NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	99		Excitement	7.2 [409]		MVP	Josh Hart (NOP): +22.8%
New Orleans Pelicans	109		Comeback	1.2 [754]		LVP	Ja Morant (MEM): -23.1%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Grayson Allen	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.14	0.01	-0.00	10	85%	0.17	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jaren Jackson Jr.	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07	0.04	-0.00	-0.03	17	52%	0.07	1	-0.00	8	75%	-0.06
Brandon Clarke	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	8	62%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
De'Anthony Melton	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	4	37%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dillon Brooks	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	13	52%	0.03	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.02
Anthony Tolliver	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.02	0.00	2	75%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Anderson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.07	0.01	-0.03	9	26%	-0.03	1	-0.00	1	100%	0.01
Jonas Valanciunas	-0.05	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	9	62%	0.13	5	-0.18	3	100%	0.02
Ja Morant	-0.23	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.11,-0.16,-0.2,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.15	-0.08	-0.00	21	26%	-0.19	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Josh Hart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.14	0.09	0.00	6	100%	0.26	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
JJ Redick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.11,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.09	0.03	0.00	11	59%	0.12	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.06
Jrue Holiday	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	12	56%	0.07	1	-0.03	3	67%	0.01
Zion Williamson	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.05	0.04	-0.03	21	44%	0.08	2	-0.06	10	50%	-0.06
Brandon Ingram	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.1,0,0,0,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.02	0.03	16	57%	0.14	4	-0.12	10	60%	-0.03
Nicolo Melli	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaxson Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.02	-0.02	0	100%	0.04	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Frank Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Favors	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	4	20%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Lonzo Ball	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	7	44%	0.01	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.7	2.5	34.2	15.4	26.9	2.7	32.5	142.9
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.4	134.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOP +29.1%

NOP +10.5%

NOP +14.7%

MEM -4.3%

NOP +0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	NOP	NBA	MEM	NOP	NBA
this game	13.4	13.9	14.2	93.4	103.8	109.6
season	13.8	13.4		108.2	109.9
opponent	14.2	13.9		111.4	109.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	13.6	14.3	13.2	12.7	13.4
NOP	14.1	12.9	15.1	13.5	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dillon Brooks	70	69	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.07	-1	-9	8	13.7	12.9	0.80	13.6	14.3	-0.64
Jaren Jackson Jr.	70	70	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.10	-3	-7	4	12.8	14.7	-1.85	14.1	13.4	0.73
Jonas Valanciunas	63	65	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.07	-5	-5	0	14.1	12.5	1.65	14.0	13.6	0.42
Grayson Allen	67	66	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.22	-1	-9	8	13.3	13.7	-0.35	14.2	13.3	0.96
Brandon Clarke	51	50	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.15	-5	-5	0	12.9	14.0	-1.12	14.0	13.7	0.31
Kyle Anderson	66	65	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.22	-4	-6	2	12.4	15.1	-2.70	13.9	13.7	0.17
De'Anthony Melton	35	35	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.07	-9	-1	-8	14.6	12.9	1.77	13.4	14.1	-0.73
Anthony Tolliver	22	20	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.05	-10	0	-10	15.1	13.0	2.14	12.1	14.3	-2.17

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jrue Holiday	74	75	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.01	14	-4	18	13.7	14.2	-0.48	13.1	14.2	-1.01
Lonzo Ball	77	76	0.42	0.08	0.33	-0.02	15	-5	20	13.4	15.2	-1.85	13.8	12.5	1.36
Nicolo Melli	41	42	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.16	6	4	2	13.2	14.3	-1.09	14.6	12.7	1.99
Zion Williamson	58	56	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.04	8	2	6	14.0	13.7	0.36	13.5	13.4	0.12
Jaxson Hayes	12	12	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.15	4	6	-2	13.4	13.9	-0.50	15.1	13.2	1.85
Josh Hart	52	56	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.21	1	9	-8	13.8	13.9	-0.06	13.9	13.0	0.92
JJ Redick	62	62	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.31	-3	13	-16	14.5	13.0	1.49	13.5	13.3	0.25
Brandon Ingram	71	71	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.09	3	7	-4	14.1	13.4	0.75	12.7	14.9	-2.15
Derrick Favors	63	65	0.17	0.33	-0.17	-0.07	8	2	6	14.0	13.6	0.48	12.6	14.7	-2.06
Frank Jackson	5	5	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.04	1	9	-8	14.4	13.8	0.57	12.4	13.5	-1.10
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	10	10	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.12	-7	17	-24	14.2	13.8	0.38	13.1	13.5	-0.38

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.59,0.65,0.68,0.7,0.69,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.69,0.68,0.65,0.58,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.67,0.7,0.74,0.77,0.8,0.7,0.64,0.55,0.59,0.48,0.56,0.6,0.69,0.7,0.66,0.79,0.87,0.77,0.83,0.85,0.78,0.75,0.93,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 81, NYK 89	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.56,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.63,0.68,0.71,0.74,0.69,0.61,0.64,0.58,0.69,0.72,0.78,0.67,0.71,0.62,0.55,0.53,0.48,0.67,0.68,0.74,0.7,0.7,0.83,0.81,0.74,0.71,0.72,0.61,0.84,0.94,0.95,1	93.3%
ATL 83, POR 90	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.5,0.5,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.69,0.69,0.68,0.68,0.78,0.74,0.7,0.7,0.75,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.59,0.52,0.44,0.56,0.56,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.83,0.85,0.89,0.75,0.6,0.8,0.96,0.96,0.96,1	93.2%
GSW 97, NJN 109	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.6,0.54,0.63,0.68,0.64,0.67,0.56,0.59,0.67,0.68,0.69,0.72,0.75,0.73,0.65,0.55,0.65,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.75,0.87,0.84,0.87,0.7,0.6,0.69,0.89,0.99,1,1	93.0%