NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	105		Excitement	7.7 [319]		MVP	Jayson Tatum (BOS): +83.5%
New York Knicks	108		Comeback	43.6 [36]		LVP	Dennis Schroder (BOS): -15.0%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jayson Tatum	0.84	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.21,0.21,0.32,0.23,0.23,0.33,0.57,0.84	0.25	0.58	-0.01	21	75%	0.86	2	-0.03	6	100%	0.13
Marcus Smart	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04	-0.01	0.02	-0.03	12	54%	0.10	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.04
Robert Williams III	0.04	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	0.00	0.02	3	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Richardson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.02	7	43%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaylen Brown	0.01	0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.04	14	53%	0.04	3	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Enes Freedom	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Horford	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	8	44%	0.01	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Grant Williams	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Schroder	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.15	0.14	-0.21	0.07	12	74%	-0.02	1	-0.13	3	67%	-0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Evan Fournier	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.19,0.16,0.28,0.28,0.36,0.36,0.49,0.49,0.49	0.49	0.30	0.26	0.07	25	77%	0.54	2	-0.05	3	33%	-0.06
RJ Barrett	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,0.32	0.32	-0.05	0.37	-0.01	15	38%	0.34	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.02
Immanuel Quickley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.19	0.19	0.06	0.13	0.00	12	64%	0.23	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Mitchell Robinson	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.04	0.11	0.02	3	100%	0.16	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Taj Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.02	0.00	3	100%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Julius Randle	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.01,0	0.00	0.05	-0.03	0.02	20	48%	0.00	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.04
Obi Toppin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quentin Grimes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Alec Burks	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.02	-0.02	10	15%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.1	2.7	23.2	16.4	29.6	3.5	38.5	140.0
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +42.1%

BOS -23.1%

NYK +24.2%

NYK +10.0%

BOS -3.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	NYK	NBA	BOS	NYK	NBA
this game	16.1	15.9	14.5	116.7	120.0	110.8
season	14.9	15.1		112.2	109.4
opponent	14.6	14.7		109.6	105.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	14.3	15.8	15.4	19.0	16.1
NYK	16.4	16.2	15.2	16.0	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Enes Freedom	21	21	0.28	-0.78	1.06	-0.07	12	-15	27	15.6	16.2	-0.57	17.7	15.4	2.25
Dennis Schroder	48	48	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.09	2	-5	7	17.2	14.8	2.38	16.5	15.3	1.15
Josh Richardson	28	30	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.17	-7	4	-11	16.6	15.8	0.75	17.3	15.3	1.98
Grant Williams	27	28	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.22	-10	7	-17	16.3	15.9	0.40	17.1	15.4	1.74
Jayson Tatum	76	75	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.54	8	-11	19	15.8	17.2	-1.37	16.0	15.8	0.17
Al Horford	58	58	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.48	4	-7	11	15.9	16.4	-0.54	15.9	16.1	-0.23
Jaylen Brown	67	66	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.41	-2	-1	-1	15.2	18.7	-3.49	15.4	17.4	-1.95
Marcus Smart	59	59	-0.74	0.24	-0.99	-0.45	-10	7	-17	16.2	15.8	0.38	15.2	17.5	-2.30
Robert Williams III	66	65	-0.76	0.26	-1.02	-0.41	-12	9	-21	16.3	15.5	0.76	15.2	18.0	-2.85

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Evan Fournier	78	79	0.93	-0.43	1.37	0.41	18	-15	33	15.5	18.7	-3.14	16.3	14.0	2.34
Julius Randle	73	74	0.78	-0.28	1.06	0.37	14	-11	25	15.1	19.7	-4.64	15.7	17.6	-1.91
Immanuel Quickley	45	44	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.44	9	-6	15	16.7	15.2	1.44	17.2	14.9	2.29
RJ Barrett	63	64	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.55	1	2	-1	15.2	17.8	-2.62	16.1	16.0	0.13
Mitchell Robinson	52	52	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.20	-2	5	-7	14.9	17.4	-2.51	15.9	16.2	-0.31
Alec Burks	73	73	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.08	-2	5	-7	15.9	16.1	-0.14	15.0	20.4	-5.37
Taj Gibson	38	37	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	-0.15	2	1	1	17.4	14.9	2.51	16.7	15.6	1.05
Obi Toppin	17	16	-0.28	0.78	-1.06	0.04	-11	14	-25	19.7	15.1	4.64	17.6	15.7	1.91
Quentin Grimes	11	11	-0.28	0.78	-1.07	0.13	-14	17	-31	20.6	15.3	5.35	14.4	16.3	-1.93

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.32,0.31,0.33,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.36,0.28,0.18,0.2,0.14,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.17,0.14,0.1,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.12,0.13,0.22,0.3,0.25,0.28,0.37,0.11,0.29,0.23,0.45,0.55,0.55,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 106, IND 108	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.48,0.55,0.51,0.45,0.44,0.45,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.38,0.32,0.23,0.25,0.19,0.26,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.25,0.2,0.16,0.14,0.12,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.1,0.15,0.22,0.3,0.28,0.29,0.12,0.13,0.09,0.13,0.38,0.46,0.78,0.28,1	90.1%
CHA 100, POR 102	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.36,0.34,0.28,0.24,0.22,0.23,0.24,0.2,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.07,0.11,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.21,0.14,0.13,0.09,0.16,0.21,0.15,0.08,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.21,0.24,0.23,0.17,0.15,0.33,0.25,0.54,0.76,0.82,1	89.5%
BOS 98, MEM 101	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.46,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.28,0.31,0.28,0.25,0.24,0.2,0.18,0.19,0.18,0.21,0.23,0.19,0.21,0.23,0.24,0.2,0.15,0.11,0.12,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.15,0.22,0.24,0.21,0.12,0.18,0.19,0.16,0.17,0.24,0.19,0.11,0.19,0.33,0.47,0.63,0.32,0.42,1	89.5%