NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	96		Excitement	7.9 [294]		MVP	Seth Curry (PHI): +34.3%
Philadelphia 76ers	101		Comeback	2.0 [668]		LVP	Tobias Harris (PHI): -15.1%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mo Bamba	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.11	0.03	0.08	-0.01	11	50%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Harris	0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1	0.08	0.01	-0.02	11	70%	0.12	2	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Chuma Okeke	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	5	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ignas Brazdeikis	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wendell Carter Jr.	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	-0.01	-0.03	11	36%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
R.J. Hampton	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	4	70%	0.09	4	-0.12	2	100%	0.02
Jalen Suggs	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	13	50%	0.01	2	-0.06	8	75%	-0.02
Franz Wagner	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.04,-0.01,0.05,0.04,-0.09	0.01	-0.11	-0.01	24	50%	-0.06	2	-0.04	6	67%	-0.01
Terrence Ross	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.12	-0.03	-0.01	11	22%	-0.10	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Seth Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.18,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.34,0.34,0.34	0.34	0.23	0.13	0.02	13	89%	0.34	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Danny Green	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.02	-0.01	4	62%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Drummond	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.13,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.02	0.06	-0.01	4	64%	0.15	3	-0.09	3	33%	-0.04
Matisse Thybulle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.02	-0.03	5	70%	0.07	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Shake Milton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.03	-0.02	8	37%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joel Embiid	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.17,-0.02	-0.02	-0.11	0.04	-0.05	16	38%	0.15	3	-0.17	10	70%	0.06
Georges Niang	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.04	-0.00	9	44%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tyrese Maxey	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	12	32%	-0.07	0	0.00	4	100%	0.04
Furkan Korkmaz	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.04	-0.01	6	17%	-0.07	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tobias Harris	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0.05,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.15	-0.15	-0.01	-0.16	-0.01	20	42%	-0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.1	2.6	21.3	15.4	26.3	0.7	33.4	122.8
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +26.3%

PHI +7.4%

PHI +22.6%

ORL -10.0%

PHI +3.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	PHI	NBA	ORL	PHI	NBA
this game	13.2	14.8	14.5	92.3	99.0	110.8
season	14.4	15.2		103.4	112.4
opponent	14.6	14.4		109.8	111.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	12.5	15.1	11.6	14.0	13.2
PHI	13.3	17.6	15.1	13.7	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jalen Suggs	61	61	0.05	-0.55	0.61	-0.09	5	-10	15	13.0	13.4	-0.46	15.8	13.3	2.53
Wendell Carter Jr.	73	73	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.23	6	-11	17	12.3	15.1	-2.79	15.0	14.4	0.55
Gary Harris	69	69	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.26	7	-12	19	12.3	14.9	-2.58	15.1	14.2	0.96
Franz Wagner	83	82	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.20	4	-9	13	13.1	13.4	-0.26	14.6	15.5	-0.87
Ignas Brazdeikis	14	13	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.13	-8	3	-11	15.2	12.9	2.36	15.4	14.7	0.67
R.J. Hampton	31	29	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.12	-11	6	-17	15.1	12.3	2.79	14.4	15.0	-0.55
Chuma Okeke	58	55	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.22	-8	3	-11	13.7	12.5	1.21	15.8	13.6	2.16
Mo Bamba	77	76	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.26	-8	3	-11	13.6	12.1	1.48	13.9	17.3	-3.41
Terrence Ross	54	52	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.25	-12	7	-19	12.9	13.4	-0.51	13.5	16.1	-2.58

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matisse Thybulle	41	45	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.42	2	3	-1	14.1	15.2	-1.10	14.0	12.6	1.42
Shake Milton	38	40	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.22	8	-3	11	14.7	14.9	-0.23	13.6	12.9	0.77
Furkan Korkmaz	34	35	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.14	8	-3	11	14.6	14.9	-0.28	13.9	12.8	1.16
Andre Drummond	34	36	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.29	2	3	-1	15.8	14.3	1.49	14.7	12.4	2.33
Tobias Harris	73	74	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.29	-1	6	-7	15.3	13.7	1.61	13.1	13.3	-0.23
Georges Niang	33	33	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.15	1	4	-3	14.6	14.9	-0.34	12.8	13.3	-0.52
Tyrese Maxey	68	69	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.14	0	5	-5	14.6	15.2	-0.56	12.8	13.9	-1.12
Danny Green	53	53	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.11	1	4	-3	14.3	15.3	-1.05	12.1	14.3	-2.28
Joel Embiid	67	67	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.09	1	4	-3	14.4	15.5	-1.12	12.6	14.3	-1.75
Seth Curry	69	68	0.00	0.50	-0.49	-0.08	3	2	1	15.4	13.5	1.99	13.3	13.0	0.26

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.59,0.66,0.71,0.7,0.67,0.67,0.73,0.77,0.75,0.74,0.76,0.8,0.79,0.79,0.83,0.84,0.77,0.84,0.77,0.79,0.82,0.8,0.69,0.72,0.67,0.64,0.58,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.37,0.52,0.49,0.62,0.7,0.71,0.76,0.81,0.83,0.81,0.82,0.89,0.79,0.84,0.82,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 88, PHX 94	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.73,0.73,0.68,0.66,0.68,0.72,0.79,0.75,0.76,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.72,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.75,0.67,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.66,0.62,0.83,0.88,0.9,0.76,0.83,0.81,0.79,0.77,0.92,1	92.1%
POR 80, NOK 90	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.61,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.73,0.73,0.76,0.81,0.85,0.8,0.87,0.86,0.87,0.82,0.83,0.8,0.74,0.77,0.8,0.86,0.81,0.82,0.8,0.7,0.59,0.52,0.41,0.34,0.44,0.48,0.59,0.54,0.62,0.68,0.8,0.85,0.69,0.59,0.78,0.69,0.78,0.96,1,1	91.9%
DEN 89, LAC 102	0.5,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.7,0.74,0.78,0.8,0.81,0.8,0.76,0.8,0.82,0.75,0.76,0.78,0.79,0.76,0.78,0.75,0.78,0.7,0.71,0.69,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.63,0.59,0.63,0.48,0.66,0.7,0.62,0.62,0.77,0.89,0.91,0.91,0.97,0.99,1,1,1	91.6%