72	74	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.12	12	-3	15	17.0	17.0	0.02	13.7	16.2	-2.50
Evan Fournier	63	63	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.20	9	0	9	16.3	18.3	-2.02	13.5	15.5	-1.94
RJ Barrett	80	80	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.21	8	1	7	16.2	21.7	-5.49	14.0	15.2	-1.26
Mitchell Robinson	61	60	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.14	9	0	9	17.0	17.0	-0.05	13.4	15.6	-2.21
Taj Gibson	32	32	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.10	0	9	-9	17.0	17.0	0.05	15.6	13.4	2.21
Quentin Grimes	30	29	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.04	0	9	-9	18.3	16.3	2.02	15.5	13.5	1.94
Obi Toppin	21	18	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.11	-3	12	-15	17.0	17.0	-0.02	16.2	13.7	2.50
Immanuel Quickley	36	36	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	10	-11	18.0	16.3	1.68	15.6	13.2	2.40

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lou Williams	25	25	0.01	-0.51	0.53	-0.04	2	-11	13	14.6	14.0	0.56	17.2	16.9	0.32
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot	29	28	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.02	-1	-8	7	14.9	13.8	1.09	17.3	16.8	0.51
Gorgui Dieng	24	26	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.04	-2	-7	5	14.4	14.1	0.30	16.2	17.3	-1.02
Onyeka Okongwu	47	44	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.08	-2	-7	5	14.7	13.6	1.08	17.4	16.6	0.88
Delon Wright	45	46	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.04	-8	-1	-7	15.1	13.2	1.88	16.2	17.7	-1.53
John Collins	55	57	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.17	-4	-5	1	13.4	15.3	-1.92	17.5	16.2	1.26
Danilo Gallinari	51	53	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.23	-3	-6	3	14.2	14.1	0.05	16.7	17.3	-0.67
De'Andre Hunter	59	60	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.19	-7	-2	-5	13.6	15.1	-1.51	17.3	16.4	0.89
Kevin Huerter	58	58	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.21	-7	-2	-5	13.8	14.8	-1.02	16.8	17.2	-0.33
Trae Young	67	68	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.15	-13	4	-17	14.0	14.6	-0.56	16.9	17.2	-0.32

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.47,0.5,0.48,0.57,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.43,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.37,0.39,0.29,0.34,0.31,0.23,0.2,0.14,0.19,0.14,0.13,0.11,0.16,0.09,0.12,0.08,0.15,0.1,0.09,0.19,0.13,0.12,0.2,0.19,0.36,0.24,0.17,0.24,0.07,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 97, UTA 89	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.29,0.26,0.21,0.27,0.25,0.26,0.18,0.15,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.14,0.23,0.26,0.24,0.13,0.11,0.02,0.01,0,0	94.2%
DAL 99, PHI 92	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.42,0.35,0.37,0.37,0.31,0.25,0.28,0.22,0.16,0.16,0.1,0.15,0.13,0.16,0.09,0.15,0.16,0.12,0.14,0.18,0.08,0.13,0.15,0.17,0.19,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.05,0,0.01,0,0	94.0%
DAL 90, MEM 83	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.42,0.36,0.42,0.44,0.37,0.3,0.29,0.36,0.39,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.26,0.16,0.18,0.22,0.14,0.1,0.06,0.13,0.1,0.16,0.07,0.22,0.22,0.25,0.21,0.15,0.26,0.29,0.17,0.24,0.1,0.03,0.01,0	93.8%