inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Golden State Warriors 92 Excitement1.8 [1132] MVPChris Paul (OKC): +6.5%
Oklahoma City Thunder 120 Comeback1.0 [641] LVPOmari Spellman (GSW): -4.4%


Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Stephen Curry0.020,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.050.000.021853%0.052-0.037100%0.00
Jacob Evans0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.03340%0.021-0.024100%0.01
Ky Bowman-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.03829%-0.0000.001100%0.00
Eric Paschall-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.070.000.08671%-0.0100.002100%0.00
Jordan Poole-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.080.00-0.07929%0.012-0.023100%0.01
Draymond Green-0.010,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.020.000.04953%-0.001-0.011100%-0.00
Damion Lee-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.000.000.02540%-0.0200.00580%-0.01
Marquese Chriss-0.020,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.070.00-0.04750%-0.014-0.01667%-0.00
Glenn Robinson III-0.040,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.120.00-0.07719%-0.022-0.02250%-0.00
D'Angelo Russell-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.070.00-0.031030%-0.031-0.0100%0.00
Omari Spellman-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.020.000.031045%-0.021-0.0200%0.00

Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Chris Paul0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.070.010.02571%0.0600.004100%0.02
Dennis Schroder0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.110.000.051376%0.093-0.033100%-0.00
Terrance Ferguson0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.110.000.06793%0.051-0.0000%0.00
Hamidou Diallo0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.030.00-0.00567%0.0310.00250%-0.00
Danilo Gallinari0,0,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.080.010.071172%0.063-0.037100%0.01
Nerlens Noel0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.010.02475%0.041-0.0200%0.00
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.020.010.011459%0.033-0.02450%-0.00
Mike Muscala0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.010.00-0.01333%0.0000.0000%0.00
Abdel Nader0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.030.00-0.03350%0.0020.0000%0.00
Deonte Burton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.000.00-0.001150%0.0020.0000%0.00
Justin Patton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.050.00-0.0520%0.0010.0000%0.00
Darius Bazley0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.040.00-0.04383%0.014-0.0100%0.00
Steven Adams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.000.000.00844%0.011-0.0120%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.32.527.214.631.40.727.3130.0
league avg25.62.328.114.728.02.332.4134.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
OKC +40.1%
OKC +0.5%
OKC +3.8%
OKC +4.8%
OKC +0.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsGSWOKCNBAGSWOKCNBA
this game14.013.714.287.6116.5109.6
season14.114.3103.9108.8
opponent14.514.3107.6112.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
GSW14.013.614.214.014.0
OKC13.612.615.213.713.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Ky Bowman2626-0.00-0.500.50-0.279-374614.013.90.0513.713.7-0.05
Damion Lee3836-0.14-0.360.22-0.08-2-262413.914.0-0.1113.314.0-0.69
Jordan Poole5151-0.16-0.340.17-0.284-323613.614.3-0.7613.713.70.03
Eric Paschall5253-0.17-0.330.160.01-6-221612.615.3-2.6314.113.30.79
Omari Spellman5453-0.21-0.290.09-0.241-293014.413.50.8813.114.4-1.34
Jacob Evans4037-0.24-0.260.020.14-13-15213.914.0-0.1014.013.60.42
Glenn Robinson III4646-0.26-0.24-0.020.59-291-3014.013.90.0713.713.7-0.02
Marquese Chriss5050-0.29-0.21-0.080.53-280-2814.413.60.8413.613.8-0.17
Draymond Green5450-0.34-0.16-0.170.34-23-5-1814.413.50.9214.113.40.72
D'Angelo Russell4949-0.35-0.15-0.190.33-23-5-1814.213.70.4513.713.7-0.03
Stephen Curry6564-0.35-0.15-0.200.53-302-3214.113.70.4213.813.50.31

Oklahoma City Thunder
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Terrance Ferguson64650.440.060.37-0.4430-23213.114.7-1.6314.413.21.27
Dennis Schroder57570.320.180.14-0.472712612.814.9-2.1014.313.60.70
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander63640.310.190.13-0.482712613.713.8-0.1214.113.80.34
Danilo Gallinari46470.270.230.05-0.372261614.812.81.9813.914.0-0.09
Steven Adams53550.270.230.03-0.502622413.713.8-0.1014.113.80.27
Chris Paul39410.250.250.00-0.372171415.512.62.8713.614.2-0.66
Darius Bazley57580.230.27-0.050.05622-1612.814.8-1.9814.013.90.09
Nerlens Noel32330.200.30-0.11-0.07919-1013.313.9-0.6014.813.61.25
Hamidou Diallo26280.140.36-0.21-0.06721-1413.513.8-0.2514.613.70.88
Abdel Nader27270.040.46-0.420.21-634-4014.113.60.4713.614.1-0.45
Mike Muscala18170.040.46-0.430.24-735-4214.613.51.0711.914.4-2.48
Deonte Burton19190.000.50-0.500.35-1240-5214.913.51.4311.914.4-2.46
Justin Patton14140.000.50-0.500.29-1038-4813.713.7-0.0213.114.1-1.03


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.68,0.69,0.69,0.66,0.7,0.71,0.78,0.78,0.8,0.76,0.82,0.88,0.93,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
DAL 70, OKC 1080.5,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.65,0.67,0.71,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.72,0.78,0.78,0.78,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.86,0.91,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,198.2%
LAC 100, PHX 1400.5,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.63,0.72,0.77,0.76,0.78,0.81,0.83,0.85,0.86,0.87,0.89,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.8%
GSW 98, LAC 1380.5,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.63,0.68,0.72,0.67,0.71,0.72,0.78,0.78,0.81,0.89,0.91,0.91,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.4%