NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	124		Excitement	7.3 [363]		MVP	Miles Bridges (CHA): +30.0%
Phoenix Suns	121		Comeback	5.9 [46]		LVP	Terry Rozier (CHA): -23.7%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Miles Bridges	0.30	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.3	0.13	0.19	0.02	7	87%	0.30	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
LaMelo Ball	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.12,0.16,0.2,0.2	0.11	0.07	-0.01	11	80%	0.26	3	-0.06	3	100%	0.02
Malik Monk	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.03,0.08,0.14,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.17	0.03	0.02	21	63%	0.18	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Jalen McDaniels	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.10	0.00	0.02	2	114%	0.08	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
P.J. Washington	0.06	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.02	-0.00	8	59%	0.08	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Cody Zeller	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.01	9	56%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cody Martin	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gordon Hayward	-0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0	0.02	0.01	0.04	17	49%	0.02	1	-0.02	7	86%	0.02
Bismack Biyombo	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	2	37%	-0.01	2	-0.06	4	75%	0.01
Terry Rozier	-0.24	0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.16,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.15	-0.09	0.00	11	40%	-0.06	6	-0.18	3	100%	0.02

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Deandre Ayton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.09	0.00	0.01	8	67%	0.08	0	0.00	8	75%	0.01
Cameron Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.02	0.05	-0.01	11	58%	0.14	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Jae Crowder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	9	67%	0.09	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.00	14	62%	0.10	3	-0.07	4	75%	0.02
Dario Saric	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.00	4	55%	0.02	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Frank Kaminsky	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	5	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Devin Booker	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.06,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.10	-0.06	0.06	24	63%	0.18	5	-0.20	4	75%	-0.00
E'Twaun Moore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mikal Bridges	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03	-0.03	0.02	-0.03	0.02	9	55%	0.00	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.05
Cameron Payne	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.1	2.5	28.6	15.3	27.5	2.4	42.4	144.8
league avg	25.6	2.4	28.1	14.8	28.0	2.3	32.7	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +23.2%

CHA +3.9%

CHA +10.0%

CHA +9.4%

CHA +3.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	PHX	NBA	CHA	PHX	NBA
this game	13.6	13.8	14.4	117.0	116.3	111.3
season	14.2	14.7		109.4	115.3
opponent	14.7	14.7		109.6	111.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	13.3	12.5	13.3	15.5	13.6
PHX	13.9	13.7	14.4	13.3	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bismack Biyombo	59	56	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.30	10	-7	17	13.6	13.6	0.01	13.4	14.3	-0.86
Miles Bridges	58	60	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.17	10	-7	17	13.7	13.5	0.15	12.9	15.1	-2.15
Gordon Hayward	78	75	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.44	-1	4	-5	13.3	14.5	-1.17	14.2	12.9	1.24
Terry Rozier	80	79	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.39	-1	4	-5	12.9	15.7	-2.72	14.2	12.7	1.51
Malik Monk	60	61	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.08	15	-12	27	13.7	13.4	0.34	13.8	13.8	-0.02
LaMelo Ball	68	66	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.35	-5	8	-13	14.3	12.4	1.93	13.2	15.0	-1.85
Jalen McDaniels	33	33	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.08	2	1	1	14.6	13.1	1.50	12.8	14.3	-1.57
Cody Zeller	40	39	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.11	-3	6	-9	12.4	14.3	-1.85	15.5	12.8	2.66
Cody Martin	0	1	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.03	-1	4	-5	0.0	13.6	-13.60	21.0	13.8	7.24
P.J. Washington	54	50	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.28	-11	14	-25	14.1	13.0	1.11	14.4	13.3	1.18

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dario Saric	37	35	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.27	10	-13	23	13.0	14.3	-1.33	14.1	13.4	0.68
Frank Kaminsky	25	27	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.08	1	-4	5	15.2	13.4	1.81	12.7	13.9	-1.21
Chris Paul	83	83	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.49	11	-14	25	13.8	14.0	-0.16	13.8	13.0	0.72
E'Twaun Moore	23	23	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.10	-3	0	-3	13.2	14.0	-0.78	14.2	13.4	0.78
Jae Crowder	60	61	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.16	-4	1	-5	13.2	14.7	-1.48	13.3	14.1	-0.80
Cameron Johnson	66	65	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.29	0	-3	3	13.2	14.8	-1.60	13.7	13.5	0.23
Cameron Payne	21	23	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.08	-14	11	-25	14.0	13.8	0.16	13.0	13.8	-0.72
Mikal Bridges	75	76	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.27	-3	0	-3	14.1	13.0	1.15	13.2	14.5	-1.25
Deandre Ayton	65	68	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.15	-9	6	-15	14.6	12.6	1.98	13.6	13.6	0.04
Devin Booker	65	69	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.32	-4	1	-5	14.1	13.4	0.63	14.1	12.6	1.47

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.68,0.74,0.66,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.73,0.73,0.83,0.86,0.75,0.74,0.67,0.67,0.56,0.5,0.4,0.37,0.42,0.52,0.52,0.32,0.29,0.28,0.37,0.19,0.18,0.26,0.19,0.18,0.17,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.22,0.31,0.15,0.09,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 110, CLE 108	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.54,0.56,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.78,0.74,0.74,0.73,0.75,0.78,0.7,0.61,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.36,0.45,0.52,0.45,0.38,0.27,0.21,0.19,0.25,0.15,0.13,0.19,0.2,0.12,0.17,0.06,0.17,0.25,0.11,0.09,0.04,0	92.4%
MIA 96, CLE 95	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.68,0.61,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.62,0.67,0.72,0.73,0.64,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.4,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.41,0.22,0.27,0.28,0.3,0.29,0.15,0.13,0.21,0.07,0.1,0.14,0.19,0.22,0.19,0.29,0.09,0.02,0	91.6%
CHI 100, LAC 90	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.7,0.72,0.77,0.76,0.8,0.76,0.78,0.79,0.77,0.8,0.77,0.73,0.66,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.38,0.34,0.23,0.2,0.21,0.15,0.19,0.15,0.24,0.19,0.21,0.24,0.33,0.19,0.04,0.02,0,0	91.5%