NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

LA Clippers	112		Excitement	4.8 [749]		MVP	Paul George (LAC): +18.3%
Phoenix Suns	107		Comeback	1.1 [863]		LVP	Kawhi Leonard (LAC): -15.5%

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul George	0.18	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.21	0.03	0.06	24	78%	0.28	5	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Serge Ibaka	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15	-0.00	0.11	-0.05	6	57%	0.17	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Nicolas Batum	0.10	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1	0.12	0.00	0.02	9	78%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Kennard	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.13	0.00	0.07	7	82%	0.06	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Reggie Jackson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	0.01	0.04	4	87%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Beverley	0.02	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	3	87%	0.03	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Ivica Zubac	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	3	67%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lou Williams	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	6	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kawhi Leonard	-0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.12,-0.15	-0.19	-0.05	-0.09	21	29%	-0.13	2	-0.03	10	70%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Deandre Ayton	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.17	0.02	0.09	12	77%	0.12	1	-0.02	7	86%	-0.04
Devin Booker	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.2,0.16,0.1	0.10	0.12	0.01	0.04	13	66%	0.16	2	-0.07	12	83%	0.04
Cameron Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.04	0.02	-0.04	9	44%	0.11	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Dario Saric	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.07	-0.00	0.06	9	75%	0.08	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.02
Jevon Carter	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cameron Payne	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	6	58%	-0.00	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jae Crowder	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.02	-0.01	0.04	6	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Langston Galloway	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Paul	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.02	-0.05	0.04	12	58%	-0.03	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Mikal Bridges	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.02	0.03	7	37%	-0.06	1	-0.02	5	80%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	2.4	25.9	14.8	26.9	2.8	35.5	132.6
league avg	25.6	2.4	28.1	14.8	28.0	2.3	32.7	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +24.9%

PHX -2.9%

LAC +7.5%

LAC +19.2%

LAC +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	PHX	NBA	LAC	PHX	NBA
this game	16.2	14.8	14.4	120.4	115.1	111.3
season	14.9	14.7		116.6	115.3
opponent	14.7	14.7		109.6	110.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	14.0	15.2	18.7	17.4	16.2
PHX	13.2	14.8	16.4	15.4	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Paul George	71	73	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.09	17	-12	29	16.3	15.6	0.70	15.5	12.2	3.31
Patrick Beverley	53	52	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.54	-5	10	-15	16.3	16.0	0.35	14.9	14.6	0.33
Kawhi Leonard	67	66	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.68	-11	16	-27	16.6	15.0	1.57	14.2	16.3	-2.17
Nicolas Batum	61	60	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.62	-10	15	-25	16.2	16.2	0.02	14.4	15.6	-1.21
Serge Ibaka	49	48	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.49	-8	13	-21	16.0	16.4	-0.36	15.0	14.6	0.34
Ivica Zubac	44	45	0.22	0.28	-0.05	-0.13	12	-7	19	16.1	16.2	-0.15	14.7	14.9	-0.21
Reggie Jackson	29	30	0.16	0.34	-0.17	-0.31	16	-11	27	15.9	16.3	-0.45	15.9	14.3	1.58
Lou Williams	41	42	0.12	0.38	-0.27	-0.21	11	-6	17	16.0	16.3	-0.26	14.8	14.8	-0.02
Luke Kennard	50	49	0.07	0.43	-0.37	-0.02	3	2	1	15.7	16.7	-0.98	14.2	15.4	-1.16

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cameron Payne	32	31	0.11	-0.61	0.71	-0.07	6	-11	17	14.0	15.2	-1.21	17.7	15.4	2.35
Dario Saric	36	34	0.09	-0.59	0.69	-0.26	12	-17	29	13.9	15.3	-1.39	16.2	16.2	0.01
Cameron Johnson	44	46	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.14	1	-6	7	13.6	15.9	-2.24	15.8	16.5	-0.73
Devin Booker	85	86	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.63	14	-19	33	14.8	15.1	-0.36	16.6	11.3	5.28
Jevon Carter	8	7	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	0.27	-19	14	-33	15.1	14.8	0.36	11.3	16.6	-5.28
Mikal Bridges	70	70	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.52	8	-13	21	14.5	15.8	-1.37	16.3	15.8	0.52
Langston Galloway	9	9	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	0.25	-19	14	-33	14.4	14.8	-0.39	13.3	16.5	-3.14
Jae Crowder	59	58	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.32	-5	0	-5	15.1	14.2	0.88	16.2	16.1	0.18
Chris Paul	68	68	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.28	-8	3	-11	15.9	11.8	4.15	15.7	17.4	-1.62
Deandre Ayton	54	56	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.08	-15	10	-25	15.5	13.8	1.77	16.4	15.9	0.47

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.37,0.35,0.37,0.34,0.25,0.13,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.22,0.38,0.33,0.38,0.27,0.26,0.27,0.17,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.08,0
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 115, LAL 99	0.5,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.4,0.5,0.4,0.41,0.36,0.29,0.26,0.29,0.24,0.18,0.14,0.17,0.13,0.09,0.1,0.12,0.17,0.15,0.18,0.1,0.12,0.09,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.13,0.15,0.19,0.22,0.38,0.29,0.38,0.31,0.27,0.07,0.01,0,0,0,0	93.2%
CHI 89, LAC 84	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.31,0.25,0.19,0.19,0.22,0.21,0.16,0.17,0.11,0.09,0.15,0.13,0.17,0.16,0.14,0.12,0.16,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.13,0.22,0.34,0.43,0.33,0.27,0.21,0.24,0.09,0.05,0.07,0.15,0.15,0	93.1%
CHI 88, BOS 79	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.4,0.35,0.32,0.32,0.3,0.27,0.21,0.25,0.24,0.2,0.16,0.14,0.15,0.13,0.16,0.17,0.18,0.15,0.12,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.19,0.22,0.43,0.37,0.32,0.21,0.12,0.13,0.08,0.01,0,0,0	92.6%