NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	117		Excitement	3.8 [1035]		MVP	Joel Embiid (PHI): +17.0%
Washington Wizards	96		Comeback	1.8 [419]		LVP	Daniel Gafford (WAS): -7.8%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joel Embiid	0.17	0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.28	0.02	0.13	17	80%	0.18	1	-0.01	11	91%	0.01
Furkan Korkmaz	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.07	0.01	-0.04	9	67%	0.12	1	-0.00	3	67%	0.00
Tyrese Maxey	0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.05	0.04	-0.02	11	54%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tobias Harris	0.10	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	-0.00	0.00	16	64%	0.10	1	-0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Georges Niang	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.01	-0.03	6	50%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaden Springer	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Henry	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Myles Powell	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	75%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matisse Thybulle	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Johnson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.01	4	62%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Reed	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Joe	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	3	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Seth Curry	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.08	-0.00	-0.03	14	39%	-0.03	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Charles Bassey	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Montrezl Harrell	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.09	0.01	0.01	7	68%	0.09	0	0.00	8	87%	0.02
Davis Bertans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	-0.00	0.01	10	64%	0.08	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Aaron Holiday	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.01	-0.02	8	50%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Spencer Dinwiddie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	13	52%	0.06	2	-0.04	7	43%	-0.03
Isaiah Todd	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joel Ayayi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	5	20%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Schakel	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.09	0.00	-0.09	6	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Gill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	0.02	3	67%	-0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Deni Avdija	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	10	41%	-0.02	1	-0.01	2	0%	-0.01
Kyle Kuzma	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	0.02	11	43%	-0.04	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.01
Corey Kispert	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	9	40%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Daniel Gafford	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.01	0.03	8	41%	-0.04	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.7	2.6	27.4	14.4	33.6	2.6	29.4	138.7
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +32.5%

PHI +4.0%

PHI +6.5%

PHI +4.7%

PHI +2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	WAS	NBA	PHI	WAS	NBA
this game	14.7	14.8	14.5	121.9	97.0	110.8
season	15.2	14.9		112.4	109.8
opponent	14.4	14.6		113.1	109.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	15.6	14.9	14.4	13.9	14.7
WAS	13.2	14.5	14.9	16.8	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matisse Thybulle	53	55	0.57	-0.07	0.63	-0.28	29	-8	37	14.2	15.3	-1.12	16.6	12.5	4.11
Seth Curry	69	72	0.50	-0.00	0.51	-0.35	29	-8	37	14.8	14.5	0.34	15.2	13.9	1.31
Tyrese Maxey	65	68	0.48	0.02	0.46	-0.43	31	-10	41	14.5	15.2	-0.73	15.5	13.2	2.30
Joel Embiid	59	60	0.44	0.06	0.37	-0.30	25	-4	29	15.1	14.2	0.88	16.1	12.8	3.24
Tobias Harris	57	60	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.16	16	5	11	14.9	14.5	0.36	16.1	12.8	3.36
Charles Bassey	12	14	0.10	0.40	-0.29	-0.04	5	16	-11	15.0	14.7	0.31	13.2	15.1	-1.86
Isaiah Joe	13	14	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.01	3	18	-15	13.6	14.9	-1.29	15.8	14.6	1.14
Georges Niang	39	38	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.07	1	20	-19	15.3	14.4	0.89	11.9	16.6	-4.73
Tyler Johnson	35	35	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.18	-5	26	-31	16.1	13.9	2.22	11.5	16.6	-5.10
Jaden Springer	7	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	23	-25	11.9	15.0	-3.10	17.1	14.6	2.51
Aaron Henry	7	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	23	-25	11.9	15.0	-3.10	17.1	14.6	2.51
Myles Powell	7	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	23	-25	11.9	15.0	-3.10	17.1	14.6	2.51
Paul Reed	24	24	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.24	-9	30	-39	13.8	15.0	-1.19	13.1	15.3	-2.22
Furkan Korkmaz	33	34	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.29	-14	35	-49	15.6	14.3	1.38	11.7	16.4	-4.72

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Isaiah Todd	8	8	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-23	25	17.0	14.6	2.38	11.7	15.0	-3.25
Joel Ayayi	8	8	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-23	25	17.0	14.6	2.38	11.7	15.0	-3.25
Jordan Schakel	19	19	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.13	4	-25	29	16.8	14.3	2.45	13.4	15.1	-1.70
Montrezl Harrell	34	33	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.11	3	-24	27	13.4	15.6	-2.17	16.8	13.6	3.23
Deni Avdija	60	59	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	0.03	-2	-19	17	13.7	16.6	-2.90	15.8	13.1	2.68
Davis Bertans	44	43	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.03	-3	-18	15	13.8	15.6	-1.82	16.1	13.6	2.43
Anthony Gill	16	16	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.04	-4	-17	13	14.5	14.9	-0.37	11.8	15.3	-3.50
Daniel Gafford	47	45	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	0.27	-20	-1	-19	15.6	14.1	1.46	13.4	15.9	-2.50
Aaron Holiday	61	55	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	0.32	-23	2	-25	14.2	15.7	-1.51	14.5	15.0	-0.47
Spencer Dinwiddie	64	65	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.13	-20	-1	-19	16.3	12.1	4.26	15.1	14.0	1.08
Kyle Kuzma	63	59	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	0.15	-23	2	-25	13.9	16.4	-2.57	14.3	15.5	-1.23
Corey Kispert	71	70	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	0.05	-21	0	-21	15.6	12.8	2.77	14.8	14.4	0.42

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.4,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.58,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.53,0.52,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.27,0.29,0.23,0.17,0.11,0.08,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 98, MIN 85	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.41,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.52,0.42,0.34,0.42,0.34,0.33,0.3,0.32,0.28,0.2,0.17,0.12,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	96.3%
CHI 107, NOP 72	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.59,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.31,0.25,0.19,0.18,0.09,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.8%
MIL 102, VAN 91	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.57,0.66,0.64,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.37,0.31,0.28,0.17,0.1,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0	95.2%