NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Pelicans	116		Excitement	8.1 [246]		MVP	Dean Wade (CLE): +28.0%
Cleveland Cavaliers	109		Comeback	3.6 [562]		LVP	Matthew Dellavedova (CLE): -16.2%

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Naji Marshall	0.23	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.10	0.13	0.00	9	71%	0.25	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.04
Zion Williamson	0.16	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.16	0.18	0.00	0.02	22	73%	0.30	4	-0.14	8	75%	-0.01
Kira Lewis Jr.	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.02	0.03	-0.02	7	37%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Jaxson Hayes	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	6	57%	0.06	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Brandon Ingram	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	18	61%	0.12	5	-0.10	8	100%	0.04
Willy Hernangomez	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.00	6	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Johnson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	0.01	8	53%	0.04	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Steven Adams	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Eric Bledsoe	-0.13	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13	-0.05	-0.07	0.01	9	35%	-0.11	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dean Wade	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.28	0.28	0.18	0.10	-0.00	12	87%	0.31	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Isaac Okoro	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.16	0.03	0.01	10	76%	0.18	0	0.00	5	100%	0.03
Kevin Love	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.00	-0.01	17	51%	0.10	1	-0.04	3	67%	-0.01
Brodric Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	-0.00	0	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Lamar Stevens	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	0.00	3	57%	0.01	1	-0.04	1	0%	-0.01
Taurean Prince	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	11	44%	0.04	3	-0.07	3	100%	0.02
Cedi Osman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.04	0.00	11	65%	0.10	4	-0.14	1	100%	0.01
Mfiondu Kabengele	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Hartenstein	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.03	-0.10	0.01	7	62%	0.02	4	-0.16	2	100%	0.01
Matthew Dellavedova	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.09	-0.07	0.00	11	32%	-0.11	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.4	2.4	25.5	14.7	27.0	1.8	31.1	130.9
league avg	25.6	2.4	28.1	14.8	28.0	2.3	32.7	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOP +4.4%

CLE -2.8%

NOP +32.8%

NOP +14.7%

NOP +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOP	CLE	NBA	NOP	CLE	NBA
this game	13.7	14.7	14.4	113.7	107.9	111.3
season	14.0	15.2		112.4	104.5
opponent	14.0	14.4		112.9	112.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOP	13.2	13.2	14.3	14.0	13.7
CLE	14.5	15.0	14.5	14.8	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Bledsoe	67	65	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.36	6	1	5	14.0	13.1	0.93	15.5	13.3	2.19
Zion Williamson	78	76	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.28	7	0	7	13.3	14.9	-1.58	14.9	14.0	0.89
James Johnson	68	69	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.17	7	0	7	13.5	14.0	-0.50	14.9	14.3	0.54
Willy Hernangomez	24	24	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.02	9	-2	11	14.2	13.5	0.65	15.8	14.4	1.47
Brandon Ingram	75	73	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.30	-1	8	-9	14.2	12.3	1.86	14.8	14.4	0.44
Kira Lewis Jr.	41	42	0.24	0.26	-0.01	-0.05	10	-3	13	12.9	14.2	-1.32	13.5	15.6	-2.04
Steven Adams	55	53	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.38	-7	14	-21	14.4	12.8	1.55	15.5	13.8	1.76
Jaxson Hayes	35	36	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.04	1	6	-5	12.7	14.2	-1.49	12.6	15.9	-3.31

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mfiondu Kabengele	37	36	0.04	-0.54	0.59	0.02	1	-8	9	13.9	15.2	-1.25	13.0	14.0	-1.07
Brodric Thomas	6	6	0.03	-0.53	0.56	0.03	0	-7	7	15.7	14.7	1.01	12.0	13.8	-1.77
Taurean Prince	57	56	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.07	-1	-6	5	13.9	15.7	-1.76	14.1	13.1	1.06
Isaiah Hartenstein	42	44	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.12	-2	-5	3	15.8	13.9	1.92	14.5	13.0	1.55
Dean Wade	65	65	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.24	0	-7	7	15.4	13.5	1.93	13.8	13.5	0.24
Lamar Stevens	39	38	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.01	-9	2	-11	13.2	15.6	-2.41	13.2	14.0	-0.81
Isaac Okoro	62	62	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.24	-3	-4	1	14.7	14.7	0.03	13.9	13.3	0.56
Cedi Osman	62	64	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.16	-10	3	-13	14.4	15.3	-0.89	13.0	14.9	-1.92
Matthew Dellavedova	72	74	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.25	-8	1	-9	14.7	14.6	0.13	13.8	13.3	0.53
Kevin Love	63	65	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.43	-3	-4	1	15.5	13.4	2.16	13.7	13.5	0.20

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.5,0.43,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.62,0.63,0.68,0.69,0.67,0.66,0.7,0.68,0.68,0.71,0.73,0.67,0.68,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.54,0.59,0.67,0.6,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.7,0.71,0.72,0.72,0.63,0.63,0.72,0.66,0.73,0.62,0.67,0.53,0.36,0.34,0.53,0.31,0.46,0.32,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 100, MEM 93	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.68,0.7,0.69,0.76,0.76,0.73,0.72,0.76,0.72,0.73,0.71,0.67,0.7,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.65,0.63,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.7,0.73,0.68,0.68,0.65,0.66,0.6,0.6,0.5,0.57,0.67,0.53,0.42,0.36,0.24,0.4,0.38,0.22,0.33,0.08,0	91.6%
ORL 97, MIL 90	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.43,0.52,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.67,0.71,0.67,0.69,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.46,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.62,0.54,0.61,0.67,0.61,0.62,0.68,0.69,0.73,0.74,0.64,0.54,0.62,0.57,0.57,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.39,0.53,0.63,0.22,0.04,0	91.5%
DAL 91, PHX 83	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.7,0.69,0.7,0.68,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.76,0.75,0.66,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.55,0.59,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.52,0.33,0.51,0.41,0.54,0.48,0.47,0.36,0.43,0.08,0	91.1%