NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	99		Excitement	7.5 [349]		MVP	Ja Morant (MEM): +13.5%
Memphis Grizzlies	104		Comeback	12.2 [246]		LVP	Carmelo Anthony (LAL): -16.4%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Malik Monk	0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13	0.11	0.02	0.01	9	79%	0.16	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
LeBron James	0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.28,0.25,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.29,0.29,0.25,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.26,0.19,0.06	0.15	-0.09	0.00	25	70%	0.27	5	-0.21	3	100%	0.02
Dwight Howard	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	3	60%	0.03	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Stanley Johnson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	-0.01	5	70%	0.06	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Darren Collison	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Avery Bradley	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	8	44%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Talen Horton-Tucker	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	7	29%	-0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	16	50%	0.04	5	-0.16	0	0%	0.00
Carmelo Anthony	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.12	-0.05	-0.01	11	23%	-0.10	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ja Morant	0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.25,0.2,0.23,0.24,0.2,0.16,0.14	0.14	0.10	0.06	0.02	27	62%	0.35	6	-0.22	12	75%	-0.06
Desmond Bane	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.02,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1	0.10	-0.01	0.06	-0.04	18	49%	0.15	2	-0.05	5	100%	0.01
Kyle Anderson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.00	0.00	5	67%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Steven Adams	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Xavier Tillman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.01	2	75%	0.04	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Brandon Clarke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.02	0.00	4	50%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Shaq Buchanan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tyus Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.02	-0.00	6	33%	-0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jaren Jackson Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	-0.00	14	44%	-0.01	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.01
Killian Tillie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	4	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.5	2.0	33.2	14.7	28.2	2.5	31.6	138.6
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +11.4%

MEM +13.1%

MEM +4.4%

MEM +19.3%

MEM +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	MEM	NBA	LAL	MEM	NBA
this game	15.3	14.2	14.5	100.0	108.3	110.8
season	14.3	14.1		109.5	112.9
opponent	14.3	14.2		107.8	112.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	13.3	15.0	17.3	15.9	15.3
MEM	14.4	13.8	14.6	14.1	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dwight Howard	32	32	0.41	-0.91	1.33	-0.09	17	-22	39	15.7	15.1	0.52	15.3	13.7	1.64
Malik Monk	61	61	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.39	12	-17	29	15.5	15.0	0.53	15.5	12.0	3.54
Avery Bradley	69	65	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.33	1	-6	7	15.6	14.6	1.06	13.6	15.5	-1.82
Russell Westbrook	80	78	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.36	1	-6	7	15.4	14.7	0.77	14.9	11.4	3.41
Darren Collison	24	23	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	0.12	-16	11	-27	14.7	15.5	-0.84	11.9	14.9	-3.03
LeBron James	79	76	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.36	0	-5	5	15.6	14.3	1.26	14.0	15.0	-0.99
Talen Horton-Tucker	38	38	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.17	-7	2	-9	14.6	15.7	-1.09	13.7	14.5	-0.80
Carmelo Anthony	63	60	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.08	-15	10	-25	15.1	15.6	-0.53	14.2	14.2	0.04
Stanley Johnson	49	47	-0.63	0.13	-0.77	-0.11	-18	13	-31	14.8	15.8	-1.00	13.4	15.0	-1.64

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyus Jones	46	48	0.91	-0.41	1.32	0.32	20	-15	35	13.4	15.0	-1.55	15.9	14.7	1.23
Kyle Anderson	59	60	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.20	10	-5	15	14.5	13.8	0.71	16.3	13.8	2.49
Ja Morant	71	73	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.36	3	2	1	14.1	14.7	-0.62	15.4	15.0	0.41
Killian Tillie	41	44	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.31	2	3	-1	13.3	14.9	-1.53	14.7	15.8	-1.16
Steven Adams	53	53	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.30	1	4	-3	14.4	14.0	0.31	15.7	14.8	0.89
Jaren Jackson Jr.	65	68	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.18	-1	6	-7	14.7	13.2	1.47	15.2	15.6	-0.40
Brandon Clarke	36	37	0.01	0.49	-0.49	-0.05	2	3	-1	14.3	14.2	0.09	14.3	15.9	-1.56
Shaq Buchanan	15	15	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	-0.01	0	5	-5	13.7	14.3	-0.65	13.7	15.6	-1.93
Desmond Bane	70	71	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	0.23	-9	14	-23	14.8	12.6	2.25	15.1	15.9	-0.82
Xavier Tillman	24	26	-0.15	0.65	-0.81	-0.07	-3	8	-11	14.0	14.3	-0.35	15.1	15.4	-0.25

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.38,0.31,0.28,0.35,0.35,0.36,0.35,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.28,0.35,0.39,0.34,0.23,0.2,0.21,0.34,0.33,0.24,0.28,0.3,0.24,0.19,0.23,0.2,0.08,0.13,0.08,0.1,0.3,0.34,0.43,0.29,0.27,0.45,0.71,0.72,0.86,0.93,0.85,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 92, MIA 98	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.37,0.38,0.31,0.31,0.28,0.31,0.32,0.35,0.3,0.31,0.36,0.38,0.31,0.28,0.21,0.22,0.17,0.23,0.25,0.37,0.29,0.28,0.31,0.22,0.14,0.2,0.1,0.13,0.07,0.14,0.16,0.22,0.34,0.38,0.33,0.53,0.53,0.71,0.82,0.9,0.99,0.95,0.96,1	93.4%
SAC 85, SAS 98	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.43,0.36,0.4,0.37,0.32,0.33,0.31,0.27,0.34,0.28,0.38,0.29,0.25,0.28,0.24,0.32,0.25,0.29,0.31,0.33,0.3,0.23,0.21,0.28,0.27,0.19,0.11,0.08,0.16,0.21,0.16,0.12,0.26,0.34,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.51,0.73,0.8,0.89,0.99,1,1	92.9%
MEM 88, NJN 93	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.26,0.24,0.2,0.24,0.32,0.25,0.31,0.33,0.3,0.23,0.18,0.23,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.16,0.18,0.17,0.18,0.12,0.08,0.18,0.26,0.15,0.21,0.17,0.32,0.41,0.59,0.61,0.86,0.89,0.95,0.91,1	92.3%