NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Pelicans	128		Excitement	6.8 [420]		MVP	Zion Williamson (NOP): +40.1%
Sacramento Kings	123		Comeback	1.4 [722]		LVP	Tyrese Haliburton (SAC): -7.9%

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zion Williamson	0.40	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.1,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.28,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.41,0.4,0.4	0.24	0.16	-0.00	15	89%	0.45	2	-0.04	5	100%	0.04
JJ Redick	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.21	0.15	0.06	0.01	5	93%	0.21	0	0.00	5	100%	0.03
Eric Bledsoe	0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.01	0.01	14	70%	0.16	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Jaxson Hayes	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.01	-0.00	6	73%	0.10	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Steven Adams	0.03	0,0,0,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.02	0.05	-0.00	8	50%	0.07	2	-0.05	8	75%	0.01
Kira Lewis Jr.	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	5	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Josh Hart	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	5	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03	0.00	-0.02	0.02	8	43%	-0.03	0	0.00	5	40%	-0.03
Brandon Ingram	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.07	-0.04	19	52%	0.11	5	-0.18	4	75%	-0.00

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
De'Aaron Fox	0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.25,0.22,0.24,0.2,0.16,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.22	0.22	0.26	0.02	0.06	27	69%	0.27	2	-0.04	8	75%	-0.00
Buddy Hield	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.09	0.04	0.00	12	67%	0.19	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.01
Marvin Bagley III	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.1	0.10	0.11	0.00	0.01	19	65%	0.15	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Glenn Robinson III	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.01	-0.00	3	62%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Richaun Holmes	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.08	-0.05	0.01	12	62%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Harrison Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.03	-0.01	8	41%	0.03	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Chimezie Metu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Cory Joseph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	4	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyrese Haliburton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	1.8	30.3	15.3	25.5	2.5	42.3	142.7
league avg	25.6	2.4	28.1	14.8	28.0	2.3	32.7	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOP +24.5%

NOP +16.2%

NOP +24.8%

SAC -11.8%

SAC -3.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOP	SAC	NBA	NOP	SAC	NBA
this game	14.6	13.8	14.4	125.5	121.8	111.3
season	14.0	14.0		112.4	112.2
opponent	14.4	14.4		115.9	112.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOP	14.1	14.9	15.8	13.3	14.6
SAC	15.2	12.7	12.4	14.9	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zion Williamson	74	73	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.20	14	-9	23	14.2	15.4	-1.19	14.6	11.6	3.04
Steven Adams	69	65	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.38	0	5	-5	14.6	14.5	0.17	14.0	13.5	0.47
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	71	69	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.36	-2	7	-9	15.1	13.4	1.74	14.0	13.3	0.67
JJ Redick	39	41	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.00	9	-4	13	13.2	15.4	-2.29	13.0	14.3	-1.27
Eric Bledsoe	64	62	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.30	-2	7	-9	14.9	14.0	0.91	13.9	13.6	0.26
Brandon Ingram	75	73	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.45	-8	13	-21	15.3	12.5	2.79	13.6	14.3	-0.72
Kira Lewis Jr.	32	33	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.06	9	-4	13	13.6	15.0	-1.42	13.3	14.0	-0.70
Josh Hart	54	55	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.11	2	3	-1	14.2	14.9	-0.70	13.1	14.7	-1.60
Jaxson Hayes	33	35	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.07	1	4	-3	14.5	14.6	-0.17	13.7	13.8	-0.09

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
De'Aaron Fox	80	83	0.09	-0.59	0.67	-0.44	18	-23	41	13.0	16.9	-3.86	15.5	10.7	4.77
Buddy Hield	75	77	0.02	-0.52	0.55	-0.36	13	-18	31	13.1	15.7	-2.55	15.4	12.1	3.24
Chimezie Metu	12	12	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	0.03	-7	2	-9	14.7	13.7	0.98	13.2	14.7	-1.49
Tyrese Haliburton	49	49	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	0.04	-12	7	-19	13.8	13.8	0.07	13.9	15.2	-1.33
Richaun Holmes	87	89	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.44	4	-9	13	13.9	13.4	0.43	14.9	12.3	2.59
Glenn Robinson III	19	17	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.04	-17	12	-29	16.4	13.2	3.23	10.6	15.4	-4.71
Cory Joseph	22	20	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	0.09	-23	18	-41	16.4	13.1	3.33	10.2	15.6	-5.43
Marvin Bagley III	75	75	-0.63	0.13	-0.75	-0.36	-9	4	-13	14.2	12.7	1.44	14.7	14.1	0.57

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.5,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.32,0.28,0.2,0.21,0.16,0.15,0.24,0.25,0.29,0.24,0.27,0.25,0.27,0.29,0.28,0.22,0.19,0.16,0.18,0.1,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.25,0.38,0.34,0.25,0.11,0.15,0.17,0.12,0.17,0.14,0.21,0.05,0.1,0
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 117, DAL 106	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.55,0.45,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.28,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.31,0.26,0.28,0.27,0.29,0.27,0.29,0.27,0.2,0.24,0.21,0.13,0.09,0.16,0.1,0.12,0.15,0.19,0.22,0.29,0.13,0.27,0.21,0.15,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	92.5%
NYK 90, PHX 85	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.44,0.43,0.36,0.28,0.25,0.17,0.13,0.16,0.19,0.12,0.18,0.17,0.2,0.16,0.21,0.2,0.19,0.27,0.21,0.18,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.15,0.22,0.26,0.12,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.15,0.06,0.04,0	92.4%
CHI 94, WAS 88	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.56,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.34,0.34,0.27,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.18,0.19,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.2,0.19,0.14,0.08,0.05,0.09,0.12,0.16,0.18,0.15,0.3,0.21,0.2,0.23,0.14,0.08,0.1,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0	92.4%