inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Boston Celtics 107 Excitement8.6 [191] MVPJayson Tatum (BOS): +29.3%
Miami Heat 105 Comeback2.6 [319] LVPMarcus Smart (BOS): -23.3%


Boston Celtics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jayson Tatum0.290,0,0,0,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.14,0.29,0.29,0.290.110.17-0.012161%0.362-0.072100%0.02
Payton Pritchard0.270,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,0.27-0.050.31-0.011030%0.2700.0000%0.00
Robert Williams III0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.060.07-0.003100%0.151-0.022100%0.02
Daniel Theis0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.090.040.070.021159%0.121-0.0200%0.00
Tristan Thompson0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.040.01-0.00475%0.091-0.03475%0.00
Jaylen Brown0.040,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,0,0,0,0.04,0.04-0.020.04-0.022344%0.091-0.052100%0.01
Carsen Edwards0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.010.020.00450%0.0200.0000%0.00
Semi Ojeleye0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.000.00-0.02642%0.0200.0000%0.00
Grant Williams0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.040.02-0.02736%0.021-0.0200%0.00
Marcus Smart-0.230,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.23-0.01-0.210.011041%-0.2300.002100%0.01

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Goran Dragic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.20.200.010.200.011252%0.292-0.093100%0.01
Kelly Olynyk0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.140.090.050.00779%0.1400.0000%0.00
Jimmy Butler0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.22,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.140.140.080.070.021955%0.171-0.04989%0.06
Andre Iguodala0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.090.030.00590%0.1200.0000%0.00
Duncan Robinson0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.020.020.13-0.040.071170%0.0200.001100%0.01
Bam Adebayo0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.02-0.01-0.001058%0.062-0.05683%0.01
Precious Achiuwa0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.020.00550%0.021-0.052100%0.01
Tyler Herro0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.06-0.02-0.01838%-0.022-0.04560%-0.02
Avery Bradley0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.06-0.04-0.0040%-0.1000.0000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game28.22.829.115.525.72.735.3139.2
league avg25.62.428.114.828.02.332.7135.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
BOS +34.4%
MIA -14.7%
BOS +24.3%
BOS +7.3%
MIA -1.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsBOSMIANBABOSMIANBA
this game16.114.314.4112.6110.5111.3
season14.514.6112.8109.3
opponent14.914.5110.4111.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
BOS15.416.915.716.316.1
MIA13.413.714.315.714.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Grant Williams54530.66-0.160.830.438-61415.916.2-0.3215.612.53.14
Jayson Tatum72720.60-0.100.690.397-51217.013.33.7014.314.00.33
Daniel Theis58570.400.100.290.51-46-1016.016.2-0.2513.315.7-2.34
Marcus Smart65660.260.240.020.43-68-1416.215.80.3813.116.8-3.66
Jaylen Brown75750.240.26-0.010.48-810-1815.817.2-1.4413.616.6-3.04
Payton Pritchard41400.210.29-0.090.036-41015.416.5-1.1015.113.61.55
Robert Williams III26270.080.42-0.33-0.013-1416.715.80.9216.213.52.70
Semi Ojeleye26250.070.43-0.360.0411017.215.61.5513.614.5-0.94
Carsen Edwards18190.030.47-0.44-0.0320214.216.5-2.2717.213.53.70
Tristan Thompson4041-0.050.55-0.59-0.0811015.416.5-1.0613.514.8-1.35

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Duncan Robinson66630.24-0.740.97-0.1212-142613.715.4-1.6715.617.1-1.51
Kelly Olynyk40430.14-0.640.780.082-4613.414.9-1.4317.115.21.92
Precious Achiuwa29310.07-0.570.63-0.147-91614.214.3-0.1214.816.7-1.91
Avery Bradley4747-0.18-0.320.15-0.09-31-414.813.71.0215.216.9-1.73
Jimmy Butler6566-0.25-0.250.00-0.488-101813.116.7-3.5316.914.22.72
Tyler Herro6870-0.510.01-0.52-0.572-4613.615.8-2.1816.016.2-0.19
Bam Adebayo6664-0.570.07-0.63-0.30-97-1614.314.20.1216.714.81.91
Goran Dragic5454-0.670.17-0.84-0.44-86-1415.213.02.1216.215.90.33
Andre Iguodala4037-0.770.27-1.04-0.15-2119-4016.912.34.6615.216.6-1.39


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.48,0.41,0.36,0.32,0.34,0.35,0.28,0.31,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.29,0.21,0.17,0.18,0.2,0.15,0.13,0.23,0.21,0.22,0.27,0.24,0.34,0.42,0.48,0.61,0.48,0.62,0.65,0.48,0.52,0.4,0.5,0.66,0.53,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.69,0.66,0.55,0.37,0.05,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
DET 94, ATL 900.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.39,0.35,0.3,0.27,0.2,0.23,0.2,0.22,0.29,0.34,0.31,0.27,0.3,0.3,0.26,0.2,0.27,0.27,0.39,0.55,0.45,0.48,0.59,0.56,0.64,0.58,0.62,0.53,0.57,0.68,0.58,0.65,0.73,0.54,0.36,0.14,0.05,090.8%
DAL 108, PHX 1060.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.3,0.31,0.25,0.26,0.24,0.3,0.23,0.25,0.29,0.28,0.21,0.24,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.27,0.4,0.45,0.55,0.55,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.7,0.6,0.58,0.57,0.48,0.43,0.37,0.59,0.59,0.54,0.46,0.22,0.23,0.05,090.5%
TOR 87, BKN 790.5,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.37,0.37,0.38,0.35,0.36,0.29,0.25,0.24,0.22,0.25,0.21,0.22,0.2,0.19,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.33,0.3,0.37,0.42,0.54,0.55,0.56,0.65,0.62,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.52,0.5,0.43,0.53,0.62,0.63,0.59,0.71,0.47,0.25,0.15,0.09,0.01,090.2%