NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	95		Excitement	8.8 [192]		MVP	Wayne Ellington (NYK): +19.9%
Detroit Pistons	92		Comeback	6.9 [210]		LVP	Thon Maker (DET): -21.7%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wayne Ellington	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.26,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.11	0.08	-0.00	12	65%	0.20	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Reggie Bullock	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.17	0.05	0.12	-0.00	5	67%	0.17	0	0.00	2	100%	0.04
Bobby Portis	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.00	0.03	-0.02	10	55%	0.08	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Knox II	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.01	-0.00	4	62%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Frank Ntilikina	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mitchell Robinson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.01	0.01	4	70%	0.06	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Taj Gibson	-0.00	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.02	0.01	7	69%	0.06	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02
Elfrid Payton	-0.08	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.02,-0.08	-0.07	-0.00	0.01	11	38%	0.01	2	-0.09	4	50%	-0.02
Dennis Smith Jr.	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.03	0.00	6	33%	-0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Julius Randle	-0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.16,-0.06,-0.16,-0.1	-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	17	46%	0.00	4	-0.10	3	67%	-0.04
RJ Barrett	-0.14	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.11	-0.03	-0.01	8	17%	-0.11	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Henson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.10	0.04	-0.00	6	100%	0.16	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tony Snell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.03	0.07	-0.01	8	75%	0.18	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Langston Galloway	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.00	0.05	-0.01	6	50%	0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Christian Wood	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.04	0.01	13	57%	0.16	3	-0.13	4	50%	-0.03
Bruce Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	8	55%	0.07	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.04
Jordan Bone	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Jackson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.09,0.03,0.11,0,-0.04	-0.04	0.02	-0.07	-0.01	17	53%	0.00	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.03
Sekou Doumbouya	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.03	-0.06	-0.00	3	62%	0.03	3	-0.12	2	100%	0.02
Thon Maker	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.01	-0.19	0.02	5	58%	-0.17	2	-0.04	2	0%	-0.19

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	1.8	26.4	14.6	24.2	1.8	37.6	131.5
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.4	134.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET -15.5%

NYK +12.2%

NYK +47.4%

NYK +8.5%

DET -2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	DET	NBA	NYK	DET	NBA
this game	15.7	16.4	14.2	105.6	103.4	109.6
season	14.5	15.1		105.4	108.3
opponent	14.2	14.4		111.7	111.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	15.8	16.1	14.2	16.9	15.7
DET	14.9	16.6	17.9	16.6	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mitchell Robinson	37	36	0.92	-0.42	1.34	0.57	12	-9	21	14.7	16.5	-1.75	15.6	17.0	-1.41
Reggie Bullock	52	52	0.73	-0.23	0.97	0.53	7	-4	11	15.6	15.9	-0.23	15.6	17.7	-2.15
Elfrid Payton	55	56	0.62	-0.12	0.73	0.53	3	0	3	15.9	15.5	0.31	15.8	17.5	-1.69
Wayne Ellington	48	47	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.35	7	-4	11	16.7	14.6	2.04	17.1	15.7	1.35
Julius Randle	63	63	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.45	-1	4	-5	16.1	14.8	1.31	16.4	16.6	-0.23
Frank Ntilikina	27	27	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.05	3	0	3	15.5	15.8	-0.36	15.0	17.1	-2.08
Kevin Knox II	34	33	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.04	2	1	1	15.3	16.0	-0.75	17.7	15.7	1.98
Taj Gibson	24	25	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.01	-3	6	-9	15.9	15.7	0.25	17.3	16.1	1.21
Bobby Portis	34	32	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	-0.11	0	3	-3	15.6	15.8	-0.28	17.2	16.0	1.20
Dennis Smith Jr.	35	33	-0.12	0.62	-0.73	-0.12	0	3	-3	15.5	15.9	-0.31	17.5	15.8	1.69
RJ Barrett	41	41	-0.60	1.10	-1.69	-0.16	-15	18	-33	15.7	15.8	-0.14	16.5	16.4	0.12

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Henson	34	35	0.10	-0.60	0.70	0.07	1	-4	5	16.1	16.7	-0.54	15.1	16.2	-1.11
Sekou Doumbouya	24	25	0.10	-0.60	0.69	0.10	0	-3	3	16.3	16.5	-0.22	16.1	15.6	0.48
Reggie Jackson	59	62	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.28	5	-8	13	16.2	16.9	-0.63	15.5	16.3	-0.80
Tony Snell	64	64	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.39	7	-10	17	16.2	17.2	-1.04	16.1	14.8	1.25
Jordan Bone	21	22	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.02	-7	4	-11	17.1	16.2	0.91	14.9	16.0	-1.15
Langston Galloway	60	62	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.11	-8	5	-13	15.9	17.6	-1.64	15.3	16.7	-1.48
Thon Maker	53	51	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.43	-2	-1	-1	16.5	16.4	0.15	16.6	14.6	2.06
Christian Wood	67	68	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.50	-5	2	-7	16.6	15.9	0.72	15.5	16.4	-0.89
Bruce Brown	63	61	-0.67	0.17	-0.83	-0.49	-6	3	-9	17.2	14.6	2.65	16.1	14.9	1.23

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.58,0.64,0.72,0.76,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.6,0.63,0.7,0.66,0.69,0.61,0.61,0.51,0.62,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.58,0.65,0.72,0.66,0.7,0.67,0.5,0.57,0.43,0.53,0.56,0.7,0.85,0.67,0.45,0.46,0.43,0.15,0
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 107, NOP 100	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.65,0.71,0.71,0.66,0.72,0.68,0.68,0.72,0.77,0.8,0.79,0.73,0.74,0.69,0.64,0.5,0.52,0.54,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.52,0.65,0.69,0.63,0.74,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.61,0.45,0.43,0.04,0	91.9%
NYK 88, MIA 84	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.61,0.64,0.63,0.66,0.61,0.62,0.63,0.68,0.68,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.66,0.66,0.74,0.67,0.7,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.67,0.65,0.71,0.75,0.8,0.7,0.6,0.66,0.62,0.57,0.48,0.63,0.64,0.59,0.67,0.61,0.55,0.34,0.08,0	91.8%
LAL 96, CHI 90	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.64,0.65,0.69,0.67,0.75,0.72,0.68,0.64,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.56,0.59,0.5,0.46,0.48,0.55,0.67,0.58,0.65,0.62,0.73,0.74,0.7,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.48,0.47,0.59,0.6,0.61,0.47,0.46,0.32,0.42,0	91.2%