NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	118		Excitement	7.5 [350]		MVP	Damian Lillard (POR): +25.1%
Golden State Warriors	127		Comeback	1.8 [180]		LVP	Rodney Hood (POR): -19.0%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damian Lillard	0.25	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.24,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.38,0.3,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.24	0.02	0.02	26	70%	0.29	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.01
Hassan Whiteside	0.10	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.11	0.02	0.02	14	67%	0.13	1	-0.02	5	40%	-0.04
Anfernee Simons	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.12,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.07	0.05	0.02	10	61%	0.10	0	0.00	3	100%	0.03
Mario Hezonja	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.11	-0.00	0.07	6	92%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Trent Jr.	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Skal Labissiere	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	8	25%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Tolliver	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	5	30%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kent Bazemore	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	10	35%	-0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
CJ McCollum	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	0.00	-0.05	0.05	16	44%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Hood	-0.19	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.08,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.09	-0.10	-0.01	8	22%	-0.13	1	-0.06	2	100%	0.01

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Paschall	0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.25	0.01	0.04	19	74%	0.26	1	-0.03	8	100%	0.03
Ky Bowman	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.02	-0.02	14	68%	0.15	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Willie Cauley-Stein	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.03	0.00	5	83%	0.11	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Omari Spellman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.02	0.00	4	87%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damion Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04	0.04	0.06	0.02	0.03	8	67%	0.12	2	-0.08	11	91%	0.02
Marquese Chriss	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.00	3	83%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Glenn Robinson III	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	5	42%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Alec Burks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.02	-0.01	12	45%	0.05	2	-0.06	5	80%	-0.01
Jordan Poole	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.04	-0.02	0.04	16	40%	-0.08	1	-0.02	8	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	2.3	28.7	14.6	27.0	0.6	40.4	136.0
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.4	134.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +44.8%

GSW +16.0%

POR -11.0%

POR -7.3%

GSW +7.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	GSW	NBA	POR	GSW	NBA
this game	15.0	13.4	14.2	118.0	123.3	109.6
season	14.4	14.1		111.9	103.9
opponent	14.3	13.9		112.8	113.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	16.8	15.9	16.8	11.8	15.0
GSW	14.6	15.4	12.2	11.8	13.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Skal Labissiere	33	35	0.19	-0.69	0.87	0.10	3	-12	15	12.6	16.2	-3.66	14.9	12.6	2.25
Mario Hezonja	57	59	0.06	-0.56	0.63	-0.08	5	-14	19	12.7	18.1	-5.41	13.4	13.3	0.09
Gary Trent Jr.	11	12	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.03	-2	-7	5	11.5	15.5	-3.92	15.4	13.1	2.32
Anthony Tolliver	32	34	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	0.05	-7	-2	-5	18.7	13.3	5.42	14.0	13.0	0.99
Anfernee Simons	58	59	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.27	-3	-6	3	12.9	18.0	-5.12	12.9	14.0	-1.10
Rodney Hood	75	75	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.21	-7	-2	-5	15.4	14.0	1.37	13.4	13.2	0.16
Kent Bazemore	47	49	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.14	-11	2	-13	14.0	15.9	-1.90	13.4	13.3	0.15
CJ McCollum	70	71	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.30	-7	-2	-5	15.9	12.9	3.04	12.6	15.0	-2.32
Damian Lillard	77	81	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.22	-10	1	-11	15.8	12.5	3.31	12.6	16.1	-3.52
Hassan Whiteside	54	54	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.19	-15	6	-21	18.0	11.6	6.38	13.5	13.2	0.28

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Paschall	83	82	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.22	11	-2	13	12.6	16.5	-3.89	16.0	10.7	5.25
Ky Bowman	79	74	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.18	9	0	9	12.8	15.2	-2.45	16.3	11.4	4.87
Alec Burks	59	58	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.26	6	3	3	13.8	12.8	1.04	14.1	16.3	-2.12
Damion Lee	66	64	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.29	2	7	-5	12.7	14.5	-1.74	13.8	17.3	-3.51
Marquese Chriss	28	30	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.16	5	4	1	13.3	13.4	-0.07	15.1	15.0	0.15
Jordan Poole	66	66	0.21	0.29	-0.09	-0.03	8	1	7	13.9	12.4	1.55	14.4	16.2	-1.74
Willie Cauley-Stein	30	30	0.18	0.32	-0.15	-0.03	7	2	5	14.1	13.1	1.08	18.3	13.6	4.62
Glenn Robinson III	69	65	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.10	1	8	-7	13.8	12.5	1.25	14.4	16.1	-1.67
Omari Spellman	35	31	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.04	-4	13	-17	14.4	12.8	1.56	13.0	15.9	-2.90

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.57,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.61,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.4,0.45,0.58,0.48,0.58,0.68,0.65,0.68,0.73,0.71,0.68,0.66,0.78,0.66,0.53,0.62,0.53,0.76,0.9,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 92, ATL 101	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.6,0.56,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.44,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.68,0.74,0.75,0.8,0.7,0.75,0.81,0.77,0.62,0.57,0.63,0.53,0.76,0.87,0.86,0.96,0.99,1,1	94.1%
HOU 128, GSW 132	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.53,0.57,0.56,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.66,0.61,0.65,0.8,0.84,0.77,0.71,0.75,0.81,0.74,0.75,0.76,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.83,0.92,0.97,0.99,0.99,1	92.6%
WAS 91, LAL 97	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.43,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.58,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.36,0.37,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.69,0.69,0.77,0.68,0.66,0.74,0.7,0.67,0.63,0.7,0.65,0.73,0.86,0.79,0.94,0.91,1	92.5%