NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	114		Excitement	9.0 [134]		MVP	Raul Neto (WAS): +39.1%
Washington Wizards	111		Comeback	1.5 [345]		LVP	Deni Avdija (WAS): -14.6%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Christian Wood	0.26	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.26,0.26	0.13	0.13	0.00	12	73%	0.31	2	-0.05	6	100%	0.04
Eric Gordon	0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.22,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.2,0.27,0.22,0.33,0.33,0.23	0.12	0.11	-0.01	11	76%	0.39	2	-0.16	3	67%	-0.00
Jalen Green	0.17	0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.08	0.09	-0.01	17	56%	0.20	1	-0.03	5	80%	0.00
Kevin Porter Jr.	0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.17,-0.19,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,0.12	-0.16	0.26	-0.02	13	30%	0.24	4	-0.12	4	25%	-0.04
Josh Christopher	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	5	80%	0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
David Nwaba	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	5	50%	0.03	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Kenyon Martin Jr.	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	6	61%	0.06	3	-0.08	6	83%	0.00
Jae'Sean Tate	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05	-0.08	0.02	-0.01	11	46%	0.08	4	-0.13	6	83%	0.02
Garrison Mathews	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	5	42%	0.00	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Raul Neto	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.23,0.39	0.39	0.10	0.29	-0.00	7	82%	0.41	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.29,0.29,0.38	0.38	0.20	0.18	0.01	16	79%	0.40	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Daniel Gafford	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	-0.01	3	62%	0.03	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.02
Craig Sword	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Kuzma	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.08	-0.07	20	50%	0.09	4	-0.13	8	75%	0.01
Davis Bertans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Bradley Beal	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.06,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.05	-0.01	25	48%	0.04	3	-0.09	6	100%	0.04
Corey Kispert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	6	50%	-0.00	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Deni Avdija	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.17,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.10	-0.05	-0.01	12	29%	-0.10	1	-0.05	4	75%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	1.6	31.3	14.4	31.4	2.4	38.1	142.6
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +53.8%

HOU +3.3%

HOU +18.9%

WAS -31.5%

HOU +5.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	WAS	NBA	HOU	WAS	NBA
this game	14.3	12.5	14.5	106.5	102.8	110.8
season	14.4	14.9		107.5	109.8
opponent	14.4	13.9		113.1	115.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	14.1	14.2	12.8	16.3	14.3
WAS	11.6	12.0	13.9	12.5	12.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Gordon	72	74	0.73	-0.23	0.97	0.27	16	-13	29	13.4	16.1	-2.70	13.1	11.2	1.89
Jalen Green	76	76	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.36	10	-7	17	14.5	13.7	0.78	12.2	13.1	-0.89
Christian Wood	77	76	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.35	7	-4	11	14.4	14.0	0.46	12.2	13.1	-0.89
Kevin Porter Jr.	79	79	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.32	3	0	3	14.5	13.7	0.79	12.2	13.3	-1.15
Jae'Sean Tate	72	73	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.09	9	-6	15	13.7	15.5	-1.76	13.2	11.1	2.13
Garrison Mathews	58	58	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.45	-10	13	-23	15.1	13.3	1.76	11.7	13.4	-1.64
Kenyon Martin Jr.	48	48	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.21	-7	10	-17	14.9	13.8	1.16	12.2	12.8	-0.60
Josh Christopher	30	32	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.06	-4	7	-11	14.0	14.4	-0.46	13.1	12.2	0.89
David Nwaba	23	24	-0.31	0.81	-1.13	-0.05	-9	12	-21	14.0	14.4	-0.33	12.9	12.4	0.54

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Davis Bertans	22	21	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.12	7	-10	17	10.1	13.1	-3.03	15.6	14.0	1.64
Craig Sword	3	4	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.02	-2	-1	-1	16.0	12.4	3.60	12.5	14.4	-1.87
Bradley Beal	67	68	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.09	1	-4	5	12.4	12.7	-0.29	13.7	15.4	-1.67
Corey Kispert	69	67	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.48	9	-12	21	11.9	13.5	-1.55	15.7	11.9	3.75
Daniel Gafford	46	47	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.08	-13	10	-23	13.5	11.8	1.74	12.5	15.7	-3.27
Raul Neto	69	68	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.46	5	-8	13	12.4	12.6	-0.14	15.1	12.9	2.25
Deni Avdija	75	72	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.19	-11	8	-19	13.1	11.2	1.85	13.7	15.5	-1.81
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	90	90	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	-0.41	-5	2	-7	12.4	12.8	-0.40	14.1	15.4	-1.32
Kyle Kuzma	99	98	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.40	-6	3	-9	12.6	11.4	1.15	14.5	12.2	2.27

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.35,0.34,0.35,0.32,0.3,0.33,0.33,0.36,0.37,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.4,0.39,0.34,0.44,0.52,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.37,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.25,0.31,0.31,0.26,0.28,0.38,0.16,0.12,0.17,0.15,0.31,0.3,0.22,0.25,0.45,0.23,0.08,0
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 107, MIN 100	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.36,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.39,0.43,0.42,0.46,0.37,0.38,0.42,0.51,0.53,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.34,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.48,0.54,0.42,0.45,0.39,0.45,0.29,0.28,0.17,0.16,0.25,0.13,0.15,0.12,0.2,0.19,0.21,0.24,0.33,0.39,0.45,0.33,0.01,0	91.7%
IND 96, BKN 91	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.38,0.39,0.38,0.36,0.36,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.47,0.46,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.34,0.3,0.24,0.26,0.32,0.38,0.34,0.29,0.18,0.3,0.26,0.21,0.13,0.12,0.17,0.15,0.06,0.14,0.29,0.06,0.08,0	91.7%
NOH 89, CHI 82	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.32,0.35,0.37,0.42,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.44,0.38,0.42,0.46,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.3,0.3,0.24,0.29,0.31,0.34,0.31,0.26,0.32,0.26,0.3,0.25,0.24,0.23,0.26,0.2,0.17,0.14,0.11,0.07,0.08,0	91.7%