inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 115 Excitement4.1 [886] MVPTony Snell (ATL): +13.0%
Atlanta Hawks 123 Comeback2.2 [324] LVPNikola Jokic (DEN): -15.2%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Will Barton0.060,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.06-0.01-0.011165%0.071-0.0110%-0.02
Jamal Murray0.060,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.14-0.000.082065%0.102-0.04683%-0.00
Michael Porter Jr.0.050,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.07-0.000.01767%0.0500.001100%0.00
Monte Morris0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.060.010.021358%0.0500.0000%0.00
Bol Bol0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.040.00-0.012125%0.061-0.0100%0.00
Zeke Nnaji0.030,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.010.01-0.02570%0.052-0.0200%0.00
Markus Howard0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Vlatko Cancar0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
R.J. Hampton-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.01250%-0.001-0.0100%0.00
Facundo Campazzo-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.13-0.000.15789%0.011-0.024100%0.00
Isaiah Hartenstein-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.050.00-0.0120%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Nikola Jokic-0.150,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.08-0.020.051544%-0.064-0.09475%-0.00

Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tony Snell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.120.010.005120%0.141-0.0100%0.00
Trae Young0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.180.020.081969%0.193-0.071385%-0.01
Clint Capela0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.120.120.140.030.05985%0.152-0.04875%-0.02
Danilo Gallinari0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.060.030.02671%0.101-0.025100%0.02
Kevin Huerter0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.050.00-0.00869%0.071-0.0200%0.00
Onyeka Okongwu0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.050.000.02760%0.0400.001100%0.00
Cam Reddish0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.010.01-0.02844%0.041-0.022100%0.01
John Collins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.030.00-0.011340%-0.0100.00450%-0.00
Solomon Hill0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.030.00-0.0120%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Skylar Mays0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.07-0.00-0.03425%-0.022-0.0300%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.72.427.214.824.62.337.5134.6
league avg25.62.428.114.828.02.332.7135.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ATL +30.3%
ATL +7.6%
ATL +11.0%
ATL +1.4%
DEN -0.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENATLNBADENATLNBA
this game13.815.114.4116.2123.0111.3
season15.014.7116.0112.8
opponent14.514.4111.4112.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DEN14.114.914.112.213.8
ATL14.713.417.215.515.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Markus Howard120.00-0.500.50-0.031-9104.013.9-9.9113.515.2-1.66
Vlatko Cancar120.00-0.500.50-0.031-9104.013.9-9.9113.515.2-1.66
R.J. Hampton2118-0.01-0.490.48-0.134-121612.914.1-1.1519.714.15.53
Facundo Campazzo5555-0.11-0.390.29-0.286-142012.715.2-2.4716.213.82.34
Michael Porter Jr.4040-0.11-0.390.290.01-4-4014.513.31.2414.915.3-0.34
Isaiah Hartenstein2121-0.15-0.350.20-0.150-8813.713.8-0.1217.414.52.85
Bol Bol2224-0.16-0.340.19-0.01-5-3-213.713.8-0.1617.314.42.90
Zeke Nnaji6666-0.31-0.19-0.12-0.13-6-2-413.514.4-0.8814.017.4-3.41
Will Barton5756-0.32-0.18-0.15-0.00-113-1414.413.01.4914.016.5-2.49
Nikola Jokic7577-0.36-0.14-0.22-0.16-7-1-614.312.41.8914.617.0-2.49
Monte Morris6566-0.40-0.10-0.30-0.28-4-4013.514.5-1.0115.414.60.78
Jamal Murray7173-0.580.08-0.66-0.14-157-2214.512.22.2714.317.4-3.07

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kevin Huerter64660.420.080.340.159-11014.216.8-2.6213.813.9-0.11
Trae Young76760.350.150.190.1762414.617.0-2.4113.714.0-0.25
Cam Reddish63610.320.180.130.1753213.917.3-3.4413.314.6-1.25
Clint Capela69680.290.210.070.1453214.616.4-1.8213.614.2-0.61
John Collins62620.270.230.040.1835-214.715.9-1.2314.113.30.86
Onyeka Okongwu28250.260.240.010.1735-216.214.71.5614.013.80.20
Danilo Gallinari41420.200.30-0.100.0653216.014.51.5213.813.80.00
Skylar Mays24230.150.35-0.190.1026-417.014.62.4114.013.70.25
Tony Snell45430.140.36-0.230.1117-616.813.83.0414.013.70.34
Solomon Hill28290.110.39-0.270.0917-617.514.23.2414.213.60.61


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.43,0.44,0.41,0.43,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.32,0.35,0.44,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.56,0.54,0.67,0.64,0.73,0.71,0.77,0.73,0.81,0.81,0.89,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.96,0.93,0.96,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
CLE 80, MIL 1120.5,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.4,0.41,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.44,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.41,0.48,0.54,0.51,0.64,0.67,0.73,0.74,0.79,0.75,0.87,0.9,0.89,0.9,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.9%
SAC 92, WAS 1100.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.4,0.33,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.42,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.53,0.41,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.73,0.67,0.69,0.69,0.79,0.87,0.92,0.89,0.9,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,195.8%
SAC 92, MEM 1200.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.44,0.44,0.38,0.41,0.35,0.39,0.4,0.34,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.61,0.7,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.78,0.86,0.89,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.8%