NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	104		Excitement	9.1 [118]		MVP	Franz Wagner (ORL): +32.4%
New York Knicks	98		Comeback	5.7 [104]		LVP	Cole Anthony (ORL): -18.4%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Franz Wagner	0.32	0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.32,0.32	0.06	0.26	-0.00	11	64%	0.37	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.04
Chuma Okeke	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.08	0.09	0.00	4	90%	0.18	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Jalen Suggs	0.13	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.01	0.12	-0.01	12	54%	0.19	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Terrence Ross	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.02	-0.01	15	56%	0.11	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Moritz Wagner	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	86%	0.09	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
R.J. Hampton	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Gary Harris	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.02	-0.01	5	20%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mo Bamba	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	13	46%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Wendell Carter Jr.	-0.14	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14	-0.02	-0.09	0.04	11	46%	-0.12	1	-0.01	2	0%	-0.04
Cole Anthony	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.06,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.23,-0.27,-0.27,-0.33,-0.26,-0.26,-0.17,-0.18	-0.13	-0.03	0.02	21	33%	-0.13	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.04

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mitchell Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.10	0.06	0.01	6	76%	0.14	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.01
Obi Toppin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.12,0.12,0.23,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.01	0.00	9	78%	0.16	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Evan Fournier	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	6	42%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Taj Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.02	-0.01	9	56%	0.10	5	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Alec Burks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.15,0.21,0.16,0.05,0.05,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.01	-0.05	-0.00	16	44%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
RJ Barrett	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.17,-0.17,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.01,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	0.04	0.01	19	41%	0.03	3	-0.08	3	100%	0.01
Julius Randle	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.05,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	11	54%	0.03	3	-0.10	2	50%	-0.02
Kemba Walker	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.06	-0.05	0.01	7	36%	-0.06	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Immanuel Quickley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.04,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	0.01	-0.15	0.00	5	60%	-0.04	1	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.6	2.4	26.5	14.6	27.8	2.0	31.0	125.9
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +7.3%

ORL +22.6%

ORL +1.8%

ORL +17.6%

ORL +0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	NYK	NBA	ORL	NYK	NBA
this game	13.9	15.2	14.5	105.1	99.0	110.8
season	14.4	15.1		103.4	109.4
opponent	14.6	14.4		109.6	111.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	13.7	14.7	12.2	15.3	13.9
NYK	15.1	14.1	15.5	16.0	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mo Bamba	69	68	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.50	3	3	0	13.5	14.8	-1.26	14.4	16.9	-2.57
Franz Wagner	69	69	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.34	8	-2	10	14.0	13.7	0.36	15.4	14.6	0.82
Wendell Carter Jr.	51	51	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.35	7	-1	8	13.5	14.4	-0.93	16.2	14.1	2.15
Terrence Ross	58	59	0.41	0.09	0.31	-0.06	16	-10	26	14.1	13.7	0.44	15.7	14.4	1.21
Cole Anthony	73	73	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.28	4	2	2	14.4	12.5	1.98	15.5	14.2	1.38
Jalen Suggs	56	56	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.30	1	5	-4	12.8	15.4	-2.57	15.0	15.4	-0.40
Moritz Wagner	12	12	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.03	6	0	6	12.7	14.1	-1.33	15.9	15.1	0.85
Chuma Okeke	40	39	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.06	0	6	-6	14.3	13.6	0.72	14.7	15.5	-0.75
R.J. Hampton	30	29	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	0.05	-6	12	-18	14.7	13.6	1.17	13.6	15.8	-2.24
Gary Harris	37	39	-0.50	1.00	-1.49	-0.23	-9	15	-24	14.7	13.5	1.21	15.0	15.3	-0.28

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mitchell Robinson	63	61	0.43	-0.93	1.36	0.20	8	-14	22	15.4	14.7	0.75	14.4	13.1	1.36
Obi Toppin	35	35	0.31	-0.81	1.13	-0.01	11	-17	28	14.3	15.6	-1.33	15.5	13.0	2.51
Evan Fournier	42	41	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.06	-1	-5	4	16.0	14.6	1.36	14.3	13.7	0.64
Kemba Walker	43	44	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.07	-3	-3	0	15.6	14.9	0.72	13.7	14.1	-0.43
Taj Gibson	28	29	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.02	-5	-1	-4	14.5	15.4	-0.94	14.0	13.9	0.07
Immanuel Quickley	52	51	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.26	-1	-5	4	14.5	15.9	-1.46	14.1	13.7	0.41
RJ Barrett	65	67	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.30	-2	-4	2	16.0	13.5	2.55	14.4	13.0	1.40
Alec Burks	57	58	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.27	-5	-1	-4	14.6	16.0	-1.36	13.7	14.3	-0.64
Derrick Rose	43	42	-0.65	0.15	-0.79	-0.32	-11	5	-16	13.8	16.2	-2.36	12.6	14.9	-2.34
Julius Randle	67	67	-1.13	0.63	-1.76	-0.51	-21	15	-36	15.9	13.6	2.33	13.0	15.9	-2.94

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.6,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.47,0.54,0.6,0.66,0.56,0.62,0.6,0.54,0.56,0.64,0.61,0.54,0.61,0.5,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.46,0.41,0.25,0.24,0.14,0.32,0.3,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.32,0.47,0.71,0.73,0.75,0.54,0.45,0.09,0
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 117, BOS 112	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.66,0.65,0.67,0.67,0.62,0.6,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.61,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.42,0.51,0.43,0.33,0.3,0.36,0.48,0.38,0.38,0.27,0.13,0.21,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.38,0.32,0.53,0.6,0.61,0.69,0.63,0.45,0.08,0	92.9%
POR 89, ORL 83	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.6,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.6,0.65,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.67,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.45,0.36,0.42,0.41,0.38,0.31,0.22,0.32,0.34,0.22,0.25,0.33,0.32,0.41,0.7,0.72,0.45,0.55,0.33,0.16,0	91.7%
DAL 102, DEN 101	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.51,0.56,0.63,0.62,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.53,0.59,0.65,0.71,0.7,0.64,0.66,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.33,0.23,0.29,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.26,0.34,0.3,0.18,0.19,0.27,0.31,0.35,0.6,0.69,0.55,0.44,0.08,0	90.8%