NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	115		Excitement	9.1 [124]		MVP	Tyrese Maxey (PHI): +45.3%
Philadelphia 76ers	109		Comeback	3.7 [259]		LVP	Precious Achiuwa (TOR): -21.6%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gary Trent Jr.	0.31	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.31,0.31	0.06	0.25	0.00	16	59%	0.35	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Fred VanVleet	0.30	0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.26,0.26,0.23,0.23,0.11,0.11,0.3	0.19	0.14	0.02	22	67%	0.33	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Chris Boucher	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.08	0.09	-0.00	12	65%	0.21	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
OG Anunoby	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16	0.07	0.10	0.02	15	59%	0.19	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Svi Mykhailiuk	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.01	0.05	-0.00	5	50%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Scottie Barnes	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.01	-0.03	13	48%	0.08	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Dalano Banton	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	3	50%	0.04	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.02
Precious Achiuwa	-0.22	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.22,-0.22	-0.12	-0.10	-0.01	10	18%	-0.19	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyrese Maxey	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.28,0.45,0.45,0.45	0.45	0.21	0.23	-0.02	19	72%	0.53	2	-0.08	8	100%	0.07
Shake Milton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.06	0.06	0.00	6	86%	0.17	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Paul Reed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	2	100%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Seth Curry	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.03	-0.00	12	52%	0.12	2	-0.08	5	100%	0.03
Danny Green	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.00	4	75%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Georges Niang	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	8	44%	0.00	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Furkan Korkmaz	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.05	-0.00	11	41%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Drummond	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.05,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	8	25%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tobias Harris	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.1,-0.12	-0.12	-0.06	-0.05	0.01	18	47%	-0.02	4	-0.10	4	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	2.5	28.2	14.8	22.2	1.8	36.4	132.0
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +42.8%

PHI -12.5%

TOR +13.9%

TOR +5.8%

PHI -0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	PHI	NBA	TOR	PHI	NBA
this game	14.6	14.9	14.5	117.3	112.4	110.8
season	14.9	15.2		111.3	112.4
opponent	14.6	14.8		109.8	109.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	14.0	15.5	14.2	14.8	14.6
PHI	14.8	14.0	17.1	14.0	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Precious Achiuwa	59	59	0.69	-0.19	0.87	0.42	9	-3	12	15.2	13.7	1.49	14.9	15.0	-0.12
Fred VanVleet	80	82	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.14	14	-8	22	14.9	13.1	1.84	15.3	12.7	2.67
Scottie Barnes	79	78	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.16	11	-5	16	15.3	11.9	3.37	14.7	15.7	-1.01
Gary Trent Jr.	78	75	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.27	1	5	-4	14.9	13.6	1.21	13.6	19.5	-5.91
Dalano Banton	32	31	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.19	3	3	0	12.5	15.6	-3.09	17.6	13.7	3.90
OG Anunoby	82	79	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.33	-7	13	-20	14.9	13.0	1.93	13.6	20.8	-7.18
Chris Boucher	46	45	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.18	-4	10	-14	13.8	15.3	-1.56	17.4	12.8	4.53
Svi Mykhailiuk	34	36	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.08	3	3	0	13.0	15.5	-2.42	14.9	15.0	-0.06

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Danny Green	38	38	0.05	-0.55	0.60	0.05	0	-6	6	12.8	16.3	-3.43	16.8	13.2	3.51
Paul Reed	28	29	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.14	1	-7	8	15.9	14.5	1.41	11.9	15.8	-3.91
Andre Drummond	59	59	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.12	-2	-4	2	14.9	14.9	0.05	16.4	11.9	4.42
Georges Niang	43	45	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.23	1	-7	8	15.2	14.7	0.55	12.7	16.2	-3.47
Furkan Korkmaz	52	54	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.20	-2	-4	2	16.8	12.8	3.97	13.2	16.3	-3.14
Shake Milton	36	34	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.12	-9	3	-12	16.0	14.3	1.70	13.0	15.5	-2.51
Seth Curry	73	74	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.37	-1	-5	4	14.3	16.9	-2.59	15.2	12.8	2.41
Tobias Harris	75	75	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.19	-9	3	-12	14.2	17.4	-3.15	15.3	12.4	2.85
Tyrese Maxey	81	82	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.31	-9	3	-12	15.0	14.7	0.21	14.8	13.6	1.25

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.5,0.43,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.47,0.47,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.61,0.59,0.73,0.63,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.7,0.76,0.65,0.52,0.45,0.44,0.33,0.4,0.38,0.22,0.12,0.2,0.19,0.34,0.3,0.17,0.15,0.21,0.57,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 88, NOH 85	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.69,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.45,0.36,0.26,0.22,0.18,0.25,0.19,0.24,0.29,0.46,0.31,0.45,0.53,0.26,0	91.0%
SAS 100, MIN 93	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.46,0.42,0.47,0.45,0.53,0.6,0.72,0.71,0.66,0.74,0.64,0.7,0.75,0.77,0.77,0.67,0.67,0.71,0.62,0.48,0.52,0.37,0.26,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.18,0.24,0.23,0.18,0.19,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.55,0.58,0	90.6%
PHX 75, DEN 72	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.39,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.45,0.43,0.52,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.47,0.49,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.7,0.75,0.77,0.72,0.67,0.73,0.64,0.55,0.52,0.41,0.34,0.3,0.36,0.15,0.18,0.15,0.14,0.23,0.26,0.19,0.18,0.14,0.07,0.16,0.26,0	90.2%